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Most volatile EU/GU/XAU/BTC trading

  • #281
  • Dec 6, 2021 8:08am Dec 6, 2021 8:08am
Quoting ryuryu
{quote} Slowing and D can be the same, because they are calculated from the length. And it is 34. So the only number we must think about here is 34. It mean 34 candles back. Next. I didn't get. You want to reproduce 15m Stoch 34 to the 1h? Or 1H tf Stoch 34 to 15m? Anyway. 15m Stoch 34 to 1H = 34 / 4 = 8.5 1H Stoch 34 to 15m = 34 * 4 = 136 Where 4 is the difference between 60 min and 15 min (60/15=4)
Thanks once again.
I mean M15 Stochastic (%k=34, Slow=2,%D=6) to H1 Stochastic.

I got and now understands the calculation of the %K.
Why are the other 2 parameters(Slowing and %D) not affected or not calculate like %K ?
Regards
  • #282
  • Edited 8:36am Dec 6, 2021 8:16am | Edited 8:36am
Quoting Godwin Igili
{quote} Thanks once again. I mean M15 Stochastic (%k=34, Slow=2,%D=6) to H1 Stochastic. I got and now understands the calculation of the %K. Why are the other 2 parameters(Slowing and %D) not affected or not calculate like %K ? Regards
Because
Slowing is slowing, so it is like percentage.
D is moving average of %K, so it is just smoothing.

So the only one thing you have to change is %K. In your example it is 34.

The beauty of stochastic (why I love it more than RSI) is that it can show crosses. If RSI can cross your predicted level, for example it can cross 80 down, stoch can cross itself down higher than 80 and then cross 80. So it is like double confirmation. Also it is very good for algo trading. Because there are much more data to use - for example you can have direction. If fast line higher the slow line it is bullish, if slow is higher it is bearish and so on.
Observer effect
  • #283
  • Edited 11:34am Dec 6, 2021 10:16am | Edited 11:34am
Last trade today,

XAU long +0.95%

Today: +12.44%
Since start: +53.22%

UPD:
I forgot to post crypto trades today

ZECUSDT Short +14.48%
BATUSDT Short +1.64%
SANDUSDT Short +2.75%
Today: +19.56%
Observer effect
  • #284
  • Edited 5:45am Dec 7, 2021 5:32am | Edited 5:45am
Today was a good trade both on forex and on crytpo.

Forex trades:

Long XAU +1.60%

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 18 KB

That one was made a bit late, because the signal was earlier. But the volume start to increase so I have decided to enter the trade.

Then I made some trades on crypto. As you remember I don't trade crypto on 1m TF, because I have to use limit orders to get my 0.025% rebates. So only 1h and higher.

 

  1. Long MATICUSDT +1.52%
  2. Long LUNAUSDT +0.18%
  3. Long MANAUSDT +1.58%

People ask me what is that crypto about. I don't know and I don't care. I just use EMA 200 close, EMA 100 close, EMA 50 close, EMA 8 low and EMA 8 high. That's all. Never reading news, twitter and other bullshit about crypto. I have no time for that shit.

Then it was Long ETHUSD +1.27%
But this profit is in ETH (previous was in USDT)]

Then I made forex trade:

  1. Long XAU +1.25%

Attached Image
That one was risky too and late too. Exit at nearest stochastic signal.

Next was EU long trade.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 17 KB

It was very risky. I don't like such a trades, because they are against the trend. I have entered on the first found reverse candle, then add more at second.
Price bounced back, so the whole position was closed in +0.11% profit. Too early as usual, but no regrets.

Next was Short GU. It was very good. And it gained +2.69%

Attached Image

Also it was close using dynamic take profit feature, so look how good (accurate) it was:
Attached Image

Then MATICUSDT +3.40%
It was easy
Attached Image
Observer effect
  • #285
  • Edited 9:16am Dec 7, 2021 8:46am | Edited 9:16am
Long XAU +0.78%
Long XAU +1.09%
Long XAU +1.33%
Short GU +1.93%
Long XAU +3.13%

Stats for today:

Forex:
Today: +14.77%
This week: +29.04%
Since start: +75.85%

Crypto BTC: +8.33%
Crypto ETH: +1.27%
Crypto USDT: +6.82%
Observer effect
  • #286
  • Dec 7, 2021 9:52am Dec 7, 2021 9:52am
thinking about this situation: Russia plans to attack Ukraine. This could happen in January. Markets reaction? Gold up. Oil up. Gas up. Electricity up. USD up EUR down. Right?

conflict-related to Nord Stream 2. What could happen to that? really destroy? now all is developed, just need last paper to sign to run pipelines. abandon? if Germany decides not to abbandon. what happens with the EU? How Poland and other Ukraine allies (who now provide gas pipes to Germany) will react to that?

Then I think about my roboforex accounts - servers reside in Russia... if returns cold war in full scale it means closing borders, dividing the internet, closing bank accounts. seems better my money resides on the western side located broker servers...?

just thinking.. what you can say here?
  • #287
  • Dec 7, 2021 2:25pm Dec 7, 2021 2:25pm
Quoting gepards
thinking about this situation: Russia plans to attack Ukraine. This could happen in January. Markets reaction? Gold up. Oil up. Gas up. Electricity up. USD up EUR down. Right? conflict-related to Nord Stream 2. What could happen to that? really destroy? now all is developed, just need last paper to sign to run pipelines. abandon? if Germany decides not to abbandon. what happens with the EU? How Poland and other Ukraine allies (who now provide gas pipes to Germany) will react to that? Then I think about my roboforex accounts - servers reside in Russia......
I don't know much about geo politics, everything is possible who knows. I don't believe Russia will attack Ukraine. It is just nonsense. Nobody wants to have war near the borders. Nord Stream 2 is good for Germany, because of cheap gas. So EU will not pause it. The only country win from all the conflicts is US, so may be this is their plan to set the war in Europe to make China be not so powerful. Anyway this all is not good, you absolutely right.

I think every broker is not reliable if we are talking about global problems like war or something like that. I prefer Australian brokers. But I don't believe them as well. Crypto is not good too, because your coins are on exchange, not in your wallet. They can ban you, freeze your account, ask for confirmations etc etc... If you are trading stocks may be it is better to qualify for US regulated broker like interactive brokers?

So I'm searching for the quiet bay too, but it seems to me there are no such a place around...
Observer effect
  • #288
  • Edited 8:53am Dec 8, 2021 12:52am | Edited 8:53am
First trade today MATICUSDT +9.69%
Easy

Attached Image

First bounce from 50 EMA after huge bull run. Catch it neat EMA 8 low, exit at EMA 8 high.
(1H TF)

XAU long -31.86%, stop loss taken

That was bad trade. I entered at London Open. Also the price go higher 200 EMA on 1H tf and there must be some bounce. And it happened.
No regrets, I'm still +19.83% up, but ouch

Long XAU +5.45%
Long XAU +0.59%
Long XAU +7.35%

as you see price reversed and go much higher my entries. So my stop loss was... oooh

Today was awful trading day for me. I made a lot of mistakes and as usual didn't follow the rules.

So the stats are:

Today: -20.48%
Week: +2.61%
Since start: 39.83%
Observer effect
  • #289
  • Edited 9:15am Dec 9, 2021 1:01am | Edited 9:15am
Long NEARUSDT +11.00%

Please don't ask me what the #$%^ is it. I don't know. Some scam coin. Don't want to waste even 1 minute of my time to read about it.
The trade was taken the same way: strong bull movement and first pullback to 8 EMA low.

Attached Image

People ask me how to find such a coins? Easy.

Just sort by change % then check the charts one by one
Attached Image


Today was a day of idiotic trades. But I'm up +18.50%

Attached Image

But look at this awful stats
Observer effect
  • #290
  • Dec 10, 2021 8:54am Dec 10, 2021 8:54am
Today I was busy all the day, and took only 5 trades late NY session. Missed all the beautiful setups. But no regrets.

Short XAU +4.45%
Long XAU +3.26%
Short XAU -0.22% (very strange, SL was placed at -21 point (min distance allowed by bot), but it was closed in loss...
Short XAU +1.82%
Long XAU +1.79%

And I'm +11.52%
Observer effect
  • #291
  • Dec 10, 2021 2:14pm Dec 10, 2021 2:14pm
Since it is Friday night its time to post some insights about trading.

And today I want to talk about moving average again.

A lot of people use 50, 100 and 200 MAs. But have you ever wondered why 50? Why 100? Why 200?

People know that I love math. And I don't believe in magic. So let's think a little. There are 100 centimeters in one meter. But there are 60 minutes in one hour. Is there any sense to use meters, but not the time?

Instead of 50, 100 and 200 - we must use 60, 120 and 240. Because the 5th dimension we have on forex is time. You ask me what are tje 4 left? They are open, close, high and low. There are no other data available on forex ever. So please don't make poker faces and stop talking about non-existent.

Happy weekends! May be I'll trade crypto a little, but it fact my crypto profits this week are so huge, so I can have a 2 week vacations for sure.

See ya next week, friends!
Observer effect
  • #292
  • Dec 11, 2021 11:26am Dec 11, 2021 11:26am
Long NEARUSDT +0.94%

I have changed the settings. Now they are:

Attached Image


EMA 60 close
EMA 120 close
EMA 240 close
EMA 6 low
EMA 6 high
Observer effect
  • #293
  • Dec 11, 2021 11:39pm Dec 11, 2021 11:39pm
Long GALAUSDT +0.14%

Nothing interesting on crypto today, may be that coin will bounce from 6 EMA low within next hours. All other coins are in flat mode, so whales are waiting for positions to be accumulated. So it is very risky to trade now.
Observer effect
  • #294
  • Dec 13, 2021 2:12am Dec 13, 2021 2:12am
Short GALAUSDT+0.81% - that was yesterday. Bounce from 6 EMA high to 6 EMA low.
Observer effect
  • #295
  • Edited 6:01am Dec 13, 2021 5:19am | Edited 6:01am
We've talked about moving average, stochastic and even reverse candle. Now its time to talk about candle size.

Why candle size is so interesting? Because as I said before forex has no volume data, so we have only 5 data: open, close, high, low and time. Using candle size (distance between high and low, or between open and close) we can determine the speed. The faster market go, the better trading we have.

UPD:
Long XAU +1.04%
Long XAU +3.08%
Long GU +1%
Long XAU +1.64%
Short GU +0.97%
Observer effect
  • #296
  • Dec 14, 2021 4:34pm Dec 14, 2021 4:34pm
Seems nobody is interested in scalping using volume data. Everyone is busy looking for magic indicators and EAs.

So see you next year!
Observer effect
  • #297
  • Dec 14, 2021 9:34pm Dec 14, 2021 9:34pm
Quoting ryuryu
Long NEARUSDT +0.94% I have changed the settings. Now they are: {image} EMA 60 close EMA 120 close EMA 240 close EMA 6 low EMA 6 high
Ryuryu,
This is your new setting just for crypto only or you change all pairs you trade like gold and EU ,Gu too ? Thanks Ryuryu.
  • #298
  • Dec 14, 2021 10:36pm Dec 14, 2021 10:36pm
hi,

What platform or brokerage do you use to trade cryptos?
  • #299
  • Dec 15, 2021 1:15am Dec 15, 2021 1:15am
Quoting munchie
{quote} Ryuryu, This is your new setting just for crypto only or you change all pairs you trade like gold and EU ,Gu too ? Thanks Ryuryu.
For all. Faster EMA is 60, then 120 and slower is 240. And High/Low are 6, it is just 60 / 10. You can set 10, then it will be 60 / 6.

Quoting dennis4u
hi, What platform or brokerage do you use to trade cryptos?
Hi dennis4u! I'm using bybit for crypto, because it has limit order rebates. Earlier I was using bitmex, but they reduced limit order rebates and increased market order fees (remember that stop losses are market orders).
Observer effect
  • #300
  • Jan 1, 2022 7:48am Jan 1, 2022 7:48am
Happy New Year to all!

I'm back and ready to provide some useful stuff for you guys and girls!

Stay tuned!

First, I want to tell you one thing. It is much much much easier to trade unknown crypto coins then forex.
The thing is that there are no demo traders on crypto market, and there are no retired "I know everything" old assholes like on forex.
There are no EAs, few indicators and a lot of degen gamblers with real money. And the volatility and volume are much higher.

Example: yesterday, 31.12, I made 5.01% easy with 3 trades:

  1. Long SXPUSDT +0.96%
  2. Long KEEPUSDT +1.76%
  3. YFIUSDT long +2.21%

If you ask me, I don't know what the world these coins are. And never read news, never check their websites or whitepapers. I just don't care. All I need to know is how volatile it is.

I'm using only moving average and stochastic to take the trades. I'm trading crypto on 1h,4h,6h and never go to the smaller TF, because there is no need of them.

Setup is:
EMA 6 low
EMA 6 high
EMA 60 close
EMA 120 close
EMA 240 close
Stoch 15/1/3

Most people don't like stochastic but I think it is just perfect!
The key here is to have 2 different indicators on one chart. First is moving average, it is to check the direction and the distance. Second is to find extreme expansion. Together is the just prefect and very powerful setup. I think it is just best. You can use MACD instead of Stoch too, but for me it is too colorful.

Observer effect
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