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Most Volatile & Crazy Month? 6 replies

Anyone try using XAU/USD - XAU/EUR as proxy for EUR/USD? 4 replies

The most volatile pairs? 5 replies

the most volatile instrument 4 replies

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Attachments: Most volatile EU/GU/XAU/BTC trading
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Most volatile EU/GU/XAU/BTC trading

  • Post #201
  • Quote
  • Edited at 8:44am Nov 23, 2021 8:02am | Edited at 8:44am
Inserted Video


Long XAU +6.35%
Long XAU +1.25%
Long XAU +0.66%
Long XAU +1.79%
Long XAU +1.76%
Long XAU +3.04%
Observer effect
  • Post #202
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:06am Nov 23, 2021 8:55am | Edited at 9:06am
Quoting ryuryu
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7WI_NwUiNg Long XAU +6.35% Long XAU +1.25% Long XAU +0.66% Long XAU +1.79% Long XAU +1.76% Long XAU +3.04%
Have been observer, waiting 16.15 - 17.00 slot, if i find something then.

Nice to see you are recovery mode, are you listening rage against wind band ?
I will look if there are final push to around 77 not know yet which side i will be,But as usually i miss and price will turn before, as it looks now.
I had 85.27 a line but not box . I didnt took because it was't this thread style, volume was there but not delta. (15.38)
Quoting kk100
Nice to see you are recovery mode
It is -27.88% today
-10.25% this week
+111.95% since start (but there were -35% btc loss, so it is not 111%, because I have to move funds to crypto)
Observer effect
Great it's better than at morning.

Dang all big players, they are chicken and pussies, why they don't break 85.27 i don't have time for wait all day

Attached Image
New day started. Let's take a look at the market.

BTC

Everything till 4H TF is bearish.
4H mixed
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6H is mixed too
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12H tf is still bearish, but the price want to hit EMA 200 (and bounce back as I think)

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If price will not bounce but go throu the EMA 200 it could be panic sale. So keep your eyes open!

XAU ang GU are not interesting, especially XAU. The average size on candles are decreasing all the week (and previous week too), so they will chop at the same level, tryin to cheat the traders force them to open positions (to set SLs).

I took 2 trades today. All "closed too early" scenario.

First was GU short:
Attached Image

I have changed EMA 33 to EMA 55. When the volatility goes down it is better to increase the values. So as you see the arrow now appear at the right place (not where the position was opened).

Second was XAU short

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Same issue. When I have changed from EMA 33 to EMA 55 the signals become more accurate.

BTW if the average candle size for XAU is about 80, now it is only 50 (it is 30% difference)
For GU it is about 28 but today it is only 15.6, like EU
(since EU for me is master pair it is always 15)
Observer effect
Let me show you one trade. It can be interesting.

As we know the main direction for XAU is short. But the price is far away from it's average.
Also as I said before the average candle size is decreasing day by day.
In this case reverse candles work great. They work not good on trending market, but they are perfect on choppy.

In this example I have taken long trade after reverse candle occur (white start). Why? Because:
1. Price is far away from its average on 1H tf
2. Price is as far as 1x cADR (my custom ADR calculated form marter pair)
3. Reverse candle found
4. On 1H tf price is lower 8 EMA low
5. Huge volume comes
6. Big delta change from red to big green
7. Candles size are big (that is the speed of market)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Observer effect
I have taken the same logic trade (Long) on GU, but at that moment I have opened XAU short.
I have a dashboard and bot that track the positions.
So when I saw that overall position is in good profit I have decided to close both.
It was +2.05% in gerenal. But later I saw that my GU Long could be profitable too.

No regrets as usual

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Observer effect
  • Post #208
  • Quote
  • Edited at 8:53am Nov 24, 2021 8:35am | Edited at 8:53am
Today stats
Forex +10.43%
Crypto: no trades

On crypto I'm waiting for price to hit 200 EMA on 12H tf. Then I'll start to trade. Now it is very risky. Better to stay in 1x leverage short to fix $ value.
On forex I have decided if I made my milestone (10%) then it is done.
Yesterday I was wrong and got huge loss.

UPD

Today: +13.08%
This week: +2.33%
Since start: +141.69%

I had 35% loss on crypto. So I have to transfer 35% from my forex account. By anyway I did +100% again.

Tomorrow I'll start 3rd round. The task is the same - double deposit.
Observer effect
Quoting ryuryu
New day started. Let's take a look at the market. BTC Everything till 4H TF is bearish. 4H mixed {image} 6H is mixed too {image} 12H tf is still bearish, but the price want to hit EMA 200 (and bounce back as I think) {image} If price will not bounce but go throu the EMA 200 it could be panic sale. So keep your eyes open! XAU ang GU are not interesting, especially XAU. The average size on candles are decreasing all the week (and previous week too), so they will chop at the same level, tryin to cheat the traders force them to open positions (to set...
What kind of candle for XAU,EU ? i dont regonise your numbers, what mins are you using ?
It was boring day , i saw couple entries, didn't bother take them. It wasn't good education day for footprint, so i played different kind of settings.
Until I caught the EU knife at bottom (1.1194, after news. delta and volume was there too, but i am lazy upload screenshot, because its repeating itself and earlier images what i have post.

Nice stats for you, end of the "week".
Quoting kk100
{quote} What kind of candle for XAU,EU ? i dont regonise your numbers, what mins are you using ?
Let me explain.
I said many times that I'm using some multiplier for everything. Also it is used to check the candle size.
I'm trading forex on 1m TF (looking at higher TFs), so in my example candle size is for 1m. Values are in points. I don't use and never used mt4, so I just don't know what pips, points, pippettes and other bullshit mean. I'm using mt5 so there are only points.

Today candle sizes are (I think that if value is > then the candle is big):

Candle size / 1 cADR
EU: 14.1 / 0.25%
GU: 19.5 / 0.23%
XAU: 50.4 / 0.56%
BTC: 5604 / 1.94%

As you can mention 1 cADR (custom ADR) for GU is 0.23%, but all the year is was about 32-35%. And the candle size was bigger. Average size for EU is 0.25% and 15 points. But it is 14.1 now. Foe XAU normal size is about 80, but it is 50!

I have settings: 33/100/200 EMAs. But today I have changed them to 55/100/200. Because the market is calm and there will be more fake signals then. So it is better to increase the values to filter them out.
Observer effect
I i would take the fourth trade, if not screenshoooting. rookie mistake.

Do i need to exposure my account for bandits, if i can hang markets short period and get same pips. and can use more lots than where-2andthere and others

You can see the deltas and volumes, from your screen.

I am practicing speed trading for XAU

Its crop the image even i dont want dang.
Last example of prefect trade for today.

Unfortunately I missed that, because I closed my virtual machines already but RickM caught it.

Attached Image

This I call PERFECTO!

1. Reverse candle
2. Price is 2x cADR lower its average
3. Candle size is big
4. Volume is great
5. Delta turned from red (sell) to green
6. It is -0.56% level (same like 0.25% for EU)
7. Higher is previous day low

P E R F E C T
Observer effect
No idea why ff do crop png images, trying jpg
  • Post #215
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:43am Nov 24, 2021 9:32am | Edited at 9:43am
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It helped when i removed candles, i should not ask about candles from you.
Three knifes. there could be fourth without f...tory malfunction program and my stupid timing of screenshts.
Quoting ryuryu
Last example of prefect trade for today. Unfortunately I missed that, because I closed my virtual machines already but RickM caught it. {image} This I call PERFECTO! 1. Reverse candle 2. Price is 2x cADR lower its average 3. Candle size is big 4. Volume is great 5. Delta turned from red (sell) to green 6. It is -0.56% level (same like 0.25% for EU) 7. Higher is previous day low P E R F E C T
+AAA AAA ?
Quoting kk100
{quote} +AAA AAA ?
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!
Observer effect
I forget response about low volatility and changing ema values, i am changing higher time frame. Its pity mt4 has only 1,5,.....

Sometimes when took YM, after 18.00 server time i switch main entry chart to 5 min,
because it became too slow and specially u.s lunch time.
Quoting kk100
I forget response about low volatility and changing ema values, i am changing higher time frame. Its pity mt4 has only 1,5,..... Sometimes when took YM, after 18.00 server time i switch main entry chart to 5 min, because it became too slow and specially u.s lunch time.
I think it can be done automatically using the multiplier too.
For example lets say 80 points candle size is ok for gold. And it is 33 EMA. So if candle size now is 50, then
33 (current EMA) + 37.5% (difference) = 45 (new EMA)
Observer effect
  • Post #220
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:53am Nov 25, 2021 5:24am | Edited at 9:53am
BTC short +0.27%, GU short +0.39%
Long GU & Short XAU +0.49%
GU short +1.49%

Today was a very calm day. No interesting trades.

Stats
Forex: +2.84%
Crypto: +0.40%
Observer effect
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