then retrace via ECB and up again till 1.164x ahead of European Council where will take place the vote of Van der Leyden's plan
well at least this is how I'm picturing things
1
5/6 candle swing low swing high Indicator 5 replies
Swing high / Swing low indictator+alert? 20 replies
Trading Swing by Swing 39 replies
Swing highs and swing lows 3 replies
swing high/swing low indicator and volume tic history 13 replies
DislikedBought Long in EURGBP @ 0.876x TP1 0.8890x TP2 0.89.8x TP3 0.913x STP 0.865x Decent combo on H4 imo {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} After some chop these last days, EURGBP is finally hinting imminent break up now. Final target @ 0.913x of ongoing swing should be a walk in the park once it breaks up. I have nothing in between except a micro res @ 0.905x so let's see. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} While I do put trust in your predictions (sceptical of many) thee, or my cycle has not been completed, not to place doubt, I'm quite in the middle, but I see you use a dynamic stop so following up would not be a problem 93488 is my daily, 89473 is the 4hr break, GL,Ignored
Disliked{quote} clearing second target in EURGBP @ 0.897x from 0.876x +210 pips Keeping the remaining for final target@ 0.913x & trailing STP @ 0.883x So far, swing has been fuelled mostly via EUR's strength and not via GBP's weakness, that leaves some margin to fill that 0.913x Max drawdown = -70 pips (a poor start via that german court's rulling on ECB's actions) Max draw up = + 210 pips {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} After some chop these last days, EURGBP is finally hinting imminent break up now. Final target @ 0.913x of ongoing swing should be a walk in the park once it breaks up. I have nothing in between except a micro res @ 0.905x so let's see. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} yes trailing STP each time swing reachs one target. For EURGBP, swing's STP was moved @ 0.883x when price cleared 0.897x : {quote} I don't switch to a tight STP after clearing one target because I'm still, or at least supposed to be, riding a swing, I need to let the swing "breath", it's not scalping. In a nutshell, I always try to trail STP @ level that hints or marks a reversal. {quote} break up in EURGBP & 0.905x micro res 90.5x has attracted scalpers, still thinking it's a soft res, will seeIgnored
Disliked{quote} 1.090x/1.089x in EURUSD 1.089x is reversal point on H4 New attempt here to try to ride a swing to the top of the ST range : Long bought @ 1.089x TP1 1.099x TP2 1.105x TP3 1.115x STP 1.079x {image} {quote} Well whatever it works, I do scalp too. Well done with your trade in DJ.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Second target of ST swing 1.105x hit in EURUSD from 1.089x + 160 pips Max drawdown = - 20 pips Max drawup = + 160 pips Realized PnL = + 100 pips @ TP1 + 160 pips @ TP2 {image} => 1.105x is the top of H4 range. Basically, if one thinks swing's scope is just H4, journey should end here. [...] keeping the remaining shorts for final target 1.115x and trailing STP @ 1.096x.Ignored
DislikedUSDTHB failed to clear last target (33.5x) of a large swing up from 30.5x and looks set to retrace to 32.1x, 31.6x and 31.2x (best value's entry is @ 32.5x) {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} Chokdeeeeeee ! First target in USDTHB cleared@ 32.18 from 32.5x LT break up 32.144 ready for a test. I don't expect it to hold, EOM is far away. {image}Ignored
DislikedOn Top, historically, US FED is usually Thai CB's benchmark which says a lot as FED has by far the loosest monetary policy in the world (only Risk holds USD at current levels)Ignored
Disliked{quote} Regarding EURTHB, I just pulled the trigger for the MT/LT swing , a very very long play/ride hopefully Bought EURTHB @ 34.8x TP1 36.8x TP2 39.0x STP 33.8x {image} insane callIgnored
Disliked{quote} {quote} There is a break down point capping the flow @ 1.11456 in EURUSD, it looks pointless to hold for 1.115x, just for a few pips more => Clearing final target of ST swing in EURUSD @ 1.114x from 1.089x +250 pips Max drawdown = - 20 pips Max drawup = + 250 pips Realized PnL = + 100 pips @ TP1 + 160 pips @ TP2 + 250 pips @ TP3 {image} Only remaining trade in EURUSD : MT play : Long @ 1.089x TP1 1.109x TP2 1.128x TP3 1.164x STP 1.075x trailed @ 1.088x...Ignored
Disliked[...] Only remaining trade in EURUSD : MT play : Long @ 1.089x TP1 1.109x TP2 1.128x TP3 1.164x STP1.075xtrailed @ 1.088x I will try to mirror/hedge that MT play by a ST retrace play by next thursday/wenesday ahead of thursday's ECB. Have a max retrace @ 1.095x for ECB flows so far.Ignored
DislikedBought Long in EURGBP @ 0.876x TP1 0.8890x TP2 0.89.8x TP3 0.913x STP 0.865x Decent combo on H4 imo {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} clearing second target in EURGBP @ 0.897x from 0.876x +210 pips Keeping the remaining for final target@ 0.913x & trailing STP @ 0.883x So far, swing has been fuelled mostly via EUR's strength and not via GBP's weakness, that leaves some margin to fill that 0.913x Max drawdown = -70 pips (a poor start via that german court's rulling on ECB's actions) Max draw up = + 210 pips {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} After some chop these last days, EURGBP is finally hinting imminent break up now. Final target @ 0.913x of ongoing swing should be a walk in the park once it breaks up. I have nothing in between except a micro res @ 0.905x so let's see. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} I've just pulled the trigger in US Equities (ES) This is what I was tracking : {quote} => Behaviour at the top of the breakdown candle hinting bears are sitting there & capping the flow. Chart : {image} Worth a try with stop a few points above current high : Sold ES @ 3035 TP1 2949 TP2 2829 TP3 2739 STP 3075Ignored
Disliked... However, last friday closed bullish by holding 1.109x. And last break up in H4 @ 1.1108x is currently holding the flows meaning bulls are still there. Another attack of current highs should wipe out all the bears/scalpers loaded from the highs : bulls are in deep profit while a few ticks above current high will put bears under water. It's very likely bears who jumped in are now trailing their STP @ BE. Meaning high of the week looks not set to me....Ignored
Disliked... Resistances I have above : - highs of the 2 breakdown candles @ 1.1181 and @ 1.1208 - reversal point @ 1.121x - extrem I have for current flow up is @ 1.1274 (all above should be locked via upcoming ECB)...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Bears sitting at the highs in EURUSD were wiped out as expected. New highs. {quote} Intraday scalpers popping up and selling first res @ 1.118x. Looks uneventful to me.Ignored
Disliked{quote} STP hit @ 3075 in ES - 40 points Max drawdown = - 40 points Max drawup = + 43 points Sell off in US Equities looks overdue but very hard to enter for a swingIgnored
Disliked... Ongoing trades in EURUSD : MT play : Long @ 1.089x TP1 1.109x TP21.128xchanged to 1.127x TP3 1.164x STP1.075xtrailed @ 1.088x Pending trades in EURUSD : ST retrace/hedge play : Pending Short @ 1.120x TP1 1.109x TP2 1.099x STP 1.131x {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} Rep, looking for this myself, short the Dow, entry off the 2hr chart, may or may nor, if ma's are anything to go by we could be down with the crossing, GL.Ignored
DislikedHello replicating, could you explain to me why to cut your long position on eurgbp, I have a target at 0.911 .. Does it come from the speed and the amplitude of the correction 0.905 - 0.889? Sorry for my mediocre english i'm frenchIgnored
Disliked{quote} Hey thomi, Because I thought EURGBP was going to lose its support following GBP's strength all across the board. It finally hasn't and has only extended the lows as the long wick shows (cf. chart). You are right : TA wise, I shouldn't have closed this one. Your target is good as long as this suport holds. {image} PS : I'm french too, I see what you mean, sometimes I can only say 10% of what I thinkIgnored
Disliked{quote} ah and if I were you, I would keep one eye on 0.896x on D1 TF. If it caps the flow, that should start to put you on the back foot. Well at least, that would be what I would feel. GL in any case. {image}Ignored