US Consumer Price Index - September 2025 | Crypto Craft

  • US Consumer Price Index - September 2025

    From bls.gov

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after rising 0.4 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appropriations. The index for gasoline rose 4.1 percent in September and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase, as the index for energy rose 1.5 percent over the month. The food index increased 0.2 percent over the month as ... (full story)

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EventsTrader
Oct 24, 2025 5:40am
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Energy rebound was the main story, offsetting slightly softer core inflation. Core services remain elevated, particularly shelter, medical, and recreation, keeping underlying inflation sticky. With headline and core both at 3.0% y/y, inflation progress has stalled near twice the Fed’s target. The Fed is still expected to cut rates next week.

Notes:

Gasoline +4.1% – The biggest contributor to the overall CPI gain, lifting energy prices +1.5%.

Shelter +0.2% (OER +0.2%) – Continues to add steady upward pressure to core inflation.

Airfares +2.7% – Reversed part of August’s sharp 5.9% rise, remaining volatile but still elevated.


Utility (piped) gas service –1.2% – The sharpest monthly drop within energy services.

Motor vehicle insurance –0.4% – Offered rare relief after a long streak of increases.

Used cars & trucks –0.4% – Ongoing normalization in the vehicle market.
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Vancarbon
Oct 24, 2025 5:51am
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Quoting yieldjunkie
{quote} {quote} We've seen this movie before...
Don’t forget the sanctions imposed on the Russian oil companies .

Energy is going to get more expensive and we’re coming into winter with demand high .
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yieldjunkie
Oct 24, 2025 5:49am
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Quoting EventsTrader
Energy rebound was the main story, offsetting slightly softer core inflation.
Quoting EventsTrader
Gasoline +4.1% – The biggest contributor to the overall CPI gain, lifting energy prices +1.5%.
We've seen this movie before...
Reply
Vancarbon
Oct 24, 2025 5:49am
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3% year on year

2% mandate

If they cut on this they’re asking for trouble
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Jade Gate
Oct 24, 2025 6:02am
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Quoting Vancarbon
3% year on year 2% mandate If they cut on this they’re asking for trouble
Don't think the Fed are going to have any choice but to hold in the absence of labour market numbers.
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Vancarbon
Oct 24, 2025 6:24am — Edited
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Quoting Jade Gate
{quote} Don't think the Fed are going to have any choice but to hold in the absence of labour market numbers.
The political influence is present , Miran , Waller and maybe two others. I wouldn’t be so sure , what they should do and what they actually do are different beasts .

If they do cut , the press conference should be interesting .
The Ponzi scheme continues running on inflated gas .
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2be
Oct 24, 2025 7:09am
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??? where are the "gurus" from different countries criticising tariffs and proclaiming immanent disaster, I suspect they have not got any wiser, just keep quiet... well learned patterns from legacy media
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Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 6:05am
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Quoting investosaur
If gold 1H closes below 4072 - we can see further drops to 4050 and then 4010. If we stay above 2072, we can see further upside to 4160.
Here it is if the H1 candle closes above the 4072 level.
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Twocans
Oct 24, 2025 7:01am
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EUR/USD Looks like Big Boys are about done with the beatdown. I ALWAYS remind myself that they never let anyone 'have fun' (almost never). Everybody pays to to play. this LAST LEG IS ALMOST IDENTICAL to the 'bump and dump' six hors ago. Order block is forming just below the high earlier in the London session. They knew all along what was coming out this morning. You can count on that. Sold out at both tops and back in around 1.620 after green fees.
Twocans
Oct 24, 2025 7:19am
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Looking at a H1 and M15 EUR/USD IS NEAR THE TOP 1/2 OF THE ORDER BLOCK SINCE THE OPEN which is the 'discount' side. Looking for another 'pop' from here (hopefully). All you can control is how much you loose.
Trader#F5CB
Oct 24, 2025 5:37am
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Rate cut
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Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 5:37am
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Cut interest if Trump, you genius and orange man
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Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 5:44am
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Quoting Trader#F8C6
What will be the effect on gold?
Rise
Because interest rates will be cut
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Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 5:47am
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Thank you. That's what I wanted to say.
Quoting Trader#45BD
{quote} no it means numbers are dictaded by Trump, don't think market believe in it.
Reply
Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 5:48am
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Quoting Anon12345678
fake data to satisfy trump
Exactly
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Ahmedskaf
Oct 24, 2025 6:07am
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Trump will be upset by your comment.
Quoting Jade Gate
{quote} Don't think the Fed are going to have any choice but to hold in the absence of labour market numbers.
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Shiham
Oct 24, 2025 5:44am
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full of slippage
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PipsByJesus
Oct 24, 2025 10:57am
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Still bullish on GOLD.
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Ahmedazazy
Oct 24, 2025 5:32am
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Gold to 4500 then 5000
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Anon12345678
Oct 24, 2025 5:37am
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fake data to satisfy trump
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Trader#2BBB
Oct 24, 2025 5:37am
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Quoting doodooltalai
what it means? is inflation controlled?
NO.
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sanghafc
Oct 24, 2025 6:02am
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Buy Gold now 70p
From 4080
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Trader#210F
Oct 24, 2025 5:32am
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Cpi data
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Vone
Oct 24, 2025 5:33am
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Waw
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doodooltalai
Oct 24, 2025 5:33am
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what it means? is inflation controlled?
Azouss
Oct 24, 2025 5:35am
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Let see how gold will go
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moalimo
Oct 24, 2025 5:36am
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Nice
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Trader#45BD
Oct 24, 2025 5:37am
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Quoting doodooltalai
what it means? is inflation controlled?
no it means numbers are dictaded by Trump, don't think market believe in it.
Reply
Traderpoltu
Oct 24, 2025 5:39am
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well done
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Rexfa
Oct 24, 2025 5:39am
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just watch
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saifullahsai
Oct 24, 2025 5:42am
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Apple Lnc
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EllaNazareth
Oct 24, 2025 5:42am
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Gold with no Drama
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Trader#3ECE
Oct 24, 2025 5:43am
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they just needed liquidity to continue driving USD upwards lmaooo
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Drulx
Oct 24, 2025 5:44am
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gold
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doodooltalai
Oct 24, 2025 5:46am
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Quoting Trader#E14A
{quote}Are you 5 years old?
why?
Trader#2BBB
Oct 24, 2025 5:46am
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BLS claims data was collected before government shutdown. So the data is flawed for the future. No unemployment data obviously which will be skewed if it ever comes out again. Way to go orange man you screwed the markets and created a bubble.
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Gour
Oct 24, 2025 5:46am
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Gold is down
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Gour
Oct 24, 2025 5:47am
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CPI News is soon
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Trader#833D
Oct 24, 2025 5:51am
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Inflation MoM, Core Inflation MoM and Core Inflation YoY, all went down, more work needed but it is good news. Rate cuts are happening Oct and Nov, stock market bullish, Dollar continues bearish, which is what Trump wants.
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investosaur
Oct 24, 2025 5:53am
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If gold 1H closes below 4072 - we can see further drops to 4050 and then 4010. If we stay above 2072, we can see further upside to 4160.
Reply
Trader#833D
Oct 24, 2025 5:54am
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Quoting Trader#833D
Inflation MoM, Core Inflation MoM and Core Inflation YoY, all went down, more work needed but it is good news. Rate cuts are happening Oct and Dec, stock market bullish, Dollar continues bearish, which is what Trump wants.
*Rate cuts Oct and Dec.
Reply
TradingGoat.
Oct 24, 2025 5:56am
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ppl have seen this same model setup on Gold their entire trading career and will still sell today…. and lose everything. wake up
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Trader#D36E
Oct 24, 2025 6:11am
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Quoting Trader#C874
What is the impact is this on USDJPY?
If the USDJPY goes up, then you can consider the impact as positive
If the USDJPY goes down, then you can consider the impact as negative

hope it helps
Reply
DrWho37
Oct 24, 2025 6:32am
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Quoting Trader#0EF3
There is no inflation, just cut it
LOL. No inflation

Have you seen the prices of anything in the US?
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Trader#811E
Oct 24, 2025 6:48am
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This guarantees a cut of 25 coming and puts a cut after that as very probable. Now after that is anyone’s guess, and that what the market is trying to figure out. Anyone saying they won’t cut is just talking their losing book out of desperation for being so wrong.
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Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 7:10am
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Quoting Twocans
EUR/USD Looks like Big Boys are about done with the beatdown. I ALWAYS remind myself that they never let anyone 'have fun' (almost never). Everybody pays to to play. this LAST LEG IS ALMOST IDENTICAL to the 'bump and dump' six hors ago. Order block is forming just below the high earlier in the London session. They knew all along what was coming out this morning. You can count on that. Sold out at both tops and back in around 1.620 after green fees.
Preparing for the gap fill 1.17400
Reply
Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 7:30am
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Quoting Twocans
Looking at a H1 and M15 EUR/USD IS NEAR THE TOP 1/2 OF THE ORDER BLOCK SINCE THE OPEN which is the 'discount' side. Looking for another 'pop' from here (hopefully). All you can control is how much you loose.
Yea with the surprise PMI expect it to be contained between 16500 and 1600
Reply
Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 8:25am
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Quoting Trader#E14A
{quote} Yea with the surprise PMI expect it to be contained between 16500 and 1600
Also note, FraNCE is still hot "France’s Socialists Threaten to Topple Government in Tax Debate: BN" tread carefully
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abhishekshe
Oct 25, 2025 12:04pm
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4000 looking like support
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Trader#B1F0
Oct 24, 2025 5:32am
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Bullish
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Trader#1B9D
Oct 24, 2025 5:34am
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Wow crypto
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Trader#F4FB
Oct 24, 2025 5:35am
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a sudden spike
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Trader#9ADC
Oct 24, 2025 5:35am
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It means goods are getting expensive
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Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 5:35am
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as expected following Trumps warnings this morning
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Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 5:36am
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Quoting doodooltalai
what it means? is inflation controlled?
Are you 5 years old?
Reply
Trader#B472
Oct 24, 2025 5:40am
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gold bullish or bearish
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Trader#F8C6
Oct 24, 2025 5:40am
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What will be the effect on gold?
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Trader#58B8
Oct 24, 2025 5:41am
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Great
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Trader#286B
Oct 24, 2025 5:43am
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Cpi
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Trader#2BBB
Oct 24, 2025 5:43am
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Get ready for the Powell bashing.
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Trader#3066
Oct 24, 2025 5:45am
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waw
Reply
Trader#3ECE
Oct 24, 2025 5:46am
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Dollar bulls incoming
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Trader#03EB
Oct 24, 2025 5:46am
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Wow
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Trader#C874
Oct 24, 2025 5:49am
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What will be the impact of this on USDJPY please someone explain?
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Trader#F87D
Oct 24, 2025 5:49am
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Selling volume picking up
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Trader#C874
Oct 24, 2025 5:49am
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What is the impact is this on USDJPY?
Reply
Trader#6102
Oct 24, 2025 5:51am
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Wtf
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Trader#6161
Oct 24, 2025 5:52am
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Indonesia
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Trader#71A6
Oct 24, 2025 5:53am
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I want to sell the gold
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Trader#A648
Oct 24, 2025 5:56am
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God damn just got 11k from news
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Trader#F87D
Oct 24, 2025 5:59am
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Inflation is cooling, and the brokers/bankers/whales are trying to sell a different caption other than this is baked into every tradable instrument. Selling futures into the open 10/24 prevailing.
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Trader#93F1
Oct 24, 2025 6:02am
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Buy gold
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Trader#BD85
Oct 24, 2025 6:02am
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At this rate, we are at a 2% gain on the week for the S&P. The data/economy/results haven't justified a 2% gain. Sell. B/c Jimmy said "this is not out of control".
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Trader#E3AF
Oct 24, 2025 6:03am
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can someone give me 100$ to trade for help plzz
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Trader#EF7D
Oct 24, 2025 6:06am
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thanks to Jerome Powell money printer
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Trader#0EF3
Oct 24, 2025 6:16am
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There is no inflation, just cut it
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Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 6:22am
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Quoting Trader#0EF3
There is no inflation, just cut it
Exactly! The Fed has been wrong all this time
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Trader#E14A
Oct 24, 2025 6:37am
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Quoting DrWho37
{quote} LOL. No inflation Have you seen the prices of anything in the US?
Barely any inflation, just enough to justify 3 more cuts
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Trader#E693
Oct 24, 2025 7:08am
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Rate cut will be delayed due to strong growth data
Reply
Trader#5F10
Oct 27, 2025 12:50am
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what do u think about ???
Reply

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