US Core CPI Tumbles To Slowest In 4 Years; Real Wage Growth Surges | Crypto Craft

  • US Core CPI Tumbles To Slowest In 4 Years; Real Wage Growth Surges

    From zerohedge.com

    Rate-cut expectations have surged (dovishly) higher this week (along with tumbling Treasury yields) amid a mixed macro picture (Labor market 'good', Retail sales bad, Housing ugly). Today could change all that as CPI for January prints with risk skewed to the upside. January brings annual resets and they tend to surprise on the high side. Despite the 'hot' whisper numbers (and 4 previous Januarys in a row of upside surprises), headline consumer price inflation came in cooler than expected in January (+0.2% MoM vs +0.3% expected). That pulled the headline CPI down dramatically from +2.7% to +2.4% - near the lowest in ... (full story)

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The Fool
Feb 13, 2026 10:25am
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Hey, what happened to "good news = bad news"? Have you ever seen an economic boom take place accompanied by a labor market recession? Are you upper K, or are you lower K? lol, are you sure.....?

https://www.shaanpuri.com/essays/the-k-shaped-economy
ffghost
Feb 13, 2026 9:32am
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Quoting FlyingTurtle
Does anyone else think inflation will start barreling down (because the economy is tanking) and the fed will be scrambling to cut rates fast enough? Does anyone remember a time that we had a republican president and we didn't have a recession?
Well, love the guy or hate the guy, as I recall, the 2020 recession under Trump1.0 wasn't necessarily the fault of being a Republican...I am pretty sure the pandemic would have caused chaos for any party.

If the mega cap tech boys can get off their lows and regain some ground, this thing will be at all time highs in days/weeks. Most are 15-20% down right now. That's nuts considering the market levels. Check out equal weighted today. It was up nearly 1% (spew) when the spx was negative.

If big tech can get some love again, look out to the upside.....otherwise, it's going to be a slog.

Either way, if volatility remains bid at these levels, we remain in a sell the rip vs. buy the dip environment. Need to see that under 18...and fast....
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FlyingTurtle
Feb 13, 2026 8:46am
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Does anyone else think inflation will start barreling down (because the economy is tanking) and the fed will be scrambling to cut rates fast enough? Does anyone remember a time that we had a republican president and we didn't have a recession?
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FlyingTurtle
Feb 13, 2026 10:46am
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Quoting ffghost
{quote} Well, love the guy or hate the guy, as I recall, the 2020 recession under Trump1.0 wasn't necessarily the fault of being a Republican...I am pretty sure the pandemic would have caused chaos for any party. If the mega cap tech boys can get off their lows and regain some ground, this thing will be at all time highs in days/weeks. Most are 15-20% down right now. That's nuts considering the market levels. Check out equal weighted today. It was up nearly 1% (spew) when the spx was negative. If big tech can get some love again, look out to the...
Late 2019 the economy was pretty precarious, enough for the fed to cut 3 times then do "not-QE". And, not to be too tinfoil hat-ish, I have a hard time believing covid would have slipped out right before the election if Hillary had been president. But, for whatever reason, calamity always happens on the Republican watch and considering the specimen currently rocking the boat I'd have a hard time betting against that trend. I haven't been following earnings too closely but seems like some tech darlings issued bad guidance that is probably not going to turn on a dime.
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Maylando
Feb 13, 2026 8:41am
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in god we trust
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Trader#4D61
Feb 13, 2026 9:48am
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Quoting ffghost
{quote} Well, love the guy or hate the guy, as I recall, the 2020 recession under Trump1.0 wasn't necessarily the fault of being a Republican...I am pretty sure the pandemic would have caused chaos for any party. If the mega cap tech boys can get off their lows and regain some ground, this thing will be at all time highs in days/weeks. Most are 15-20% down right now. That's nuts considering the market levels. Check out equal weighted today. It was up nearly 1% (spew) when the spx was negative. If big tech can get some love again, look out to the...
Neither was the 2008 housing crisis, that bubble started under the Clinton administration when Congress decided it would be a good idea to allow banks to give loans to everybody then popped under Bush through Obama.
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Trader#E28E
Feb 13, 2026 9:02am
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market has dipped, its far from tanking. That's more a hope than an actual reality at the moment
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Trader#A0A6
Feb 13, 2026 8:09am
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Thanks to the golden friendship between Donald Trump and Jeffry Epstein. Long live those two in our hearts and minds!
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