BSV mystery buyer doubles market cap

Speaking of price, today we stand at WR 4.6. Not great.

It's looking more like 50% these days.

Also, my last legal prediction was that SBF wouldn't be arrested.

Who asked CZ to relist BSV? Must have been an important customer!

I found this moon boi pumping BSV. That's new!!!

Another one!

IF..

BSV Price Statistics
Bitcoin SV Price $84.57
24h Low / 24h High
$53.93 / $91.92
7d Low / 7d High
$47.92 / $88.08
Trading Volume$806,246,420

Craig might be involved in this.

https://www.cryptocraft.com/news/126...akamoto-sparks

We're two weeks into the COPA trial and it's not looking good. I haven't watched the trial itself but I've been listening to analysis here and there, and stumbled upon a UK patent attorney named David Pearce. It's rare to find such a credible source in the political cesspool that surrounds Faketoshi. In this video, at the 49 minute mark, he talks about this "unsigned integer" situation. It's over my head, but Pearce seems to think it's a ship sinker for Craig.

The trial ain't over, but with the limited information I have, I'm putting Craig's chances of winning at 25%.

Craig's past trials weren't important to the BSV trade, but COPA surely is, as the case is specifically about Satoshi's identity. If Craig loses this trial the odds of the BSV trade working will definitely take a dive. We still have the patents, the Blackrock bitcoin-basket, and whatever else Craig has up his sleeve, but none of that wins the BSV trade as quickly and easily as COPA.



While the trial did in-fact happen, Facebook dropped out of COPA just prior to the trial. So my prediction that the trial wouldn't happen is partially correct since the most level-headed of the COPA members bailed.

I'm upping this to 50/50. COPA's entire case is hinging on arcane technical issues, and the expertise of the experts is in question. All of their non-technical evidence falls apart like a wet paper napkin. Their witnesses are pointless and do more to help Craig than help COPA. I could see it going either way, but my understanding of law is limited so really I have no clue.

What I do know is that BSV is going four-figures if Craig wins this case. After years of sitting in this trade, I'm feeling my first anxiety.

Here's a piece by Wired that gives a good taste of the courtroom atmosphere:
https://www.wired.com/story/craig-wr...tcoin-satoshi/

Today, Day 16 of the trial, was a good day. COPA's main expert took the stand and folded like a cheap suit. All these forgeries are being claimed by a man who doesn't have the forensic qualifications, or the independence, to make the accusations he's made. It was ridiculous. It was just what you'd expect to see when delusion meets reality.

I cannot see how Craig loses this trial, although I know he can.

Also, the judge asked why Meta pulled out of COPA, and COPA claimed to not know.

Looking at the big picture, how can Craig lose?

- Craig proved he has the qualifications to create bitcoin
- Craig provided a huge pile of evidence to support his creation of bitcoin
- COPA disputed a small fraction of the huge pile, claiming forgeries
- COPA's forgery claims rest on a report written by an unqualified, biased expert

Not only is there a huge pile of undisputed evidence, but even the disputes are bullshit. How can he lose?

This COPA expert is such a let down that I have to guess they got nothing else. I can't believe this trade is so close to working.

I don't think this plays into the case, but COPA released a trove of Satoshi emails: https://mmalmi.github.io/satoshi/

Not only does Satoshi write like Craig writes, which we already knew, but there's a dead giveaway...
Satoshi talking about VISA? Hmm, who else have we heard compare bitcoin to VISA?

And to the small-blockers who are smearing Craig, here is Satoshi himself gunning for scale.

This Ager-Hanssen stuff is absolutely bonkers: https://coingeek.com/christen-ager-h...mony-suggests/

Craig has a real gift for attracting drama.

Not a lot of action today, but a major battle was set up. There's an email chain being argued over. COPA has a version of the chain with one date, and Craig's lawyers have a version of the chain with another date. Both sides are saying they have the real version, and both sides are deeply dug into their position.

The judge adjusted the schedule to find out who has the real chain and who has the fake chain.

If COPA has the fake it's all over.

Today they were debating the Gavin Andresen signing. COPA had a list of ways Craig could have fooled Gavin, but none of them gave Gavin his due respect. Even if Craig did fool Gavin, who but Satoshi could fool bitcoin's top steward?

The Andresen signing is, in my mind, the smoking gun that Craig is Satoshi. I was glad to see the judge gets to hear this story in detail.

COPA's case against Craig is hinging on these claims of forgery, but thus far their experts haven't been able to back it up. I still can't see how Craig loses this case. I think we have one more day, then a week break, then another week of trial.

Almost there.

No court yesterday. Today went well, more of the same. The fake email-chain battle was anticlimactic as no winner was declared.

Today was the last day of evidence. No court next week, then closing arguments the following week.

There are indications that the judge is feeling Craig's argument. It's subtle, but it's there.

At this point I put Craig's odds at 80%. COPA made a lot of allegations but when it came down to it, they just couldn't back it up. Meanwhile, Craig's pile of evidence was enormous. Craig was by far the smartest guy in the courtroom, as I'm sure the judge could see.

My attention's starting to turn to the aftereffects. What happens to BSV if Craig wins this?

The crypto community definitely won't accept Craig as Satoshi. Courts and governments, on the other hand, will give Craig the benefit of the doubt. Craig could leverage the law to force crypto exchanges to call "BSV" bitcoin, for example.

Blackrock already disclosed forks as their biggest risk to their ETF. I think they too would be worried about Craig and start looking at BSV.

Hedgefunds involved in crypto trading will seek out the BSV trade. This is what I'm speculating will bring us to $1,000.

If Craig can win this case as someone considered a fraud, imagine what he can do with a court win that says he's Satoshi.

Edge of my seat!!!

After listening to another ten hours of random analysis, I've come to the following conclusions:

1. Craig's chance of winning the COPA trial is 50%. This isn't much more than a guess. Craig has a solid case that he's Satoshi, but he's also shady as hell and that might sway the judge. It sure swayed the BTC community, even though Satoshi was also a shady mofo.

2. If Craig loses the COPA trial, the BSV trade is over. I thought through the avenues for Craig should he lose, and they're all made more difficult if the court says he's not Satoshi. Not just that, but Craig put his full argument to the court and drew a fair judge. If the court rejects his evidence, he's got nothing else. I'm sure he'd keep fighting, and I'd keep my 20K coins (mostly because I have nowhere to sell them), but I wouldn't be holding out hope.

Basically this COPA trial is the BSV trade, and it's a coin flip.