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  • Post #3,281
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  • Jan 12, 2022 10:47am Jan 12, 2022 10:47am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
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This sounds like a joke. In about two weeks, we will be trading March contract. In nat gas futures market, winter is virtually over already. With healthy production and guaranteed decreased demand, nobody would pay this high price for nat gas soon. Last year when sudden polar vortex hit the U.S. in the late winter, unlike spot market, futures market even didn't respond at all.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,282
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  • Jan 13, 2022 4:13am Jan 13, 2022 4:13am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
The U.S. less and less relies on nat gas for electricity generation:
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https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com...t-consumption/
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,283
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  • Jan 13, 2022 9:10am Jan 13, 2022 9:10am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
I love forex-station.com in which I have found most indicators I am using currently. The key is quickly skim through to find useful ones improving your strategy and ditch garbage. Now I only visit daily download thread. For example, the following one is obviously a piece of garbage (at least to my strategy).
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,284
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  • Jan 13, 2022 7:02pm Jan 13, 2022 7:02pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{image} This sounds like a joke. In about two weeks, we will be trading March contract. In nat gas futures market, winter is virtually over already. With healthy production and guaranteed decreased demand, nobody would pay this high price for nat gas soon. Last year when sudden polar vortex hit the U.S. in the late winter, unlike spot market, futures market even didn't respond at all.
Ignored
Looks like they agreed that was a joke. A railway track made....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,285
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  • Jan 14, 2022 5:45am Jan 14, 2022 5:45am
  •  mntiwana
  • Joined Mar 2013 | Status: Member | 2,244 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
I love forex-station.com in which I have found most indicators I am using currently. The key is quickly skim through to find useful ones improving your strategy and ditch garbage. Now I only visit daily download thread. For example, the following one is obviously a piece of garbage (at least to my strategy). {image}
Ignored
Yes,that is it "garbage" -
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  • Post #3,286
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  • Jan 14, 2022 7:54am Jan 14, 2022 7:54am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting mntiwana
Disliked
{quote} Yes,that is it "garbage" - {image}
Ignored
You have so many cool indicators! How many indicators do you monitor when you trade? It must have been very difficult for you to pick only a few from your powerful indicator arsenal....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,287
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  • Jan 14, 2022 11:56am Jan 14, 2022 11:56am
  •  mntiwana
  • Joined Mar 2013 | Status: Member | 2,244 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} You have so many cool indicators! How many indicators do you monitor when you trade? It must have been very difficult for you to pick only a few from your powerful indicator arsenal....
Ignored
Yes,you are right -
it depends on how much you trust and comfort with the indicator/s,usually 2/3 are more than enough,how much in numbers you will be using they make you more confused because every next indicator based on different math,so they might produce different signals
but i recommend only 1 is OK when it really working/displaying fine and as attractive as it to be -
meanwhile nobody can grab every penny from table you must leave something on floor
PS : if someday you decide and bear to have some really attractive indicator (even then no guarantee regarding market) we can discuss on that too
regards
 
1
  • Post #3,288
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  • Jan 20, 2022 11:14am Jan 20, 2022 11:14am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} Looks like they agreed that was a joke. A railway track made.... {image}
Ignored
Nat gas has game over in this winter. Nat gas is controlled by strong seasonality.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,289
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  • Jan 21, 2022 11:41am Jan 21, 2022 11:41am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
I like CAD too.... Just sold CAD.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,290
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  • Jan 21, 2022 11:52am Jan 21, 2022 11:52am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Recalled long forgotten Sam Seiden thanks to Aussi (not clear if Aussi's strategy was affected by Sam Seiden's though). Anyway, Aussi's interpretation looks pretty sound and interesting.......
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,291
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  • Jan 25, 2022 10:35am Jan 25, 2022 10:35am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
US$ is so-so performing.... So I decided to sell CADJPY as you can see from my TE. My WCU based strategy is quite easy-going trading......
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,292
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  • Jan 28, 2022 2:39pm Jan 28, 2022 2:39pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} It worked out again. 20 ticks of gain. Spring-Summer and Autumn-Winter spread trading is the easiest and safest spread trading in my opinion. When you find narrow enough spread, you bet spread widening with fixed stop loss set. This is easy money Mr. Market gives you out. Why don't you try? {image}
Ignored
Reentered May-June spread at -0.038 with SL @ 0.000 to take advantage of this temporary nat gas spike.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,293
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  • Feb 3, 2022 5:03am Feb 3, 2022 5:03am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
CME Group: Why Smart Money Trades Spreads - David Lerman
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
1
  • Post #3,294
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  • Feb 5, 2022 4:05pm Feb 5, 2022 4:05pm
  •  Hutch
  • Joined Apr 2010 | Status: Lazy trader on D1 charts | 5,906 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
CME Group: Why Smart Money Trades Spreads - David Lerman https://youtu.be/iEA_MkJD8eM
Ignored
Interesting but no matter the trading system all traders trade the spread
 
1
  • Post #3,295
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  • Feb 7, 2022 12:07am Feb 7, 2022 12:07am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Hard to believe this.......
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https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...ss-cold-889024
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
2
  • Post #3,296
  • Quote
  • Feb 9, 2022 6:19pm Feb 9, 2022 6:19pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} Reentered May-June spread at -0.038 with SL @ 0.000 to take advantage of this temporary nat gas spike.
Ignored
Easy money which Mr. Market generously gives out to knowledgeable people.....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,297
  • Quote
  • Feb 11, 2022 2:38am Feb 11, 2022 2:38am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} Easy money which Mr. Market generously gives out to knowledgeable people..... {image} {image}
Ignored
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Do this twice a year, one for early summer and the other one for early winter. You will find this is very profitable with limited risk.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,298
  • Quote
  • May 7, 2022 4:18am May 7, 2022 4:18am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Bad Ticks

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threa...itions.366887/

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Market is a dangerous place. You shouldn't stay long in this dangerous place. Shorter the better. Every odds are against you in this place.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,299
  • Quote
  • Jun 10, 2022 7:24am Jun 10, 2022 7:24am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Even with bad tick issue and violent nat gas volatility recently, my July-Aug, Nov-Dec and Jun23-July23 spread trading has been working nicely and my account is growing consistently. I found myself losing interest in day trading indeed. I sold Nov-Dec-Jan butterfly at -0.002 yesterday.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,300
  • Quote
  • Jun 10, 2022 8:01am Jun 10, 2022 8:01am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 4,954 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} {image} Do this twice a year, one for early summer and the other one for early winter. You will find this is very profitable with limited risk.
Ignored
Just a follow up updated pic in case you're curious..... Winner of course.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
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