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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #2,261
  • Jun 24, 2019 12:18am Jun 24, 2019 12:18am
Markets rolled over.
FED did its performance and markets hope for a rate cut in July (and even more this Year) and all priced in now in last Week rally

Markets wait for Trump/Xi meeting now @ G20 end of the Week.

I'm not that stupid to think that they will reach an agreement then. To many huge idiological differences to agree in a few Hrs.

The best they can reach is an agreement they will start talking again. But these talks can take Years
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,262
  • Edited 12:59am Jun 24, 2019 12:48am | Edited 12:59am
DAX short @ 287
T1 +8p 3 lot
2 lot running/SL BE zone

Price still inside my bullish Swing MA channel. Can go everywere from here. North/East/South
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 09-19 (25 Renko) 2019_06_24 (09_46_23).png Size: 94 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,263
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:00am Jun 24, 2019 1:00am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX short @ 287 T1 +8p 3 lot 2 lot running/SL BE zone Price still inside my bullish Swing MA channel. Can go everywere from here. North/East/South {image}
BOEM

T2 +28p
1 lot running

Trgt 240/-0.50% and last Week VWAP zone

250 Supp as usual.

German IFO little lower then last time. Same as expected. No serious news now
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,264
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:08am Jun 24, 2019 1:08am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX short @ 287 T1 +8p 3 lot 2 lot running/SL BE zone Price still inside my bullish Swing MA channel. Can go everywere from here. North/East/South {image}
TPO pocket on last Week TPOs down to 120/-1.5% zone. To deep for Today I think but Expect The.........
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,265
  • Edited 1:27am Jun 24, 2019 1:10am | Edited 1:27am
DOW Short some lots @ 26.750 H&S pattern as posted before.

T1 +11p 2 lot
1 lot running/SL BE
FLAT BE last lot
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,266
  • Edited 1:30am Jun 24, 2019 1:15am | Edited 1:30am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} BOEM T2 +28p 1 lot running Trgt 240/-0.50% and last Week VWAP zone 250 Supp as usual. German IFO little lower then last time. Same as expected. No serious news now
DAX +10p locked in last lot. Can suddenly jump up again in a Bullish channel
+20p locked in last lot.
FLAT +20p last lot

250
240/-0.50%
230 (last week VWAP) All Support levels to break

DOW is not moving down further now.

My DAX Stop (solid) MA line is still to far away from the dotted slower Swing MA line, so still very Bullish channel. I expect a pop again in the DAX up to last week POC again maybe (300>320)

The little Bears are not gone win this down move I think.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 09-19 (25 Renko) 2019_06_24 (09_46_23).png Size: 105 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,267
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:34am Jun 24, 2019 1:34am
Just reversed to buying Dax after that spike testing Friday's low was followed by a HL on M1
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,268
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:36am Jun 24, 2019 1:36am
Quoting Islander
Just reversed to buying Dax after that spike testing Friday's low was followed by a HL on M1
If it breaks trough the 250/240 I wil l short it again, but needs a DOW drop too.

Longs (scalp) above Todays Dev POC/VWAP again 275<>285
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,269
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:44am Jun 24, 2019 1:44am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} If it breaks trough the 250/240 I wil l short it again, but needs a DOW drop too. Longs (scalp) above Todays Dev POC/VWAP again 275<>285
Agreed re Dow, which is IMO already showing signs of turning back up and needs to break above its Daily Pivot which held it a few mins ago
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,270
  • Jun 24, 2019 1:53am Jun 24, 2019 1:53am
Quoting Islander
{quote} Agreed re Dow, which is IMO already showing signs of turning back up and needs to break above its Daily Pivot which held it a few mins ago
These Hrs are the worsed Hrs to trade. Don't try to fabricate trades now. Better moments/set ups will come.
NQ and DOW are death (calm) now

Out for some Hrs. We have a little heat wave here and I'm gone ride that wave with walking/relaxing in the sun!
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,271
  • Jun 24, 2019 2:04am Jun 24, 2019 2:04am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} These Hrs are the worsed Hrs to trade. Don't try to fabricate trades now. Better moments/set ups will come. NQ and DOW are death (calm) now Out for some Hrs. We have a little heat wave here and I'm gone ride that wave with walking/relaxing in the sun!
Best suggestion today for next hours!
Break for me too.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,272
  • Edited 4:32am Jun 24, 2019 4:17am | Edited 4:32am
US markets are on/or close to rec highs

GOLD keeps lifting up. Above $1400 now. Money looks for risk aversion. Cash is King now

Looks logic to me that markets will be sideways now and wait for a new trigger to launch it in whatever direction.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,273
  • Edited 6:15am Jun 24, 2019 5:41am | Edited 6:15am
DAX Long @ 258
T1 +11p
2 to go
1 lot closed +7p
1 left running
FLAT +10p last lot

Trgt 300/310

Below 12.240/230 (last Week VWAP) poss shorts
Above 12.320 (last Week POC) longs, but I think no DAX trades Today anymore
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 09-19 (25 Renko) 2019_06_24 (14_41_35).png Size: 106 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,274
  • Jun 24, 2019 5:46am Jun 24, 2019 5:46am
DOW & NQ keep wiggeling in a very narrow range

DOW I'm waiting for a break out above 785/800 or below 750 between now and end of the Week
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,275
  • Jun 24, 2019 6:22am Jun 24, 2019 6:22am
Trump should leave the Fed alone and reset foreign policy if he hopes to be reelected

President Donald Trump’s quest for four more years in office crucially depends on a strong economy and sound fundamentals of U.S. equity markets.
One can safely assume that Trump knows that. But it is far from clear whether he knows how to achieve that outcome.



To begin with, the worst thing he can do for his presidential campaign is to keep tweeting his attacks, hugely amplified by the media, on the leadership of the U.S. Federal Reserve and its monetary policy.
Trump has no reason to do that.
In the first two weeks of this month, the Fed has injected $35.5 billion of fresh funds, sharply reversing a carefully calibrated pattern of $114 billion in liquidity withdrawals since the beginning of the year.

Those reading a note of caution in the Fed’s decision not to rush into interest rate cuts have a plausible point. U.S. labor markets remain strong, real disposable household incomes continue to grow at an annual rate of 2.4% and credit costs are at historically low levels – the three variables that drive more than 80% of the U.S. economy.
Trump, therefore, may wish to pause his Fed tweets, leaving his economic advisors to discuss monetary policy with their central bank colleagues.

Trump should leave the Fed alone and have the Fed watched by his economic advisors.
He should concentrate instead on issues of China trade and peace in the Persian Gulf. Escalating trade disputes and new bouts of violence in the Middle East would lead to a flare-up of commodity prices, driving up the U.S. inflation and confronting the Fed with policy choices Trump might not like in the course of his election campaign.


The economic problem with China is clear and simple: America’s intolerably high trade deficits, China’s allegedly illegal trade practices and reportedly a limited access of U.S. firms to Chinese markets.

The solution is very simple: Tell China that the U.S. wants balanced trade accounts over a specific time horizon. The time frame can be negotiated, but with very little concession in view of America’s half-a-trillion dollar annual deficits.

Trump, therefore, should tell China’s President Xi Jinping — the man he calls his friend — that he is in a hurry to see China’s exports to the U.S. brought to roughly the same level of American exports to China.

For the rest, Beijing should be on notice that the U.S. will apply strict rules of reciprocity, and that any illegal trade practices will be dealt with through American laws and the World Trade Organization arbitration procedures.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/24/keys...ommentary.html

Trump should leave the Fed alone and reset foreign policy if he hopes to be reelected
Attached Image
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  • #2,276
  • Jun 24, 2019 6:32am Jun 24, 2019 6:32am
DOW Long 763
T1 +12p 2 lot
FLAT +24p/25p last lot

Needs to break +0.25%/800 right shoulder H&S pattern. That would break the H&S pattern. As long the 800 is not broken, H&S still in tact



Attached Image
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  • #2,277
  • Jun 24, 2019 7:13am Jun 24, 2019 7:13am
NQ still inside a wedge on top of Fridays POC

Long @ 7759

FLAT +10p last lot
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NQ 09-19 (30 Renko) 2019_06_24 (16_14_17).png Size: 69 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,278
  • Jun 24, 2019 7:22am Jun 24, 2019 7:22am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DOW Long 763 T1 +12p 2 lot FLAT +24p/25p last lot Needs to break +0.25%/800 right shoulder H&S pattern. That would break the H&S pattern. As long the 800 is not broken, H&S still in tact {image}
Since that 50+ pts rally off NY Open - got 40+ there, that consolidation area from Friday afternoon, with a POC 26,808 cash on my charts is still holding. I've had two sells off that area and banked each time as the various SS levels held. Hit and run for me, especially for shorts....

NB My M 1 chart has wicks and tails everywhere, always an indication of another consolidation
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,279
  • Jun 24, 2019 10:32pm Jun 24, 2019 10:32pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DOW Long 763 T1 +12p 2 lot FLAT +24p/25p last lot Needs to break +0.25%/800 right shoulder H&S pattern. That would break the H&S pattern. As long the 800 is not broken, H&S still in tact {image}
DOW H&S pattern still in tact but in a bullish Swing channel

750>770 is the Res level now. Dev Weekly POC/VWAP
Poss down trgt 26.600>500 last Week VWAP & POC. Support zone
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,280
  • Edited Jun 25, 2019 2:03am Jun 24, 2019 10:36pm | Edited Jun 25, 2019 2:03am
DAX H&S pattern still in tact but in a bullish Swing channel.
Maybe time to fill the last Week TPO pocket after a pop to this Week Dev POC first. HIT! Target reached @ +0.25%/12.260 and Dev W POC.

Traders getting little worried about G20 outcome/Iran problems/FED rate cut(s) Yes or No?.

Iran said on Tuesday that a U.S. decision to impose sanctions on the country's supreme leader and other top officials permanently closed the path to diplomacy between Tehran and Washington.

China stocks fell on Tuesday after a long streak of gains as worries mounted that the United States and China would make little headway in trade talks this week, while economic concerns hit banking shares. **China's blue-chip CSI300 index was down 2.1%

GOLD still on the move to the North. Risk aversion/hedging.

The dollar hit a multi-month low against the euro and the yen on Tuesday on the prospects of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve while the safe-haven Swiss franc and gold rose on Middle East tensions.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 09-19 (25 Renko) 2019_06_25 (07_20_22).png Size: 99 KB
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