US Consumer Price Index - April 2026 | Crypto Craft

  • US Consumer Price Index - April 2026

    From bls.gov

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in April, after rising 0.9 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.8 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for energy rose 3.8 percent in April, accounting for over forty percent of the monthly all items increase. The shelter index also increased in April, rising 0.6 percent. The index for food increased 0.5 percent over the month as the index for food at home rose 0.7 percent and the index for food away from home ... (full story)

Added at 7:33am

  • Consumer prices rose 3.8% annually in April, more than expected

    From cnbc.com

    Prices that consumers pay for a wide range of goods and services increased at a faster-than-expected pace in April, raising further concerns about the inflationary impact on the U.S. economy. The consumer price index rose at a seasonally adjusted 0.6% for the month, putting the one-year pace at 3.8%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The monthly rate was as forecast, but the annual rate was 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus. Excluding food and energy, core CPI increased 0.4% and 2.8% respectively, indicating that while inflation is still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal, a ... (full story)

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EventsTrader
May 12, 2026 7:37am
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Hot. - The combination of elevated headline inflation, firmer core inflation, and sticky shelter/services pressure could likely push the Fed into a hawkish lean. The disinflation trend that ran through early 2026 has reversed.

Notable:

Energy: 3.8% m/m - Still the dominant inflation driver, accounting for over 40% of the headline CPI increase after an already massive 10.9% rise in March.

Food at home: 0.7% m/m - Grocery inflation reaccelerated sharply, led by meats/eggs (1.3%) and fruits/vegetables (1.8%).

Shelter: 0.6% m/m - Shelter remains sticky, with both rent and OER up 0.5%, continuing to pressure core inflation.

Airline fares: 2.8% m/m - Strong rebound after weakness earlier in the year, contributing to hotter services inflation.


New vehicles: -0.2% m/m - Auto pricing softened again, helping offset some core goods pressure.

Communication: -0.2% m/m - Continued weakness in communication prices added modest disinflationary pressure.

Medical care commodities: -0.4% m/m - Prescription drugs and related goods weakened further after prior softness.
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 7:54am
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The funny (if you can call it that) thing about energy being the biggest driver is that next month will certainly see numbers even higher (/cl is above 101 at the moment). Yeah, it will come down quickly, IF this situation ends, but we all know oil production/delivery can't just be turned on instantly. Wells have to start up. Ships have to sail. Refineries have to do their thing. Inflation is working its way through the system and no one can tell us how bad it will be (nor how much greater it will be each day the flow is stopped).

FED Fund Futures are still showing a hike in 2027 before any cut is possible. No cuts coming. Which is the same as the past few days.

What is known is that there wasn't a 1% down spike in equities on this release. So markets aren't too scared initially. Obviously, the cash will come in and "speak" as well, but if the /es can't break below around 7390, and the /nq below about 29070, this was all just another "buy the dip" opportunity.
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EventsTrader
May 12, 2026 8:03am
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Agreed on energy. The pipeline lag is the part most people aren't pricing in. Crude is still above 100. Even an immediate reversal in the Iran situation leaves us with at least another month or two of pressure feeding through, or more.

And yeah, a hike before a cut is the realistic base case at this point. The disinflation narrative that carried us through early 2026 is gone, shelter is still sticky, services reaccelerated, and energy is layering on top. Hard to see what gives the Fed cover to cut in that mix. Futures pricing in a 2027 hike before any cut feels right, maybe even generous on the timing.
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yieldjunkie
May 12, 2026 8:26am
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Spot-on
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FlyingTurtle
May 12, 2026 9:10am
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They can't hike because employment is not good, so inflation is irrelevant unless it gets much worse.
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EventsTrader
May 12, 2026 9:19am
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Claims just printed 200K, NFP came in at 115K vs 65K forecast, and unemployment held at 4.3%. Not the kind of backdrop that forces the Fed's hand on the dovish side, especially with inflation reaccelerating.
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FlyingTurtle
May 12, 2026 10:57am
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Powell said to subtract 60k from each report because they are always revised lower. For the last 2 years, jobs were overestimated by 1 million. So, subtracting 60k or 1 million leaves the jobs picture looking pretty bad.

https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/fed...mbers-741c635d

“If you adjust what has been the trend in job creation over the past, let’s say, six months, for what we think is the overstatement due to overcounting, effectively there’s zero net job creation in the private sector,” he added. https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/ar...185530646.html

So like I said, rate hikes are not possible.
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GhostHaven
May 12, 2026 7:44am
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when next is usa election? Please vote out that orange fraud
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SevereTDS
May 12, 2026 8:02am
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were taking over midterms and bernie will win the next president with aoc as vp!!!
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Trader#8BED
May 12, 2026 1:41pm
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Bro you're dumb. Bernie and AOC? We know what kind of clown you are
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GhostHaven
May 18, 2026 7:51am
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I hope
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Trader#5697
May 12, 2026 8:14am
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This inflation rise up is all because of the old man stupid and dumbest ever zZzZzzz lolzzzz
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Trader#A548
May 12, 2026 9:06am
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lmao. what other president got OPEC to break apart, and countries like UAE are starting to produce about 20% more oil than previous years while part of OPEC. Factor in that along with Valenzuela oil infrastucture is being rebuilt. So soon, within the next 6 months, the price of fuel/gasoline will come way down,which will bring the price of everything way down. You see this president is a business man, and fixes the root problem. He doesnt throw money at problems that do nothing to help the situation. I wish you the best with your severe TDS.
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Nordling
May 13, 2026 11:46pm
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I see oil at 100 bucks per barrel lil bro. I see no real "business" other than fucking your wallet up. It's time for you to finally zip it back, get off your knees, stand up and see that he messed up.
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FlyingTurtle
May 14, 2026 2:42am
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Gas prices may come down one day, but no other prices will. The only thing your president is good at is conning hillbillies into thinking 6 bankruptcies makes a good businessman.
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Schultz
May 14, 2026 3:31am
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A good businessman delivers under budget. Trump's ballroom is under budget.

Don't mention to the hillbillies that the budget has doubled, though.
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FlyingTurtle
May 14, 2026 5:00am
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Don't worry, hillbillies are too busy searching for doctors with the most malpractice suits lol
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Ttub
May 12, 2026 10:37am
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totally rigged bro, its like it a=was a normal day manz
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DuranDuran
May 12, 2026 7:40am
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Rate hikes have to be on the table now. Warsh is screwed
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yieldjunkie
May 12, 2026 8:29am
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Warsh is about to disappoint nearly everyone.

Too slow/ineffectual (regarding cuts) for Trump, and too off-base for many of the other Fed governors.
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EventsTrader
May 12, 2026 9:26am
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We are going to have a new nickname coming for Warsh.
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FlyingTurtle
May 12, 2026 11:04am
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Washed-up Wash.
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yieldjunkie
May 12, 2026 11:55am
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Wishy-washy Warsh
Wimpy Warsh
Weasel Warsh

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Paulson13
May 12, 2026 7:41am
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Someone needs to shoot trump. Even cpi is rigged
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kingmirac
May 12, 2026 7:43am
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LOL
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FvnkyWvrrior
May 12, 2026 7:54am
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@FBI
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30ATradez
May 12, 2026 10:35am
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How about try it for yourself? dumbass
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kipperger
May 12, 2026 7:36am
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Probably rate cuts not gonna be on the table for a while...
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 7:45am
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Keep an eye on things here: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/int...atch-tool.html

There hasn't been a cut expected in 2026 nor in 2027 for DAYS now (according to the market).

There has been a 2027 HIKE priced in though, before a 2027 cut later the year....though I wouldn't call a cut AFTER a hike the same as a "cut".

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kipperger
May 12, 2026 8:03am
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Yes I always watch FedWatchTool, to get a better view on what the market prices in. And you are correct rate cuts are not expected for a while, but in these turbulent times a lot can change in a short period time. I just wanted to express that rate cuts are not the most likely scenario, because a lot of people still think Fed should cut! Cheers!
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Ttub
May 12, 2026 10:40am
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u cant just replicate this
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Shiham
May 12, 2026 7:33am
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Greater Cpi is the greatest disaster for usa. everytime a greater cpi doesn't mean the better at all
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 7:38am
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Not true at all. If the whisper number was expected to be 4.5% and it came in at 3.8%, which is above the previous estimates and above "forecast", that could still be a VERY strong buy.

We are seeing the first examples of that here. The number is pretty much "in line" with expectations, and the dip is being bought.....at least for the first 10 minutes.
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Electron12
May 12, 2026 7:40am
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Ya just being bought buy retail with logic like you. Wait til market open
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Trader#491B
May 12, 2026 9:08am
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trading is more complicated than just buying and selling pressure its simply time and price delivery watch at ny lunch what happens 10:30 to 11:30
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Trader#2682
May 12, 2026 7:35am
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This doesn't affect the market, everyone's still buying This means that the market follows only Trump
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charliepaks
May 12, 2026 7:49am
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looks like a liquidity grab to the upside of a 4H FVG
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Trader#F7E6
May 12, 2026 7:51am
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stfu ict nerd
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Trader#81EA
May 12, 2026 8:00am
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My thoughts.
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Trader#87F6
May 12, 2026 1:37pm
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chill be nice
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Trader#491B
May 12, 2026 9:13am
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NO!!! there isnt a liquidity sweep to the upside at ath (ALL TIME HIGHS) that makes 0 (cents)
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Trader#A9DE
May 12, 2026 7:35am
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sell gold
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Trader#897A
May 12, 2026 11:18am
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why?
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Trader#87F6
May 12, 2026 1:38pm
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i did lol
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gentleamk
May 12, 2026 7:39am
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F trump
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Trader#9DB4
May 12, 2026 7:47am
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This f trump. This gold shit should be going down like the titanic
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Ttub
May 12, 2026 10:39am
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100 times my guy
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 7:35am — Edited
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And there it is: all the "war inflation risk" in the market and numbers are pretty much right on the screws.

Now investors have to decide if inflation just hasn't made its way INTO the market yet....or, if it was all over-hyped.

From the fact that there was zero price action (relatively speaking) from the number's release (17.75 pt 5 min range on the /es since the release?? wtf??? a CPI release???), and the fact that EVERY SINGLE DIP has been bought for the past 5 weeks, I think it is safe to know where this is going, at least initially.
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fawadkhanfk
May 12, 2026 7:41am
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Buy gold from Any nearest demand.
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fawadkhanfk
May 12, 2026 7:42am
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city 4735
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fawadkhanfk
May 12, 2026 7:42am
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4749
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Trader#498E
May 12, 2026 7:50am
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Nice
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fawadkhanfk
May 12, 2026 7:53am
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Easy One
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Electron12
May 12, 2026 7:32am
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Oof RIP market
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Trader#CAF7
May 12, 2026 7:36am
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not really
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Jaatsk
May 12, 2026 7:38am
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Finally break even hahah
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Trader#2682
May 12, 2026 7:37am
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Why is it going up? What a scam nowadays
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 8:04am
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Not "as bad" as people had expected?? ....or someone forgot to turn on the algo machines.

Things will happen one way or another on the cash open.

That said, semis had a sizable range overnight. Since people are buying every dip, this is the first time in a while that has been possible (to this extent)....so more cash may just flow in.

/Cl over 101 at the moment should be a sign of worry for the markets, but there doesn't seem to be much concern at present over oil prices. Go figure?
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Filippp
May 12, 2026 7:38am
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why the market is still going up?
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paulodoug1
May 12, 2026 7:42am
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only God knows, maybe there is high volatility. only those that have strong EA survive this
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Filippp
May 12, 2026 7:46am
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the support on heatmap shouldnt be that powerful tho
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yeesiung
May 12, 2026 7:44am
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Fed chair nomination fail
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FlyingTurtle
May 12, 2026 11:07am
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Fed can't hike because employment is bad, so real rates are going down, which is USD bearish and bullish for stocks.
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W0lfram
May 12, 2026 7:36am
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"Volatility now" - Where's volatility?

May's data will print YoY 4%+
ffghost
May 12, 2026 7:43am — Edited
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It was exciting to see that red daily candle forming....even for a few minutes though, wasn't it?

Fingers crossed any CPI number bounce is seen as an opportunity to take some profits and wait till NVDA earnings.

The Russell and equal-weighted S&P care about CPI.....the high-flying semi-stocks likely don't care as much though: datacenters are driving this train. The big question is: do AI datacenters care about higher CPI? If consumers stay home and don't travel as much, that's more AI crap they "need".

.....but we are early in the day, and we'll see how this turns out.

.....so much for that 1% down candle on the print though
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AaronWard
May 12, 2026 8:14am
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Watching the pot boil
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future911
May 12, 2026 7:49am
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We need more tariffs now and ridicule the fed to cut rates!!!!
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ffghost
May 12, 2026 8:01am
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Well, he was commenting such things yesterday....but that was then, this is now.

Unfortunately for that effort, the president is likely focusing heavily on the China trip. No time to get bored and tweet some ostentatious allegations about Powell being "too late" and having caused this inflationary spike.

Plus, he likely doesn't want to rock the boat before Warsh is officially confirmed later today.
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BillyIdol
May 12, 2026 7:38am
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Donald! Donald! Donald!
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Polimini
May 13, 2026 4:01am
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I was also a fan of Donald Duck when i was a kid.
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Akiral
May 12, 2026 8:09am
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Good day everyone in the market. Gold is widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currency. The CPI released is too high and that is very bad about USD and the Real yield is falling again. With falling real yield , high inflation and interest rate is unchanged some weeks again, you can't expect Gold to be coming down. Market is moved by macro data: Interest rate, Inflation trend and Real yield ( the most important factor). Chart me up on my WhatsApp to know more about XAUUSD ( 08139272957)
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AK.47
May 12, 2026 7:55am
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wait could someone please explain why there's no insane volatility or spike?
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Saima.mou
May 12, 2026 7:36am
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silver & gold down, down & down...... enjoy the journey
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Trader#DD49
May 12, 2026 7:37am
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You sure
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paulodoug1
May 12, 2026 7:43am
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yeah check
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Saima.mou
May 12, 2026 7:45am
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interest is not decreasing by fed. and ultimately dollar will be strong. so, silver & gold will be down
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Trader#E6A9
May 12, 2026 7:42am
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Sell gold
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paulodoug1
May 12, 2026 7:46am
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do you trade manually or using an automated system? I use an automated system
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Trader#6015
May 12, 2026 7:52am
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what ist the name
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Trader#258E
May 12, 2026 7:55am
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No response from NFP and CPI lol
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Rebuke13
May 12, 2026 7:43am
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shit cpi didn't cause a dent
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eliasnoeredl
May 12, 2026 7:44am
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The underlying CPI wasn't as expected, almost normal, so there won't be any strength in the dollar. I've been waiting for this since yesterday, hahaha, just kidding.
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Yapkahaw
May 12, 2026 7:46am
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No response at all, hahaha
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povtrader
May 12, 2026 7:52am
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Just because the result was higher than expected does not mean higher inflation is good for the US. Gold Buys.
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gentleamk
May 12, 2026 7:55am
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Market is gone
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SevereTDS
May 12, 2026 7:58am
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orange blumpf is finished come midterms! progressives are taking control!!!
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Empire931
May 12, 2026 8:03am
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Gold will down or crash ??
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Trader#AFF0
May 12, 2026 8:03am
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when idiots can't trade they find excuse, if you don't see any anything sit on your hands and wait for the trade to come to you
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Raymond21
May 12, 2026 10:30am
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All buyers successfully trapped, hehe
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Ttub
May 12, 2026 10:38am
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CPI was totally rigged today, they just need to end that brown ass trump
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HenryCole
May 12, 2026 12:28pm
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Does anybody believe these Trumpino-Numbers?
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Trader#43A5
May 12, 2026 7:38am
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hmm
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Trader#D835
May 12, 2026 7:40am
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wthelly is goin on
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Trader#A5C5
May 12, 2026 7:41am
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Gold is going up not down
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Trader#0436
May 12, 2026 7:43am
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Damn yall emotional asses need to get that TDS checked out ASAP, it screams “IM UNPROFITABLE AF” to real traders
Reply
Trader#A541
May 12, 2026 7:45am
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But but captain orange tard said no inflation!!!!!
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Trader#68C9
May 12, 2026 7:45am
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That time has been changed
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Trader#2682
May 12, 2026 7:45am
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Is this the biggest fakeout?
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Trader#B3A3
May 12, 2026 7:46am
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wow . Gold is going Opposite Direction . kudos
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Trader#CFAA
May 12, 2026 7:47am
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Does crypto market dump or no
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Trader#7457
May 12, 2026 7:47am
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Nice print on the CPI Donnie.
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Trader#B3A3
May 12, 2026 7:48am
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Sell gold now
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Trader#C725
May 12, 2026 7:53am
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sell the ass
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Trader#66EF
May 12, 2026 7:50am
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Buy or sell?
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Trader#E045
May 12, 2026 7:50am
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what about the xauusd price ?
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Trader#2682
May 12, 2026 7:53am
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absolute scam, save your money
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Trader#206B
May 12, 2026 7:54am
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Omg, it's terrible
Reply
Trader#336A
May 12, 2026 7:59am
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USD
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