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Is the Federal Reserve likely to cut interest rates in December? Here's what economists say.
Just a few weeks ago, a December interest rate cut was viewed as practically a done deal by many economists. Now, with fresh government data showing solid U.S. job growth in September, many forecasters think the Federal Reserve is likely to hold off lowering borrowing costs when policy makers meet next month. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut now stands at 22%, down from a likelihood of 97% as of mid-October, according to economists polled by financial data company FactSet. CME Fedwatch, a tool that forecasts rate cuts based on changes in the 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices, gives slightly better odds of ... (full story)
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From @FirstSquawk|Nov 21, 2025$1,000,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes.
From @financialjuice|Nov 21, 2025ECB's de Guindos: Inflation evolution is positive and services is easing ECB's de Guindos: The current level of rates is appropriate
From @financialjuice|Nov 21, 2025ECB's President Lagarde: Fiscal packages will have a measurable growth effect ECB's President Lagarde: ECB cuts are increasingly supporting financing conditions ECB's President Lagarde: ECB will continue to adjust policy as needed ECB's President Lagarde: ECB is playing its part by delivering price stability
From resilience to strength: unleashing Europe’s domestic market I would like to start with a quote: “The world around us does not stand still. In recent years, the global environment has been transformed in ways that none of us could have imagined. We have seen the post-war global order fracturing, the rise of new – and some old – powers, rapid changes in technology, and an uncertain outlook for global trade and finance. Uncertainty abounds and conventional wisdom is being challenged, in politics, in diplomacy and in economics. And, unavoidably, this calls on Europe to consider its place in the world and reset its ambitions.” This may sound like the kind of passage you have heard in many speeches this year. But, in fact, it is from the first speech I gave as ECB President – at this very conference in November 2019.[ 1 ]
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From pmi.spglobal.com|Nov 21, 2025UK private sector businesses experienced a softer expansion in activity during November, primarily due to a loss of momentum in the service sector, which reported a decline in new ...
From @financialjuice|Nov 21, 2025|2 commentsEU's Von der Leyen at G20: We will discuss scaling up renewable energy, digital governance and AI. EU'S VON DER LEYEN AT G20: WE'RE WORKING NONSTOP TO FINALISE TRADE AGREEMENTS WITH INDIA, AUSTRALIA, UAE, THAILAND, PHILIPPINES AND MALAYSIA
From morningstar.com|Nov 21, 2025|3 commentsHave we seen this movie before? The simultaneous decline in Japanese bond yields and its currency (USDJPY) is reminding Deutsche Bank's head of currency research of Liz Truss's ...
