Fed minutes could show whether Waller and Bowman had company in favoring rate cuts soon | Crypto Craft

  • Fed minutes could show whether Waller and Bowman had company in favoring rate cuts soon

    From zawya.com

    Last month's decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to hold interest rates unchanged prompted dissents from two top central bankers who wanted to lower rates to guard against further weakening of the job market, and a readout of that two-day gathering on Wednesday could show whether their concerns had started to resonate with other policymakers, perhaps reinforcing expectations that borrowing-cost reductions could begin next month. Not even 48 hours after the conclusion of the July 29-30 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, data from the Labor Department appeared to validate the concerns of Fed Vice Chair for ... (full story)

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Vancarbon
Aug 20, 2025 4:20am — Edited
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A Fed rate cut is coming September , the debate is 0.25% or 0.5% . Also the wording to the accompanying statement and potentially how many more cuts this year .

Let’s not kid ourselves that inflation won’t be sacrificed at the altar for the sake of employment .

Is everything priced in or are we shaking out prior to the meeting and another leg up ?

For myself, that’s the only question that needs asking .
Reply
ocd
Aug 20, 2025 8:07am
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Quoting Vancarbon
Let’s not kid ourselves that inflation won’t be sacrificed at the altar for the sake of employment

Definitely. There are no safe moves for this economy any longer, every decision will have negative consequences. After decades of temporary appeasements, US policy makers (along with the Fed) have now boxed themselves into a corner. To add to this monumental clusterf*ck, the national debt is a ridiculous $37 trillion and climbing.

No single man or group of men will fix this. Ultimately it ends with massive deflation or hyperinflation, there's just no way out...unless a major war happens and some genius decides to just wipe the debt. Then more dominoes fall
Reply
BaliBoyz80
Aug 20, 2025 5:11am
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gold suddenly strong ? still impossible touch 3200 price. funny movement from gold....lolz
Reply
Trader#952C
Aug 20, 2025 6:49am
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Quoting Vancarbon
A Fed rate cut is coming September , the debate is 0.25% or 0.5% . Also the wording to the accompanying statement and potentially how many more cuts this year . Let’s not kid ourselves that inflation won’t be sacrificed at the altar for the sake of employment . Is everything priced in or are we shaking out prior to the meeting and another leg up ? For myself, that’s the only question that needs asking .
VanCrab.....0.25% if that.

The herd is running with their own narrative.

PPI is a forward looking data...that feeds into PCE, which in turns feeds into CPI.

Be well!!!!
Reply
Trader#584F
Aug 20, 2025 5:21am
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either it goes down now with fib level, or with 4h sweep
Reply
Trader#584F
Aug 20, 2025 7:25am
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so as I thought, easy money on gold after liq sweep
Reply
Trader#B552
Aug 20, 2025 8:06am
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will this effect NAS100?
Reply
Trader#82C0
Aug 20, 2025 9:07am
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looking to go long on Nas/ 4 hr pull back may be over
Reply

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Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
From federalreserve.gov | Aug 20, 2025 | 129 comments
Participants continued their discussion related to the ongoing review of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy strategy, tools, and communication practices (framework review). They observed that they had made important progress toward revising the Committee's Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy (consensus statement). Participants discussed potential revisions to the consensus statement that would incorporate lessons learned from economic developments since the 2020 framework review and would be designed to be robust across a wide range of economic conditions. Participants noted that the Committee was close to finalizing changes to the consensus statement and would do so in the near future. The manager turned first to a review of financial market developments. Over the intermeeting period, the expected path of the policy rate and longer-term Treasury yields were little changed, equity prices increased, credit spreads narrowed, and the dollar depreciated slightly. The manager noted that markets continued to be attentive to news related to trade policy, though markets' reaction to incoming information on this topic was more restrained than in April and May. Against this backdrop, the manager reported that the Open Market Desk's Survey of Market Expectations (Desk survey) indicated that the median respondent's expectations regarding both real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and inflation were roughly unchanged. *FED: MANY NOTED FULL EFFECT OF TARIFFS COULD TAKE SOME TIME *FED: SEVERAL NOTED CONCERNS ABOUT ELEVATED ASSET VALUATIONS *FED: MAJORITY SAW INFLATION RISK OUTWEIGHING EMPLOYMENT RISK Fed Minutes: Some participants said it would not be feasible or appropriate to wait for complete clarity on the tariffs' effects on inflation before adjusting monetary policy. Fed Minutes: Several participants said that the current target range for the federal funds rate may not be far above its neutral level.
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Fed meeting minutes will expose dissent, Powell’s keynote speech could signal pivot – Experts
From kitco.com | Aug 20, 2025 | 9 comments
Markets in the United States and around the world are anxiously awaiting the resumption of the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle, which began with a 50-basis-point cut in September 2024, but ended in December after two more 25-bps cuts. Gold traders are particularly eager to see lower rates, as the easing of the trade tariff premium has left precious ...
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