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  • #1,881
  • Jul 5, 1:01pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:01pm (26 hr ago)
2h u r here now
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  • #1,882
  • Jul 5, 1:03pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:03pm (26 hr ago)
GL Bulls if we can hold 62,540 or a pullback here soon
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  • #1,883
  • Jul 5, 1:05pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:05pm (26 hr ago)
a closer look
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  • #1,884
  • Jul 5, 1:09pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:09pm (26 hr ago)
long algo scalpers will exit here 4/5 house money then after the 62,540 entry again - reducing risk
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  • #1,885
  • Jul 5, 1:10pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:10pm (26 hr ago)
62,540 long scalping house here now
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  • #1,886
  • Jul 5, 1:15pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:15pm (26 hr ago)
taking ages to decide who takes 62,540 zzzz
rocket mode here if bulls can hold it here >62,540 long scalping this !
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  • #1,887
  • Jul 5, 1:23pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:23pm (26 hr ago)
if bulls can hold this >62,540 next TPS' levels
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  • #1,888
  • Jul 5, 1:27pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:27pm (26 hr ago)
62,540 long scalpers like zzzzzzz
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  • #1,889
  • Jul 5, 1:43pm (26 hr ago) Jul 5, 1:43pm (26 hr ago)
and da pop !
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  • #1,890
  • Jul 5, 4:19pm (23 hr ago) Jul 5, 4:19pm (23 hr ago)
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} second attempt and last one this weekend short 63050 sl 63473 yes i don't learn of mistake i make it twice to be sure tp 60710 {image} {image}
trade manual closed with little profit.
I won't give up.
  • #1,891
  • Jul 5, 8:09pm (19 hr ago) Jul 5, 8:09pm (19 hr ago)
This is my BTC Weekly Outlook & Monday Battle Plan — July 6 Week Kickoff
Macro Landscape & Trend Scores
* Weekly: Improving (Engulfed the body of June 22nd; actively rejecting the $60,000$ – $63,000$ psychological levels).
* Daily: Transitioning from recovery to an emerging uptrend.

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  1. 4H: Bullish | 1H: Bullish (Note: The 1H breakout candle printed with noticeably high institutional volume).
  2. Momentum (4H/1H): MACD remains comfortably above the zero line with a positive histogram. DMI confirms +DI remains entirely dominant.

Areas of Interest (AOI) For The Week
*Resistance: Daily Swing High: $67,200 | Weekly S/R: $65,700 | Pivot Confluence Zone: $64,500 (Confluence of June 15 WP, June 22 WP, and July MP—major resistance for the bulls).
* Support: Weekly Swing Low: $60,000 | Psychological Floor: $58,000 | WS2: $55,500

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Battle Plan for Monday, July 6
Key Levels:
* Day Open (DO): $63,580 | Daily Pivot (DP): $63,301 | Yesterday's Open (YO): $63,086

Execution Strategy:
* Long Criteria (Current Bias): Price holds the DP/YO confluence zone, followed by a bullish engulfing candle or a strong lower rejection wick.
-- Targets: 1st: $64,200 | 2nd: $64,600 | 3rd: $65,700

* Short Criteria (Counter-Trend): Price fails to hold YO, breaks cleanly below, and validates the breakdown with a lower high/strong upper rejection wick.
-- Targets: 1st: $62,500 | 2nd: $61,750

High Impact News for NY Session.
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  • #1,892
  • Jul 5, 8:16pm (19 hr ago) Jul 5, 8:16pm (19 hr ago)
Hi all. Just posting a chart with my thoughts.
I went back to EW basics that worked for me on the way down to the lows
Missed the sale of the downtrend line touch (which, in this case turned out to be a good thing)
Missed the retest of the downtrend line after the breakout (Not good)
What is one to do? The weekend was quite busy for me. Not able to analyse much.
Anyway, we have a brand new week ahead.
Good luck everyone. Keep posting your thoughts
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,893
  • Jul 5, 9:01pm (18 hr ago) Jul 5, 9:01pm (18 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
Hi all. Just posting a chart with my thoughts. I went back to EW basics that worked for me on the way down to the lows Missed the sale of the downtrend line touch (which, in this case turned out to be a good thing) Missed the retest of the downtrend line after the breakout (Not good) What is one to do? The weekend was quite busy for me. Not able to analyse much. Anyway, we have a brand new week ahead. Good luck everyone. Keep posting your thoughts {image}
Excellent mapping, Olu. It’s incredibly clean how your EW count matches up mathematically with my pivot framework. Your projected Wave (B) pullback targeting that $60,500 liquidity pocket perfectly aligns right under my Monday structural floor (YO: 63,086 and DP: 63,301). If the bulls fail to protect this immediate daily zone, that $60,500 block is the exact institutional demand area to hunt for the Wave (C) launch. Don't sweat missing the initial trendline retest—the market always provides a secondary signature if that Wave (C) expansion leg is real!
  • #1,894
  • Jul 6, 5:56am (10 hr ago) Jul 6, 5:56am (10 hr ago)
Just poking my head in
This is my current line of thought.
It looks like we are in retracement territory right now.
Price has backed off from the recent highs near 1000 points.
I want to dare say the EW A is in and the market is working on the B right now.
An EW B wave is a mad zone that is time-wasting (like a wave 4) and has a lot of structures it can appear as.
Please be careful not to trade changing your mind often.
Wave B can oscillate like a heart monitor
By the way all the above is if I am correct in my observation.
Please do you. It's your account. Post your thoughts, trades or arguments though as this is learning material
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,895
  • Jul 6, 6:50am (9 hr ago) Jul 6, 6:50am (9 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
This is my BTC Weekly Outlook & Monday Battle Plan — July 6 Week Kickoff Macro Landscape & Trend Scores * Weekly: Improving (Engulfed the body of June 22nd; actively rejecting the $60,000$ – $63,000$ psychological levels). * Daily: Transitioning from recovery to an emerging uptrend. {image} 4H: Bullish | 1H: Bullish (Note: The 1H breakout candle printed with noticeably high institutional volume). Momentum (4H/1H): MACD remains comfortably above the zero line with a positive histogram. DMI confirms +DI remains entirely dominant. Areas of Interest...
Price is now in a decision zone after losing short-term momentum. While the higher timeframe still favors buyers, the market is currently asking for confirmation to validate my Long Bias. The initial breakout failed to find continuation, and price has fallen back below the DO/YO cluster, finding local support in the $62,560$ – $62,400$ zone.

Technical Indicators:
* 1H MACD: Momentum is still positive overall, but the histogram is contracting. This indicates that momentum needs to rebuild before a high-quality continuation can trigger.
* 1H DMI: +DI remains above -DI, but the gap has narrowed below 25. Buyers still hold a slight edge, though it is temporarily weakening.

Updated Plan:
* Bulls: Need to reclaim and defend the $63,000 level. Alternatively, if price prints a strong bullish rejection candle on declining sell volume right here within this $62,4000 – $62,500 demand area, it will offer a high-quality long setup with tight risk.

* Bears: A decisive close below the $62,400 support zone shifts the local picture. If that occurs, I expect a deeper test of $62,200 – $62,000, and potentially the macro $61,600 – $61,800 block.
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  • #1,896
  • Jul 6, 7:33am (8 hr ago) Jul 6, 7:33am (8 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Price is now in a decision zone after losing short-term momentum. While the higher timeframe still favors buyers, the market is currently asking for confirmation to validate my Long Bias. The initial breakout failed to find continuation, and price has fallen back below the DO/YO cluster, finding local support in the $62,560$ – $62,400$ zone. Technical Indicators: * 1H MACD: Momentum is still positive overall, but the histogram is contracting. This indicates that momentum needs to rebuild before a high-quality continuation can trigger. *...
It went straight to $61,790—the long setup plan is officially invalidated. Sitting out and waiting for a new base to form.
  • #1,897
  • Edited 8:11am Jul 6, 7:59am (8 hr ago) | Edited 8:11am
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Price is now in a decision zone after losing short-term momentum. While the higher timeframe still favors buyers, the market is currently asking for confirmation to validate my Long Bias. The initial breakout failed to find continuation, and price has fallen back below the DO/YO cluster, finding local support in the $62,560$ – $62,400$ zone. Technical Indicators: * 1H MACD: Momentum is still positive overall, but the histogram is contracting. This indicates that momentum needs to rebuild before a high-quality continuation can trigger. *...
Good point Toboso01.
I was looking for a time-wasting staircasing down but price dived impulsively.
Was looking for a 3 wave move as well
Price is now right back under the downtrend line.
Watching the 60.8k area closely now.
The long tendency is at the back of my mine but price diving/slicing through the said area could get me short
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,898
  • Jul 6, 9:54am (6 hr ago) Jul 6, 9:54am (6 hr ago)
Bitcoin is retracing.
My chart shows that price can still be in keeping with my earlier idea
My thoughts are that the fall from 83k has completed a 5 wave decline and price needs to have a 3 wave rally.
Price hac move up impulsively and completed the a wave of an a-b-c move (red depiction)
Within the b wave a fractal 3 wave move is expected as shown in the yellow depiction.
My thoughts are that after all the yellow is done we will have a strong and tradable move to the upside that could to 70k
At least higher than where the yellow a started.
Just my thoughts
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,899
  • Jul 6, 10:59am (5 hr ago) Jul 6, 10:59am (5 hr ago)
This current movement was due to the news release.
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  • #1,900
  • Jul 6, 11:04am (4 hr ago) Jul 6, 11:04am (4 hr ago)
[quote=Toboso01;15789572]This current movement was due to the news release. {image}[/quote
It looks perfect.
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