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Bitcoin trading calls

  • #1,801
  • Jun 30, 9:07pm (17 hr ago) Jun 30, 9:07pm (17 hr ago)
Price hit 57.7k new low and threw in a doji off support.
Couldn't get my entry sell retracement and had less screen time today
It looks like a liquidity sweep
Will consider going long (smaller stake) on an hourly close above 58848 - the red line.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,802
  • Jun 30, 9:39pm (17 hr ago) Jun 30, 9:39pm (17 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
Price hit 57.7k new low and threw in a doji off support. Couldn't get my entry sell retracement and had less screen time today It looks like a liquidity sweep Will consider going long (smaller stake) on an hourly close above 58848 - the red line. {image}
Bought 58946. 500 stop
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,803
  • Jun 30, 10:29pm (16 hr ago) Jun 30, 10:29pm (16 hr ago)
BTC rejected the Swing Low (Sw.L) on the 1H chart and printed a W-pattern, breaking the neckline with strong momentum. It is now rejecting the Daily Pivot (DP). I see two scenarios and their probabilities:

  1. Scenario 1 (Bullish Countertrend): If price retests the neckline and the green trendline, it could signal momentary bullish momentum for a countertrend buy targeting Yesterday's Open (YO).
  2. Scenario 2 (Bearish Continuation): Conversely, if price breaks below the neckline and the trendline, and closes a 1H candle below the Daily Open (DO), the downtrend resumes, targeting 57,300 – 56,400.

I'll wait for one of these scenarios to trigger and confirm my entry.

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  • #1,804
  • Edited 3:00am Jul 1, 2:49am (12 hr ago) | Edited 3:00am
Quoting Toboso01
BTC rejected the Swing Low (Sw.L) on the 1H chart and printed a W-pattern, breaking the neckline with strong momentum. It is now rejecting the Daily Pivot (DP). I see two scenarios and their probabilities: Scenario 1 (Bullish Countertrend): If price retests the neckline and the green trendline, it could signal momentary bullish momentum for a countertrend buy targeting Yesterday's Open (YO). Scenario 2 (Bearish Continuation): Conversely, if price breaks below the neckline and the trendline, and closes a 1H candle below the Daily Open (DO), the downtrend...
Good plan Toboso01.
Just closed my overnight long. It was not doing well.
All the energy of the reversal candle appears to have dissipated.
EDIT:
Added chart
Could try again on another hourly close above the red line
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,805
  • Jul 1, 4:02am (10 hr ago) Jul 1, 4:02am (10 hr ago)
Price is below my red line but is putting in bullish looking candles.
Going long again is now on the cards.
Right now it is looking like my stop was just not enough for this trade.
And that is on me as a trader.
I will watch as long as I can.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,806
  • Jul 1, 4:30am (10 hr ago) Jul 1, 4:30am (10 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
Price is below my red line but is putting in bullish looking candles. Going long again is now on the cards. Right now it is looking like my stop was just not enough for this trade. And that is on me as a trader. I will watch as long as I can. {image}
Now my probability changes. I added a new downtrend line. What am I seeing? Even though the price is bouncing up from the neckline, I am currently buying at resistance. Price is rejecting the Daily Pivot (DP), so I need to see a clean break above the DP and this new trendline. Buyers are facing new obstacles here.
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  • #1,807
  • Jul 1, 5:00am (9 hr ago) Jul 1, 5:00am (9 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Now my probability changes. I added a new downtrend line. What am I seeing? Even though the price is bouncing up from the neckline, I am currently buying at resistance. Price is rejecting the Daily Pivot (DP), so I need to see a clean break above the DP and this new trendline. Buyers are facing new obstacles here. {image}
This is what happens when price is at serious lows. Price will have a wall to climb to progress upwards
Especially when there are technical (downtrend in place) and fundamental reasons (potential serious supply) to go down.
And just technical reasons to go up (oversold, support line, bullish divergence, doji)
All these have to be worked through by players bigger than us.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,808
  • Jul 1, 5:16am (9 hr ago) Jul 1, 5:16am (9 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
{quote} This is what happens when price is at serious lows. Price will have a wall to climb to progress upwards Especially when there are technical (downtrend in place) and fundamental reasons (potential serious supply) to go down. And just technical reasons to go up (oversold, support line, bullish divergence, doji) All these have to be worked through by players bigger than us.
Exactly! As retail traders, we can't predict every move. We adapt by letting the market earn our trade, meeting predefined conditions, and acting accordingly, scenario by scenario.
  • #1,809
  • Jul 1, 7:07am (7 hr ago) Jul 1, 7:07am (7 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Now my probability changes. I added a new downtrend line. What am I seeing? Even though the price is bouncing up from the neckline, I am currently buying at resistance. Price is rejecting the Daily Pivot (DP), so I need to see a clean break above the DP and this new trendline. Buyers are facing new obstacles here. {image}
Entering short, following my short criteria.

  1. SL: 59,418
  2. TP Targets to watch:

    1. 1st: 58,000
    2. 2nd: 57,300
    3. 3rd: 56,500


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  • #1,810
  • Jul 1, 7:13am (7 hr ago) Jul 1, 7:13am (7 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Entering short, following my short criteria. SL: 59,418 TP Targets to watch: 1st: 58,000 2nd: 57,300 3rd: 56,500 {image}
We have some news during the NY session; let's see if it gives us the push we need.
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  • #1,811
  • Jul 1, 7:17am (7 hr ago) Jul 1, 7:17am (7 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} We have some news during the NY session; let's see if it gives us the push we need. {image}
I was just about post that short seems to be the way to go as price is making waves to the downside. We are agreed then
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,812
  • Jul 1, 7:23am (7 hr ago) Jul 1, 7:23am (7 hr ago)
Hloo members
its me again telling you my fellows to buy bitcoin
today has kissed our long awaited entry ,me and my fellow live traders have entered the market

mark this day coz we buying untill the next all time high
buying real bitcoin on binance or... Is the best you can do even without analysis or you can analyse and look for long term buys

if today closes bullish look for re entries
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  • #1,813
  • Jul 1, 7:25am (7 hr ago) Jul 1, 7:25am (7 hr ago)
Short @58487.
Initial stop 58987.
TP open.
But I would really love to see the 57756 spike low to validate things
EDIT:
Not a lot of screen time going forward.
Would just have to trust the analysis will stand the test of time
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,814
  • Jul 1, 8:55am (5 hr ago) Jul 1, 8:55am (5 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} We have some news during the NY session; let's see if it gives us the push we need. {image}
BTC is currently reacting to the news release, with the initial spike favoring the bulls.
  • #1,815
  • Jul 1, 8:56am (5 hr ago) Jul 1, 8:56am (5 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
Short @58487. Initial stop 58987. TP open. But I would really love to see the 57756 spike low to validate things EDIT: Not a lot of screen time going forward. Would just have to trust the analysis will stand the test of time
Position blown out of the water.
Check out that candle.
Could be because Warsh was indecisive about interest rates
Whether that is true or not my short position is gone.
I will let things settle down for today and pick it back up afterwards
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,816
  • Jul 1, 9:04am (5 hr ago) Jul 1, 9:04am (5 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Entering short, following my short criteria. SL: 59,418 TP Targets to watch: 1st: 58,000 2nd: 57,300 3rd: 56,500 {image}
I'm still holding the short. Let's see if it hits my SL. Letting the strategy play out now.
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  • #1,817
  • Jul 1, 9:12am (5 hr ago) Jul 1, 9:12am (5 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} I'm still holding the short. Let's see if it hits my SL. Letting the strategy play out now. {image}
And my SL just got hit. That spike completely wiped out the short position. Better to stay flat for now and watch how the daily candle closes.
  • #1,818
  • Jul 1, 9:55am (4 hr ago) Jul 1, 9:55am (4 hr ago)
Quoting saidi01
hloo members its me again telling you my fellows to buy bitcoin today has kissed our long awaited entry ,me and my fellow live traders have entered the market mark this day coz we buying untill the next all time high buying real bitcoin on binance or... Is the best you can do even without analysis or you can analyse and look for long term buys if today closes bullish look for re entries {image}
i told you guys to start looking for buys from now on, now your ...
Any ways a re entry was there
but remember btc is now in long term buys nomatter what
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  • #1,819
  • Jul 1, 10:51am (3 hr ago) Jul 1, 10:51am (3 hr ago)
Quoting saidi01
{quote} i told you guys to start looking for buys from now on, now your ... Any ways a re entry was there but remember btc is now in long term buys nomatter what {image} {image}
Hi saidi01, thanks for sharing. Could you expand a bit on the insight behind your recommendation? Long-term buys could be on the table, but as a trader, I always look for structural confirmation first. This current consolidation phase is quite deceiving, and seeing your technical reasoning would help us make informed decisions rather than trading on hunches. Cheers!
  • #1,820
  • Jul 1, 11:49am (3 hr ago) Jul 1, 11:49am (3 hr ago)
Quoting Toboso01
{quote}...This current consolidation phase is quite deceiving...
Hi Toboso01,
Talking about consolidation check out this pattern on the chart.
Price is not out of the woods for a downside move imo.
I have sold 'triangle' borders successfully previously.
So I have laid in a small short @59983 with a 500 stop
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
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