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Bitcoin trading calls

  • #1,001
  • May 22, 2026 12:17am May 22, 2026 12:17am
Quoting MaGiix
just go short on 78072 sl at 78300 target 76400
76700 was obviously a better level to tp, Maybe next time
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I won't give up.
  • #1,002
  • May 22, 2026 12:22am May 22, 2026 12:22am
I have always been cognisant of the positive relationship of bitcoin to the stock market - irrespective of which one leads the other.
The stock market is up and threatening to go to the moon but bitcoin is floundering and even going down.
My chart shows a falling wedge which has been negated.
Usually price rockets up after negation but on this chart we are moving near enough sideways rather than actively going for the 81k area.
ETH is faring a bit better but long term there is not ETH strength without bitcoin strength.
What gives?
I think we are in a wait and see mode. News. News. News
Bitcoin is still bullish for now imho
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,003
  • May 22, 2026 12:34am May 22, 2026 12:34am
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} 76700 was obviously a better level to tp, Maybe next time {image}
I hear you MaGiix but that target really depends on how long you wanted to hold the trade for.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,004
  • May 22, 2026 12:35am May 22, 2026 12:35am
Quoting Olu
I have always been cognisant of the positive relationship of bitcoin to the stock market - irrespective of which one leads the other. The stock market is up and threatening to go to the moon but bitcoin is floundering and even going down. My chart shows a falling wedge which has been negated. Usually price rockets up after negation but on this chart we are moving near enough sideways rather than actively going for the 81k area. ETH is faring a bit better but long term there is not ETH strength without bitcoin strength. What gives? I think we are...
Perhaps Bitcoin is to stock what Ethereum is to BTC? Risk off, The first to fall are ETH, then BTC, then stock? I'm trying to understand the correlations.

Quoting Olu
{quote} I hear you MaGiix but that target really depends on how long you wanted to hold the trade for.
Yes, that's true.
And for now, I can't maintain a position for more than a few hours; I get nervous and I ruminate.
I won't give up.
  • #1,005
  • May 22, 2026 12:53am May 22, 2026 12:53am
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} Perhaps Bitcoin is to stock what Ethereum is to BTC? Risk off, The first to fall are ETH, then BTC, then stock? I'm trying to understand the correlations. {quote} Yes, that's true. And for now, I can't maintain a position for more than a few hours; I get nervous and I ruminate.
You are correct MaGiix.
It is difficult trading correlations. Correlations are like fundamentals most times. Difficult to get the bite point.
Sometimes I think it is an 'after the fact' situation
For example, in this climate when crude oil goes up the stock markets should go down.
This rule sounds good.
Then why not trade crude oil then if it is the leader? Why trade bitcoin then?

Nervousness is not a bad thing unless it leads the trader into making bad decisions.
No one knows tomorrow and all we know is we have our money on the line.
As long as we have a profitable trading strategy we need to stick with it.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #1,006
  • May 22, 2026 1:12am May 22, 2026 1:12am
Quoting Olu
{quote} You are correct MaGiix. It is difficult trading correlations. Correlations are like fundamentals most times. Difficult to get the bite point. Sometimes I think it is an 'after the fact' situation For example, in this climate when crude oil goes up the stock markets should go down. This rule sounds good. Then why not trade crude oil then if it is the leader? Why trade bitcoin then? Nervousness is not a bad thing unless it leads the trader into making bad decisions. No one knows tomorrow and all we know is we have our money on the line. As...
Yes, that's true This would allow us to anticipate.

yes, i will try over time to increase my tolerance.
yes absolutely!
I won't give up.
  • #1,007
  • May 22, 2026 7:56am May 22, 2026 7:56am
This party sucks so far
  • #1,008
  • May 22, 2026 8:00am May 22, 2026 8:00am
I'm throwing in the towel
  • #1,009
  • May 22, 2026 8:50am May 22, 2026 8:50am
Can't beat em join em

Just went short
  • #1,010
  • May 22, 2026 9:01am May 22, 2026 9:01am
This feels dangerous, getting out of this too
  • #1,011
  • May 22, 2026 9:03am May 22, 2026 9:03am
Trying one more long. If this doesn't work out going to take a break
  • #1,012
  • May 22, 2026 10:12am May 22, 2026 10:12am
Quoting Zappa
Trying one more long. If this doesn't work out going to take a break
Same here, i wait the whole day to catch the rebound of tl and made me sl 2x, a little bit more and i blown my account, must stop for this week go to my watch workshop see you next week.
good week-end you all
I won't give up.
  • #1,013
  • May 22, 2026 10:33am May 22, 2026 10:33am
Quoting Zappa
Trying one more long. If this doesn't work out going to take a break
Got a stop at 76k and target at 79400

1:3 r/r trade

Would be nice to end the week on a good note
  • #1,014
  • May 22, 2026 10:34am May 22, 2026 10:34am
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} Same here, i wait the whole day to catch the rebound of tl and made me sl 2x, a little bit more and i blown my account, must stop for this week go to my watch workshop see you next week. good week-end you all
VERY tough market this week
  • #1,015
  • May 22, 2026 10:42am May 22, 2026 10:42am
Quoting Zappa
{quote} VERY tough market this week
oh ok im not alone that reassures me a little then, hopefully next week is better.
I won't give up.
  • #1,016
  • May 22, 2026 12:33pm May 22, 2026 12:33pm
Quoting MaGiix
{quote} oh ok im not alone that reassures me a little then, hopefully next week is better.
Was the worst week I've had this year.

Time for a break
  • #1,017
  • May 22, 2026 3:55pm May 22, 2026 3:55pm
HOW TO FUCK UP A TRADE:

Some people like to think they're really smart. Not me, I know I'm a fucking retard (don't worry, as a retard I don't take offense to that word).

All started last Saturday of all days. Went short Friday after CME close thinking there might be a big gap down. Sure enough by time I wake up Saturday morning the market has made a nice move down to start the weekend. From past experience, when a move starts on Friday, it will keep going until Sunday. Up to this point Im thinking 60k is in the cards. The TLs below, the weak structure on way up...everything I talked about it previous posts led me to believe that.

But then the market started going sideways all day Saturday and by Sunday I was starting to think this gap might be quickly filled since it stalled over weekend. I started thinking "this can't be that easy" and started to over-think the whole thing. How many times i have to learn that yes, it can be that easy.

There was a decent looking bottom formation on weekend and like a dumbass didn't want to miss the boat so went long shortly after CME open. Went downhill quickly, but didn't take the hint and instead started blinding myself with theories and the reading too much into strong looking buy orders.

The TLs below I've talked constantly about? Put that chart off to the side and disregard it. Why? Because I'm retarded of course!

Had plenty of opportunities to get out at b/e, but no, stayed in the trade and started making excuses why the correction looked like a correction but really wasn't. Why? Well you know why

So ended up sitting on this trade all week and finally getting stopped out today. Then of course I still hadn't processed what I was doing wrong and gave a long another chance. Another stopped out trade.

Been reviewing this whole fuckup ever since and just disgusted with myself. Ayyyyyeeee....
  • #1,018
  • May 22, 2026 4:54pm May 22, 2026 4:54pm
Traders should be happy, long-time owners looking for new highs, not so much, but will continue telling you to BUY.
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or is it bye to your money?
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
  • #1,019
  • May 22, 2026 6:37pm May 22, 2026 6:37pm
Quoting Zappa
HOW TO FUCK UP A TRADE: Some people like to think they're really smart. Not me, I know I'm a fucking retard (don't worry, as a retard I don't take offense to that word). ........... Ayyyyyeeee....
lol well i have not obviously gone through all of your trades but this smells pretty familiar to all to have ever plied a trade :-)

Went long back in Apr 15, got stopped along the way for minimal gains, tried once more (long) May 1, got stopped again. Chump change on that too so no harm, I'll take it, but now sitting on my hands. Thsi is just one security in play so need to play this one when there's nothing seemingly there.
QuantTrading
  • #1,020
  • May 23, 2026 12:52am May 23, 2026 12:52am
anyone pls answer , they is very big movement now whaats happens
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