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Bitcoin trading calls

  • #561
  • May 3, 2026 6:43am May 3, 2026 6:43am
near ~79200 test again
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  • #562
  • May 3, 2026 6:48am May 3, 2026 6:48am
Bears must hold it bellow 79 if near 79200 again soon . waiting for short term 4h downtrend test after a quick long scalp
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  • #563
  • May 3, 2026 6:52am May 3, 2026 6:52am
soon here 15m chart
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  • #564
  • Edited 7:35am May 3, 2026 7:01am | Edited 7:35am
According to my Technical and Fundamental Analysis ETHEREUM may hit a peak of 6326.11 or even further
And Bitcoin may hit a peak of 162 296,75 or go even higher

Only The Fed Has the Power to Stop This From Happening, with Their Monetary Policies, Interest Rates and Inflation. NO Whale,Private Equity or War Can Stop the Long-Term Cycles/ MACRO Trend from playing out this way.

This is just my opinion Not Investment Advice
Rra di chelete
  • #565
  • May 3, 2026 7:05am May 3, 2026 7:05am
near ~79200 test soon if above >78800 or a pullback now
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  • #566
  • May 3, 2026 7:13am May 3, 2026 7:13am
short scalp near 78900 holding it if bellow 78800
  • #567
  • May 3, 2026 7:15am May 3, 2026 7:15am
short here
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  • #568
  • May 3, 2026 7:34am May 3, 2026 7:34am
first support test a closer look.. out 3/5 of the short scalp house money now with an ok spread
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  • #569
  • May 3, 2026 7:36am May 3, 2026 7:36am
Quoting Olu
{quote} Out at 78324 because of a tightened stop Price went as low as 78k. I thought 78k would fold but it did not. So I tightened the stop and left it.
Was a well managed trade, Olu.
  • #570
  • May 3, 2026 7:37am May 3, 2026 7:37am
According to my Technical and Fundamental Analysis ETHEREUM may hit a peak of 6326.11 or even further
And Bitcoin may hit a peak of 162 296,75 or go even higher

Only The Fed Has the Power to Stop This From Happening, with Their Monetary Policies, Interest Rates and Inflation. NO Whale,Private Equity or War Can Stop the Long-Term Cycles/ MACRO Trend from playing out this way.

This is just my opinion Not Investment Advice
Rra di chelete
  • #571
  • May 3, 2026 7:41am May 3, 2026 7:41am
Quoting mannnnnnan
MY ANALAYSIS IS FOR BTC... IS MARKET PREVIOUS (HIGH LIQUIDITY SWEEP)+LONG WICK REJECTION AND CLOSED UNDER ON PREVIOUS SUPPLY ZONE ON 15MINUTE TF + TRENDLINE BREAK. I backtested this and observed that whenever there is a trend (either up or down), once a CHOCH occurs—like in BTC right now where buyers have made a CHOCH—the previous selling pressure is expected to return. This should happen when buyers start to weaken or stop. Also, there is a main FVG below on the 15-minute timeframe, which price is likely to come down and tap. If my analysis is...
Your analysis might be correct, or maybe it a not. Not a single trader alive is right 100% of the time. What i would tell you is that how you manage a trade is just as important, if not more.

Also, what is a CHOCH?
  • #572
  • May 3, 2026 7:45am May 3, 2026 7:45am
This market is just nasty. Bulls and bears can both lay claim to the nest solid move.
As Zappa says this market wants to punish as many people as possible before it shows its true hand
One thing is for sure though we need the 79.5k or the 74.9k area to break.
But this gap is a tradable gap and could be very profitable
EDIT:
Price was well supported at the 78k level this morning but it is too late for me to buy against that level now
I still think some news can happen before the asian open.
A downright rejection of the proposed deal, some additional taco manoeuvres or a downright show of power
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #573
  • May 3, 2026 7:45am May 3, 2026 7:45am
Quoting MR.DEB
go long for breakout take profit 85k resistance or supply zone sometimes could be a trap
Like it, but stop?
  • #574
  • May 3, 2026 7:48am May 3, 2026 7:48am
Quoting Tshepside
According to my Technical and Fundamental Analysis ETHEREUM may hit a peak of 6326.11 or even further And Bitcoin may hit a peak of 162 296,75 or go even higher Only The Fed Has the Power to Stop This From Happening, with Their Monetary Policies, Interest Rates and Inflation. NO Whale,Private Equity or War Can Stop the Long-Term Cycles/ MACRO Trend from playing out this way. This is just my opinion Not Investment Advice
Analyst Forecasts & Institutional Views
Bitcoin $150k+ (and higher) in 2026: Multiple Wall Street and crypto analysts support high targets. Bernstein maintains a $150,000 year-end 2026 target, citing ETF inflows and corporate treasury demand.
Standard Chartered, Cryptopolitan, and others project $150k or more, driven by halving effects, institutional adoption, and liquidity.Some technical/Fibonacci models extend to $170k–$230k in super-cycle scenarios.
Ethereum $6,000+: Analysts flag bullish on-chain signals (e.g., validator entry queues exceeding exits, echoing prior doublings). VanEck sees ~$6,000; others (Standard Chartered, Citi influences) target $6k–$8k under strong conditions like supply dynamics, L2 growth, and institutional demand. Technical patterns (e.g., monthly bullish pennant) project measured moves toward $6k by late 2026.
Rra di chelete
  • #575
  • May 3, 2026 7:49am May 3, 2026 7:49am
Quoting Tshepside
According to my Technical and Fundamental Analysis ETHEREUM may hit a peak of 6326.11 or even further And Bitcoin may hit a peak of 162 296,75 or go even higher Only The Fed Has the Power to Stop This From Happening, with Their Monetary Policies, Interest Rates and Inflation. NO Whale,Private Equity or War Can Stop the Long-Term Cycles/ MACRO Trend from playing out this way. This is just my opinion Not Investment Advice
Binance founder CZ (Changpeng Zhao) has publicly stated that 2026 could be a "super cycle" for Bitcoin, potentially breaking the traditional 4-year halving cycle due to pro-crypto U.S. policy, global adoption, and institutional flows. This aligns closely with Tshepside’s emphasis on unstoppable long-term trends. YouTube discussions (e.g., "Crypto Talk | Bitcoin Super Cycle 2026" featuring Bitwise Europe) explore this shift.
Rra di chelete
  • #576
  • May 3, 2026 7:50am May 3, 2026 7:50am
holding 2/5 of the short scalp .. waiting to see if bears can hold it
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  • #577
  • May 3, 2026 7:56am May 3, 2026 7:56am
Quoting Tshepside
According to my Technical and Fundamental Analysis ETHEREUM may hit a peak of 6326.11 or even further And Bitcoin may hit a peak of 162 296,75 or go even higher Only The Fed Has the Power to Stop This From Happening, with Their Monetary Policies, Interest Rates and Inflation. NO Whale,Private Equity or War Can Stop the Long-Term Cycles/ MACRO Trend from playing out this way. This is just my opinion Not Investment Advice
Playing the long game? Might be the best thing to do. Its the easiest becasue you dont have to do anything, just hold. Its the hardest because you have to have a strong conviction to hold through any big retracements.

Last high was 125k. 162k seems conservative, not that thats a bad thing
  • #578
  • May 3, 2026 7:58am May 3, 2026 7:58am
Quoting Tshepside
{quote} Analyst Forecasts & Institutional Views Bitcoin $150k+ (and higher) in 2026: Multiple Wall Street and crypto analysts support high targets. Bernstein maintains a $150,000 year-end 2026 target, citing ETF inflows and corporate treasury demand. Standard Chartered, Cryptopolitan, and others project $150k or more, driven by halving effects, institutional adoption, and liquidity.Some technical/Fibonacci models extend to $170k–$230k in super-cycle scenarios. Ethereum $6,000+: Analysts flag bullish on-chain signals (e.g., validator entry queues...
I like your contributions to thread, Tshepside
  • #579
  • May 3, 2026 8:03am May 3, 2026 8:03am
Quoting Zappa
{quote} I like your contributions to thread, Tshepside
thanks Zappa , trading can be lonely and tormenting sometimes. We all need a community no matter how brilliant we may seem.
Rra di chelete
  • #580
  • May 3, 2026 8:10am May 3, 2026 8:10am
Anyways, Im still long, stop still at 77,700, target still at 86k.

Btc tried to head to CME close price, but came up a little short. It shouldn't go there if im right about my trade. Was a good test though, and now I think it wont need to go back there again.

One thing with weekend trading...when CME closes and market goes a distance from close, then retreats back to area where the CME close was, VERY good chance it will revisit that area again when CME opens.

So for example. Btc at 78k at CME close. Travels to 80k, then retreats back to 78k by time CME opens again. Very good chance it will revisit 80k quickly.

Why? Because CME traders (in this case the traders who are short) didnt have to face that move to 80k over the weekend, because their market was closed. But when the market opens back up they will, and thats why when markets gap a considerable distance, its usually at the furthest point by the time CME opens.
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