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  • #96,301
  • Apr 30, 2026 3:22am Apr 30, 2026 3:22am
Quoting Izeey007
{quote} Just thinking if it gets to 690 area where the extreme supply is would it go back down?
It might just retest and continue upwards..
Just thinking
  • #96,302
  • Apr 30, 2026 3:53am Apr 30, 2026 3:53am
Quoting Izeey007
{quote} Just thinking if it gets to 690 area where the extreme supply is would it go back down?
Forget long-term, currently i am focusing on short-term immediate demand zone for buy setup.
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  • #96,303
  • Apr 30, 2026 3:59am Apr 30, 2026 3:59am
XAUUSD / Gold View – 15M Structure
My view on gold at the moment is that I wouldn’t call this a full bullish reversal just yet, but the short-term structure has definitely shifted more bullish compared to the previous sell-off.
On the 15M chart, gold sold off aggressively into the $4,510–$4,520 support area, then started building a recovery with higher lows. The important part for me is that price has now broken back above the previous intraday structure around $4,580–$4,590, which suggests buyers have regained short-term control.
That being said, price is now trading around the $4,615–$4,620 area after a sharp push up, so I personally wouldn’t want to chase longs here without a retest. The cleaner setup for me would be a pullback into $4,600, $4,590, or even $4,575–$4,580, and then watching whether buyers defend those zones.
For upside confirmation, I’m still watching the $4,640–$4,700 region. A clean break and hold above that area would make the bullish case much stronger and could suggest that the correction is ending, with potential continuation toward $4,800+.
However, if price fails to hold above the broken structure and starts trading back below $4,540–$4,500, then I think the deeper reset scenario is still valid. In that case, $4,500 remains very possible, and $4,300 only becomes realistic if $4,500 breaks decisively with strong bearish momentum.
So overall, my current bias is:
Short-term: bullish recovery / possible continuation if retests hold.
Medium-term: still cautious until $4,640–$4,700 is cleared.
Bearish scenario: back below $4,500 opens the door for a deeper reset.
For now, I see this as a bullish reaction from support, not yet a fully confirmed “way back up.” Confirmation comes either from a solid retest holding around $4,590–$4,600, or a clean breakout above $4,640–$4,700.
  • #96,304
  • Apr 30, 2026 4:31am Apr 30, 2026 4:31am
Quoting bullearish
XAUUSD / Gold View – 15M Structure My view on gold at the moment is that I wouldn’t call this a full bullish reversal just yet, but the short-term structure has definitely shifted more bullish compared to the previous sell-off. On the 15M chart, gold sold off aggressively into the $4,510–$4,520 support area, then started building a recovery with higher lows. The important part for me is that price has now broken back above the previous intraday structure around $4,580–$4,590, which suggests buyers have regained short-term control. That being said,...
seems like the BOJ just did an intervention, they did cause that gold bullish momentum, idk if usdjpy will flush towards 152 or this is just a small warning from BOJ
  • #96,305
  • Apr 30, 2026 4:37am Apr 30, 2026 4:37am
Just a rough idea - don't die by following it!
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  • #96,306
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:04am Apr 30, 2026 5:04am
Quoting arifchw
Just a rough idea - don't die by following it! {image}
I'll wait for the smooth one
  • #96,307
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:09am Apr 30, 2026 5:09am
What's you expected GOLD move in NY session. Sell aggressively from myside what's your's ?
  • #96,308
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:09am Apr 30, 2026 5:09am
Quoting bullearish
XAUUSD / Gold View – 15M Structure My view on gold at the moment is that I wouldn’t call this a full bullish reversal just yet, but the short-term structure has definitely shifted more bullish compared to the previous sell-off. On the 15M chart, gold sold off aggressively into the $4,510–$4,520 support area, then started building a recovery with higher lows. The important part for me is that price has now broken back above the previous intraday structure around $4,580–$4,590, which suggests buyers have regained short-term control. That being said,...
Insightful,. Thank you..
But I think the bears are waiting for the bulls at that 4700 area(supply)
Don't you think?
  • #96,309
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:20am Apr 30, 2026 5:20am
Quoting Izeey007
{quote} Insightful,. Thank you.. But I think the bears are waiting for the bulls at that 4700 area(supply) Don't you think?
XAUUSD Update – 30M
Gold has now continued the bullish reaction and is currently trading around $4,630. The short-term structure has clearly shifted from bearish correction into bullish recovery, especially after price reclaimed the previous intraday structure around $4,580–$4,600.
The latest push looks like a strong impulsive move from the London low area, with price now testing the LO.H / local high zone around $4,625–$4,635. This is the first area where I would expect some reaction, as price has moved quite aggressively without giving much of a clean pullback.
For me, the move is bullish, but I would not chase longs directly at the current high. The better trade would be to wait for price to pull back and confirm that previous resistance has turned into support.
The areas I am watching for a retest are:
$4,600–$4,595 — shallow pullback / 0.382 area
$4,585–$4,575 — cleaner mid-range retest / 0.50–0.618 zone
$4,560 — deeper retracement, still valid if buyers defend it
As long as gold holds above the $4,575–$4,600 region, I would keep the short-term bias bullish. If buyers defend that zone, the next obvious upside target for me is the liquidity/target area around $4,680–$4,690.
However, if price fails here and drops back below $4,560, then the bullish continuation weakens and the move could turn into a fakeout. Below $4,540–$4,550, I would start looking again at the possibility of price revisiting the $4,500 area.
So my updated view:
Bias: bullish short term
Current price: too high to chase
Best setup: wait for a pullback/retest
Key support: $4,600 / $4,585 / $4,575
Upside target: $4,680–$4,690
Invalidation: below $4,540–$4,550
Overall, gold is showing strength, but I’d rather see a controlled retest before entering. Buying at the top of an impulsive candle is lower quality for me. A pullback that holds above the broken structure would give a much cleaner confirmation for continuation.
  • #96,310
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:35am Apr 30, 2026 5:35am
Final sell added at 4645...BOJ intervening in the market but sooner or later a retrace to 4590-4550 is imminent...
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #96,311
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:36am Apr 30, 2026 5:36am
Quoting bullearish
{quote} XAUUSD Update – 30M Gold has now continued the bullish reaction and is currently trading around $4,630. The short-term structure has clearly shifted from bearish correction into bullish recovery, especially after price reclaimed the previous intraday structure around $4,580–$4,600. The latest push looks like a strong impulsive move from the London low area, with price now testing the LO.H / local high zone around $4,625–$4,635. This is the first area where I would expect some reaction, as price has moved quite aggressively without giving...
I got you the first time mate..
Very well understood..
We all know how gold can just rally unending,. I was simply stating the possibility of it not stopping for a retest,. And just goes all the way to the extreme supply (4700) area,. And we,. Waiting for a pullback would've missed that trade...
  • #96,312
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:40am Apr 30, 2026 5:40am
Quoting ChiForex
Final sell added at 4645...BOJ intervening in the market but sooner or later a retrace to 4590-4550 is imminent...
Standing firmly behind your bias,.
I love the discipline ma'am..
That's another thing I need to learn!

You still didn't add your stop loss though,. Just for insights..
  • #96,313
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:43am Apr 30, 2026 5:43am
Quoting Izeey007
{quote} I got you the first time mate.. Very well understood.. We all know how gold can just rally unending,. I was simply stating the possibility of it not stopping for a retest,. And just goes all the way to the extreme supply (4700) area,. And we,. Waiting for a pullback would've missed that trade...
Fair point mate — gold can absolutely run without offering the clean retest.
My view is simple: the impulse from the lows has shifted short-term structure bullish, so a direct extension into 4670–4680, even 4700 extreme supply, is still valid. But at 4630–4640, we’re buying into expansion, not discount, so the risk profile is weaker.
For me, continuation is confirmed if price accepts above 4640–4650. Until then, I see this as price pushing into liquidity where either:

  1. it expands straight into 4670–4700, or
  2. it rejects and gives the real retest back into 4607 / 4590 / 4570.

So I agree with the possibility of missing the move, but I’d rather trade confirmation than emotion. Gold rewards patience, but punishes late entries.

  • #96,314
  • Apr 30, 2026 6:50am Apr 30, 2026 6:50am
XAUUSD update
I closed the late sell and flipped into a buy around 4628.
Reason is simple: price didn’t give the clean downside continuation I wanted after the rejection. Instead, it held the 4625–4628 area and started reclaiming back above 4630, so the sell idea lost quality.
For me this is now a tactical buy from the pullback zone, not a blind chase. If price holds above 4625–4628, I’ll look for a push back into 4640–4645, then 4650. Above that, continuation toward 4670–4680 is still possible.
If price loses 4620–4625, then the buy idea weakens and I’ll reassess.
So overall: short-term structure is still bullish, pullback held for now, and I’ve switched with the market rather than fighting it.
  • #96,315
  • Apr 30, 2026 8:20am Apr 30, 2026 8:20am
3 combined
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  • #96,316
  • Apr 30, 2026 8:24am Apr 30, 2026 8:24am
XAUUSD update
Gold is still holding bullish structure after the strong impulse from the lows, but price is now consolidating under the next resistance area.
For me, the current map is clear:
Bull zone: around 4645–4650
If price accepts above this area, I’d expect continuation toward 4660 / 4670+.
Immediate pullback zone: around 4625–4630
As long as this holds, the bullish structure remains valid and dips can still be treated as corrective.
Deeper pullback: around 4605–4580
If 4625 breaks, then I’d expect a deeper retracement into this area before the next proper reaction.
So my view is still bullish overall, but I don’t want to chase in the middle. Either price breaks and holds above the bull zone, or it gives a cleaner pullback into support.
For now: bullish structure, but waiting for confirmation — either breakout above 4650 or pullback hold around 4625–4630.
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  • #96,317
  • Apr 30, 2026 12:02pm Apr 30, 2026 12:02pm
Quoting bullearish
XAUUSD update Gold is still holding bullish structure after the strong impulse from the lows, but price is now consolidating under the next resistance area. For me, the current map is clear: Bull zone: around 4645–4650 If price accepts above this area, I’d expect continuation toward 4660 / 4670+. Immediate pullback zone: around 4625–4630 As long as this holds, the bullish structure remains valid and dips can still be treated as corrective. Deeper pullback: around 4605–4580 If 4625 breaks, then I’d expect a deeper retracement into this area before...
How about now?
What are you seeing?
  • #96,318
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:04pm Apr 30, 2026 5:04pm
Still 4630-45 a good sell zone and more around 4675 if reached while good take profit around 4560
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #96,319
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:19pm Apr 30, 2026 5:19pm
Unfortunately and sadly to say that it seems 2026 will be another boring BS trading year of some 500 pips range trading from FX to little more for Gold as many factors since 2025 are contradicting each other..leading to the give and take...just as yesterday BOJ intervention lead to $ weakness across the board...and some BS rumors of possible ECB hike in june..that's 2 months from now!! continued the weakness..and the rumor came hours after ECB and its witch released their statements already...while before that all the $ was firm...
As you noticed so far that the $ strength is coming from real factors like war..oil price...while the bounce of others is all based on rumors that already exceeded the priced in...besides interventions...all by all and I can say it's give then take and repeat..same boring cycle.
As if the big mafia and algorithms are all happy with such wide range trading...Maybe we can say goodbye for sometime for trending market...
We can definitely still make money from any type of market movement but without clear retracements and trend continuation..we'll continue being stuck in same price levels that makes trading somehow really boring and psychologically exhausting TBH.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #96,320
  • Apr 30, 2026 5:23pm Apr 30, 2026 5:23pm
Quoting Izeey007
{quote} Standing firmly behind your bias,. I love the discipline ma'am.. That's another thing I need to learn! You still didn't add your stop loss though,. Just for insights..
Review my past posts...others who've been here for a while already know that I don't have set SL but it's simply based on price action when price bases above or below my said levels so it's mainly too tight unless I'm waiting for a new long term candle open/close..
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
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