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  • #281
  • Apr 24, 2026 9:25pm Apr 24, 2026 9:25pm
This move 1st chart) didnt go very far, and looks weak at first glance, but I think it is deceptively strong actually. I think we will have 1 more run to 80,600, give or take a few hundred, and then the big selloff will commence. Throw me back in the bear camp!

The big green candles i was expecting that would blast us away from the TLs below didnt happen. If that was going to happen, it would have happened today I think. Price action this week showing some real battles too. Thats a sign of reversal soon.

80,600 has many lines matching up there. The more I look the more I find. Not to mention the most obvious one of all (chart 2).

I'm still in this long (barely), but the low at 77k has held so far. Moving target a tad bit closer to 80,300 to try to ensure it's filled.

Want to see how the price action looks on way there (if it does go there), but plan now is to go short at same spot I want to take profit
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  • #282
  • Apr 25, 2026 1:59am Apr 25, 2026 1:59am
BTC Live Trade Setup
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  • #283
  • Apr 25, 2026 9:21am Apr 25, 2026 9:21am
Can see something like this possibly playing out. 1st chart is regular scale and 2nd is log. Notice the difference in location of broken TL.

3rd chart is where the gap would be filled on CME futures. Futures trades a little higher than spot.

So in this scenario we get a gap higher, then at open a final flurry to close the gap, and then a big selloff.
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  • #284
  • Apr 25, 2026 9:22am Apr 25, 2026 9:22am
Watch out for this green broken TL too if we get a pump
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  • #285
  • Apr 25, 2026 2:53pm Apr 25, 2026 2:53pm
Hi everyone,
Hope we are having a great weekend so far
Please find below where bitcoin is at the moment - it is bouncing along yesterday's low - waiting for news

I have also provide crypto equivalents of gold, silver and crude oil.
These instruments move over the weekend like normal bitcoin.
It is saying crude oil might be bid up $2 if the market were to open this minute.
Anything can happen and as you can see from the bitcoin chart, price has been $500 higher at some point than where we are at now.
So it is very fluid and a lot can happen between now and the globex open.
We get an agreement to open the straits market goes up.
No agreement market goes down.
Worse still, any bombing over the weekend, the market tanks - I pray this does not happen and we get a peaceful resolution

Just putting this info out there. Have a funky weekend everyone
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #286
  • Apr 25, 2026 3:39pm Apr 25, 2026 3:39pm
Quoting Zappa
Can see something like this possibly playing out. 1st chart is regular scale and 2nd is log. Notice the difference in location of broken TL. 3rd chart is where the gap would be filled on CME futures. Futures trades a little higher than spot. So in this scenario we get a gap higher, then at open a final flurry to close the gap, and then a big selloff. {image} {image} {image}
Just entered, i have a same view as u.
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  • #287
  • Apr 25, 2026 4:02pm Apr 25, 2026 4:02pm
Quoting Zappa
Can see something like this possibly playing out. 1st chart is regular scale and 2nd is log. Notice the difference in location of broken TL. 3rd chart is where the gap would be filled on CME futures. Futures trades a little higher than spot. So in this scenario we get a gap higher, then at open a final flurry to close the gap, and then a big selloff. {image} {image} {image}
same stragey
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  • #288
  • Apr 25, 2026 5:19pm Apr 25, 2026 5:19pm
Just looks a little too perfect. Still think we have one more pop to around 81,900. That should be "close enough" to fill that gap. Will just come up short of a complete gap fill so orders waiting to short or TP will miss out.
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  • #289
  • Apr 25, 2026 5:37pm Apr 25, 2026 5:37pm
I can never remember when or what market ive seen very similar setups in the past, but i do remember thinking in this exact scenario that the short was the play with stop at high (it was so perfect!). Then getting stopped out, then thinking it was a break out and going long, then getting stopped out again. Probably has happened a few times to be honest, but not this time

I like to invert the charts to get a reverse look, for some reason it always looks different to me. So in this inverted chart, look at the price action of this highlighted move. It just doesn't have the look of a sustainable move. Maybe I'm wrong, but thats how Im seeing it right now
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  • #290
  • Apr 25, 2026 6:57pm Apr 25, 2026 6:57pm
Quoting Ultras
Looking at 4H chart - The price may go down to retest the FIB levels 38-61 areas before more up (green box). {image}
4H chart update: price respecting the trendline. 15 chart attached. I will try scalp shorting here with tight stop as this is going against the bigger trend which is UP
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  • #291
  • Apr 26, 2026 12:46am Apr 26, 2026 12:46am
Quoting Zappa
Just looks a little too perfect. Still think we have one more pop to around 81,900. That should be "close enough" to fill that gap. Will just come up short of a complete gap fill so orders waiting to short or TP will miss out. {image}
You were right Zappa and all calling for a move up.
We are getting a pop higher.
While it is still weekend play right now this move looks significant.
Apparently there was a gunman at Trump's meeting. He was arrested. And Trump said he believed it had nothing to do with Iran.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #292
  • Apr 26, 2026 9:46am Apr 26, 2026 9:46am
Quoting Olu
{quote} You were right Zappa and all calling for a move up. We are getting a pop higher. While it is still weekend play right now this move looks significant. Apparently there was a gunman at Trump's meeting. He was arrested. And Trump said he believed it had nothing to do with Iran. {image}
Thank you Olu, but still to be determined. I think we will get the pop though.

82k looking like the spot.

I've moved target to 81500 and will look to short there too. Will use a wide stop at 90k initially, but plan on getting that closer once a high looks secure. Could be BIG move down after that. 65k looks like a reasonable target. There is that gap down there to be filled. Might even make a new low below 60k, but trying not to be greedy. Might be a reaction around 70-71k as well, but I think we have a good chance of seeing 65k. Will be easier to see as waves unfold
  • #293
  • Apr 26, 2026 9:49am Apr 26, 2026 9:49am
Quoting Tonquyen
{quote} Just entered, i have a same view as u. {image}
Beautiful entry!
  • #294
  • Apr 26, 2026 4:45pm Apr 26, 2026 4:45pm
just a little scalp on 1m.
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  • #295
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:04pm Apr 26, 2026 5:04pm
after previous trade.
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  • #296
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:19pm Apr 26, 2026 5:19pm
Quoting Badan77
just a little scalp on 1m. {image}
Out just in time. Well done!
  • #297
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:20pm Apr 26, 2026 5:20pm
Quoting Badan77
after previous trade. {image}
Well done Badan77. Well done indeed
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #298
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:21pm Apr 26, 2026 5:21pm
Just for fun, im going to say the high will be 81800, but won't hit 82200
  • #299
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:22pm Apr 26, 2026 5:22pm
Hi Zappa,
Hope you had a great weekend. Well done on that trade that is in progress.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #300
  • Apr 26, 2026 5:25pm Apr 26, 2026 5:25pm
Quoting Olu
Hi Zappa, Hope you had a great weekend. Well done on that trade that is in progress.
You too my friend, thank you.
Was a terrible entry, and its still at risk, but looking better than 48 hours ago thats for sure
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