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Wolf Trading Strategy XAUUSD Only

  • #941
  • Mar 18, 2026 10:14am Mar 18, 2026 10:14am
Leading financial analysts broadly expect gold to reach or exceed US$4,000 per ounce by 2026, with forecasts ranging between $4,000 and $6,300. Key drivers include central bank purchases, ongoing Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical risks, and U.S. debt concerns, with some projections setting targets near $4,900 to $6,300.
富途牛牛 +4
Key Gold Price Forecasts for 2026

  1. JP Morgan: Predicts gold will reach $6,300 by year-end 2026.
  2. Wells Fargo: Targets a range of $6,100–$6,300.
  3. Goldman Sachs: Raised its December 2026 target to $4,900–$5,400.
  4. State Street Global Advisors: Estimates a base case of $4,000–$4,500, with potential to hit $5,000, as discussed on the State Street Global Advisors website.
  5. UBS: Forecasts a mid-year 2026 target of $4,500, as discussed on the NAGA Everything Trade website and the UBS website. State Street Global Advisors +4

Key Drivers for the 2026 Outlook

  1. Central Bank Demand: Continued strong purchasing from central banks, particularly in emerging markets, is providing a solid price floor.
  2. Monetary/Fiscal Policy: Concerns regarding U.S. debt and inflationary pressures from potential ongoing money printing/rate cuts are driving investors toward gold.
  3. Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global tensions and trade issues are increasing safe-haven demand.
  4. Investor Reallocation: A shift from equities/bonds into gold ETFs could create significant upside to the $4,000–$5,000 range, notes


My Prediction is not so far, for the Year 2026... 4K . But I think once we reach there, gold will climb up. 4k is the Fair value price

There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #942
  • Mar 18, 2026 10:14am Mar 18, 2026 10:14am
Are we hedging tomorrow?
  • #943
  • Mar 18, 2026 10:16am Mar 18, 2026 10:16am
Quoting emykav
Are we hedging tomorrow?
lets see what fomc has to say.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #944
  • Mar 18, 2026 10:23am Mar 18, 2026 10:23am
Quoting shfacon
{quote} I am honestly more confused than I was before. Seriously I tried to understand you but you're giving me contradictory statements on the same paragraph, I don't know if in purpose or what. Am not trying to be disrespectful, am just bringing to light my confusion. 1.- Opening of Asia you're hedged. During the first 4 hours close profitable positions and open a buy&sell set in a grid fashion. After 4h you're hedged. I understood this part. So when Asia ends, you may be in profit usually but could also be drawdown. However you end up hedged....
Hey buddy,
@bdsilvano 's answers to your questions are pretty much clear and correct. There was no intention in his answers to confuse anyone here..
I would suggest you to read his answers against your questions correctly.

If you still think it is confusing you, I can answer you if not him as he might be busy.

Cheers,
  • #945
  • Mar 18, 2026 11:06am Mar 18, 2026 11:06am
Quoting bdsilvano
Helllo bdsilvano curious money management you got going on heere!! since thread is gaining popularity and to improve its engagement, I'll ask some questions I hope you can answer to wipe the slate clean. 0. Strategy is: hedge in asia between s/r and keep taking profits, fully hedge past 4 hours. Keep the hedge and open it by taking the profits on NY extension and don't hedge in expectation that it will lessen the drawdown. Close all entries EOD prioritizing profits. Correct? However there's some doubts you should clear to make it clear for others...
Hi sir，if we remove positive buy or sell in newyork and do one side trading to recover the drawdown，then what if after we remove our positive and add one position on support or resistance，and the price didn't move the way we think，how do we do？then the drawdown will easily chase up profit and even big loss.
  • #946
  • Mar 18, 2026 11:08am Mar 18, 2026 11:08am
Quoting Dylann
{quote} can you tell me your insight about xrp? Will it go lower? Just like gold too… cause they’re moving almost similarly
brother, what I said to you is not day trade, but longterm projection. price for xrp will go at 2.2, but the problem is when.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #947
  • Mar 18, 2026 11:10am Mar 18, 2026 11:10am
Quoting CfJohn
{quote} Hi sir，if we remove positive buy or sell in newyork and do one side trading to recover the drawdown，then what if after we remove our positive and add one position on support or resistance，and the price didn't move the way we think，how do we do？then the drawdown will easily chase up profit and even big loss.
brother, we are hedging on Asia not new York, we just doing 1 side on New York. Probably I misunderstand. anyway, once we unhedge on New York and price didint come back you have 2 Option.

1) rehedge again,
2)close everything

But Most of the Time, NY really follow Support and Resistance.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #948
  • Mar 18, 2026 11:16am Mar 18, 2026 11:16am
Just like now, Gold is seating Major Support at 4H, lets see what will happen here, after FOMC data release.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAUUSD_2026-03-19_00-15-33.png Size: 62 KB
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #949
  • Mar 18, 2026 12:21pm Mar 18, 2026 12:21pm
Quoting forkstrader
{quote} Hey buddy, @bdsilvano 's answers [···]
Okay tried reading again. Rest assured my goal is understanding, not wasting others' time or patience.

From what I understand, the Wolves strategy is

1.- Asia: start with a hedge on the open, then, as price ranges, distribute more hedges by closing greens and placing a hedge on them. Account is temporarily exposed when closing the greens, but after 4 hours we fully hedge and end up with ~3 hedges equally distributed.

2- London & New York open: we seek an important support and resistance where price will surely reverse (according to the theory of sessions dynamics...) and do one sided bet there. It may be that this one sided bet will take place in NY and not in London close, so it's possible to enter NY either hedged or unhedged.

After placing this one sided bet, which should time the awaited NY reversal, goal is to fight drawdown with the profits from asia. We should reset or hedge once drawdown consumes our Asia profit to stay break even and continue next day.

Please, is there anything I got wrong? So I can start trading demo correctly.
PropFirm Challenge (passed) All Time Return: 8.0%
  • #950
  • Mar 18, 2026 12:53pm Mar 18, 2026 12:53pm
Inserted Video
  • #951
  • Mar 18, 2026 1:43pm Mar 18, 2026 1:43pm
Quoting bdsilvano
Just like now, Gold is seating Major Support at 4H, lets see what will happen here, after FOMC data release. {image}
hi brother, if the price reach either support or resistance, before we enter, is that any rules that u use to enter? any pattern or price action for entry? let say, if price reach support at new york open, what rules or condition will make u take a buy on that support?
  • #952
  • Mar 18, 2026 2:57pm Mar 18, 2026 2:57pm
Quoting shfacon
{quote} 2- London & New York open: we seek an important support and resistance where price will surely reverse (according to the theory of sessions dynamics...) and do one sided bet there. It may be that this one sided bet will take place in NY and not in London close, so it's possible to enter NY either hedged or unhedged.
There is no guarantee that price will reverse at any important Support or Resistance. It depends on the market condition and where NY wants to take the price.
Unfortunately some days are very trendy and we should not blindly unhedge at support or resitances during NY open hoping it will reverse now. Look for the price taking a halt and reject the support or resistance to continue further. Once we observe that, we can unhedge and should be ready to re-hedge or reset all the open positions if the price doesn't move as we expect.

Quoting shfacon
{quote} After placing this one sided bet, which should time the awaited NY reversal, goal is to fight drawdown with the profits from asia. We should reset or hedge once drawdown consumes our Asia profit to stay break even and continue next day.
Just want to clarify this myth if anyone have.. Somedays, the closed profits from asia may be less than the drawdown from the open hedged positions. This happens if Asia moved mostly one sided, as we can see on Mondays and/or Fridays. So, not everytime you will have the leverage to fight the drawdown using profits.. as profits can be lesser than the drawdown before unhedging..

Please understand that, if you take bigger lot sizes or take multiple hedging positions to earn more quickly, if it is a trendy in Asia session itself, the drawdown can become more than closed profits. Keep lot sizes consistent and have the hedged positions lesser before entering London session.


Quoting shfacon
{quote} Please, is there anything I got wrong? So I can start trading demo correctly.
Hope you got what you need to know to demo trade this system. Start with the demo capital that you can really really have in your real account and treat the demo as your real account. I know we cannot pretend to have emotions with demo trading same as real one, but learn the system !!

cheers,
  • #953
  • Mar 18, 2026 3:41pm Mar 18, 2026 3:41pm
Quoting forkstrader
{quote} [···]
Hey man thanks you and bdsilvano for explaining and clarifying once and for all. I think all is clear and explained, I have no more doubts. Let's see how demo behaves! Though I can't start today.
PropFirm Challenge (passed) All Time Return: 8.0%
  • #954
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:36pm Mar 18, 2026 6:36pm
Quoting shfacon
{quote} Okay tried reading again. Rest assured my goal is understanding, not wasting others' time or patience. From what I understand, the Wolves strategy is 1.- Asia: start with a hedge on the open, then, as price ranges, distribute more hedges by closing greens and placing a hedge on them. Account is temporarily exposed when closing the greens, but after 4 hours we fully hedge and end up with ~3 hedges equally distributed. 2- London & New York open: we seek an important support and resistance where price will surely reverse (according to the theory...
Practise with us, Please come exact time Asia Opening Session. this is also for everyone. thanks.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #955
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:40pm Mar 18, 2026 6:40pm
Good Morning Good Morning Good Morning. Price indeed closed Below my Yellow Trend Line. if the Price will retrace up, we will Hedge ok. But we must be aware for our BUYS
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cT_cs_1317036_XAUUSD_2026-03-19_07-38-45.png Size: 48 KB
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #956
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:42pm Mar 18, 2026 6:42pm
Our Range, Im not sure if the price will go back at last Bottom Blue line, but at least we have a Target for a good Sell area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAUUSD_2026-03-19_07-41-40.png Size: 52 KB
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #957
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:53pm Mar 18, 2026 6:53pm
Yesterday pre-fomc +210
wake up just for this event
Got some didn't managed to close in time
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: prefomc +210.jpg Size: 35 KB
  • #958
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:54pm Mar 18, 2026 6:54pm
Post-fomc +648
All sells
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: postfomc +648.jpg Size: 84 KB
  • #959
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:56pm Mar 18, 2026 6:56pm
Quoting Biron
Yesterday pre-fomc +210 wake up just for this event Got some didn't managed to close in time {image}
wow bro, i didint know you trade yesterday. congrats brother.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #960
  • Mar 18, 2026 6:56pm Mar 18, 2026 6:56pm
Quoting Biron
Post-fomc +648 All sells {image}
wow... what a Green Carpet. Keep it up.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
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