Gold with No Drama

Yes. breaking above 4800 next target.. lets see.. i think this will work.. Major indicators reached the targets.

Macro liquidity
Major countries indices


If China by default dont give a shite about Trump about their CLosed capital account, TRUMP will have no choice but to lower the value of Dollar.
Only way, he can maintain US economy without Recession.
Otherwise, recession will hit.


Now the question remained?
COULD a market crash without a recession?
COuld a market rise, with a recession???

All answers point us towards only one thing!
LIQUIDITY.

IF we look, about G7 government budget outlays,
you will see, majority of governmnt are running a massive budget deficit, and the deficit grew even more in 2025.

So, as long as even shittest indices(small market cap index, like russell) continues the upward structure, it means, probability still favours the upside.

With, YEN rising,


it creates headwind for CROSS BOARDER FLOWS.

Today, in CHINA, their rate remains the same. With pessimism from Greenland, Geopolitcs, safe havens on the rise.

Friday, will determine the major event, BOJ




Coupled with YEN finding support at swing low, based on weekly chart

Probability for BOJ to deliver a hawkish tone about their loosen financial condition, may trigger a cascade.

High beta assets are already tuning,


If price structure broken, it will depicts the shift in regime. SPX will fall even harder, as BOJ will be the first trigger and YEN appreciation will be the sustaining effect.

MY btc longs, and ZT longs were stopped out.
Now, i am reducing exposure on my BTC holdings. 60k is waiting for us.

ZT,
Waiting for a retest as trendline is broken


The more they continue to print, the lower shite falling.
US long term bonds auction, no longer attract foreign buyers, they are forced to issue short tern notes and bills to support the us economy.

USD



P/S: if someone founds my posts boring, feel free to skip. As i love to posts my thinking and thought process here, therefore when something change and i stopped out, i come back here, to re-read my thought process and find what actually change, and try to integrate the newly developed changes to look to trade ideas that attract opportunities.

Because so far, events are developing the same way i expect.
Even for BTC and ZT, except i position based on price structure, because i saw a low risk entry for an average probability setup.

I bought XAUUSD at 4691.46 and 4726.80, both SL at 4691.66, TP at 4801.46 and 4836.80

Silver also running in profit from 93.271, SL set at B/E, TP at 103.321 & 111.811

If you want to enter gold long, buy now or at 4720! Gold is currently holding above the R2 of 30m which has switched to support at 4714.01

Fibo works good still, but strong volume still, hope we have LL now.

cheeky little one i hit in here
just a 1:1 rr

Why Kick me in the discord server? just wanna know why

4715 will break!

i will hold till then..

i have open positions of sell at 4722 with volume of 0.1 and another sell position at 4719 with volume of 1.05

drop some knowledge about your perspective on this.

so... will it drop this time to 22, 20 or 15? my stupid broker only allows one tp

Next movement .

Sorry wrong post

H4 ichi, WPPs, MPP/DeMark's, TLs

...so well organized..,

next level above at 4784th..,

it will retrace at least to 4718 then again buy

bdsilvano, I want to be a wolf too

Possible for One more high to kick off retail sellers

do expect 4703

Might be 4748-50 otherwise 4695-98 for buy

dont you guys all think that the americans will sell off huge amounts of profits over the weekend and the national day they had?

Maybe :v. Everything is possible