{image} This is an experiment. The pivot is highly likely be tested. Nat gas.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,961
- Dec 16, 2025 9:09am Dec 16, 2025 9:09am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
- #3,962
- Dec 16, 2025 9:12am Dec 16, 2025 9:12am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{quote} It's beating the bush now but it will eventually be filled.... {image}
Remember, only untested virgin pivot levels are considered.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,963
- Dec 16, 2025 9:16am Dec 16, 2025 9:16am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Euro example. Examples are everywhere. Default daily pivot levels are used.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,964
- Dec 16, 2025 9:34am Dec 16, 2025 9:34am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Does gold want to fill R1? 
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,965
- Dec 16, 2025 9:39am Dec 16, 2025 9:39am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Does gold want to fill R1?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,966
- Dec 16, 2025 9:43am Dec 16, 2025 9:43am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{quote} I want to see a strong bull candle before hand which represents its strong willingness to fill the pivot level.....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,967
- Dec 16, 2025 9:47am Dec 16, 2025 9:47am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,968
- Dec 16, 2025 10:05am Dec 16, 2025 10:05am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{image}
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,969
- Dec 16, 2025 10:17am Dec 16, 2025 10:17am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,970
- Dec 16, 2025 7:48pm Dec 16, 2025 7:48pm
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Typical trend following trade. I had to wait the pull-back but FOMO was strong.... Recouped some loss made yesterday anyway.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,971
- Dec 16, 2025 8:11pm Dec 16, 2025 8:11pm
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,972
- Dec 16, 2025 8:26pm Dec 16, 2025 8:26pm
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{image}
BE protected and I am going to bed...
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,973
- Dec 17, 2025 9:41am Dec 17, 2025 9:41am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
NGK5-NGM5(May-June) spread I need to close this position no later than 25th and if it stays at current level until then I will lose some money. This spring was colder than usual and Trump tariff also has affected the spread. As you can see, it's diverged significantly from the historical averages from February..... Interesting.
May-June spread of 2026 natural gas spread. It repeated again and I made some money again. Perhaps this is one of the easiest ways to make money from retail side but unfortunately it seems nobody's interested. They want excitement and thrill of day trading and fall in 95% losers statistics. I regret I somewhat neglected this cash cow nearly for two years because I was fully involved in day trading. I recoup losses in day trading with hard earned money I made from spread trading again and again. How stupid I am. I will go back to spread trading from the new year and day trading will be remained only as a hobby. Enough is enough.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,974
- Dec 18, 2025 7:15am Dec 18, 2025 7:15am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Took advantage of typical stop hunting activity.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,975
- Dec 18, 2025 7:32am Dec 18, 2025 7:32am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,976
- Dec 18, 2025 8:01am Dec 18, 2025 8:01am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
If it can come far down, it will become a nice stop hunting + pivot test.... which is a high provability trade I can say...
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,977
- Dec 18, 2025 8:28am Dec 18, 2025 8:28am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{image} If it can come far down, it will become a nice stop hunting + pivot test.... which is a high provability trade I can say...
Another scenario if it wants to continue to go up.....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,978
- Dec 18, 2025 8:43am Dec 18, 2025 8:43am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
Win & loss, PnL is positive. Understanding their game plan is helpful. What you see is NOT what you believe.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,979
- Dec 18, 2025 8:46am Dec 18, 2025 8:46am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
{image} If it can come far down, it will become a nice stop hunting + pivot test.... which is a high provability trade I can say...
Scenario A was their intention....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
- #3,980
- Dec 18, 2025 8:59am Dec 18, 2025 8:59am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 6,091 Posts
If it take the stops above the top, it's likely to reach the previous high, if not the pivot level.... Yes, the nature of the market is EVIL ....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci