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  • #95,101
  • Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm
Quoting alireza8088
{quote} It seems like the fish have escaped, heading upstream somewhere in the 4300 to 4310 area. God forbid they don't leave before I catch up with them !
I'm selling from the 4301-4303 level! Because I expect a significant drop! Today I made money on two ice creams!
  • #95,102
  • Dec 11, 2025 4:30pm Dec 11, 2025 4:30pm
Some profit booking is expected in asia and european session .

Another push up likely in NY

Sentiment is more of sellers, and less of buyers.

Contrarian view is needed.

IMO
Intraday only.
  • #95,103
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:28am Dec 12, 2025 1:28am
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} Exited GU at 1.3385 for 50 pips, enough for me today as it's near my expected support(1.3380) While the EU reached only 20 pips profits so decided to hold on it for now, expecting a fluctuation btw it and GU so it retraces later deeper while GU stays steady.. Let's see..
Took today the 20 pips profit on EU at 1.1735, as expecting a move back to 1.1755-60 where can sell again. My decision is supported by 1.1730 that's an important price level for bears to base below to target 1.1710 and maybe lower but I'm not playing that game as bulls are so far defending 1.1730 and building up trying to close on weekly above and target up to 1.1790s, so I prefer selling as high as possible and 1.1750s is great for positioning and of course based on price action today might move on selling higher at 1.1790...knowing that bulls have up to 1.1840-50 in sight for next week.
Summary, there's much time to sell on Monday around 1.1730 if price closes on weekly below...
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,104
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:30am Dec 12, 2025 1:30am
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} Took today the 20 pips profit on EU at 1.1735, as expecting a move back to 1.1755-60 where can sell again. My decision is supported by 1.1730 that's an important price level for bears to base below to target 1.1710 and maybe lower but I'm not playing that game as bulls are so far defending 1.1730 and building up trying to close on weekly above and target up to 1.1790s, so I prefer selling as high as possible and 1.1750s is great for positioning and of course based on price action today might move on selling higher at 1.1790...knowing that...
I'm waiting for another up move by GU to 1.3420-35 important weekly resistance to sell again as yesterday and 1.3380 stays the support to take profit at. Bulls will try to end the day and week above 1.3420 to target higher next week.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,105
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:32am Dec 12, 2025 1:32am
For both pairs expecting consolidation today, 1.1725-65 and 1.3375-1.3435, but with preparation by bulls for continuous upward movement next week as said before...
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,106
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:41am Dec 12, 2025 1:41am
For Gold, I'm entering again selling around 4310 and increasing my TP level from 4225 to 4240s, as this range in btw both levels is a crucial support for bears to base below on daily, so not playing that game today but maybe next week depending on this week candle close...
I'm out if price bases on daily above 4310.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,107
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:51am Dec 12, 2025 1:51am
I think gold is heading to 4350 the santa rally.
  • #95,108
  • Dec 12, 2025 1:53am Dec 12, 2025 1:53am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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️️️️️️️️️

Gold is soaring, breaking through strong resistance levels and eyeing the next leg higher. Still, %R indicates extreme overbought conditions, hinting at a possible correction before price extends toward the 161.8 Fibonacci zone.

Buy setup: Enter only if XAUUSD rises above 4290
Target: 4325

if you’re bullish and riding the gold wave!
  • #95,109
  • Dec 12, 2025 2:03am Dec 12, 2025 2:03am
Forgot to say, happy trading day and good weekend all
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,110
  • Dec 12, 2025 2:11am Dec 12, 2025 2:11am
No news today so less distraction
  • #95,111
  • Dec 12, 2025 2:12am Dec 12, 2025 2:12am
4310 first. then pull back
Intraday only.
  • #95,112
  • Dec 12, 2025 5:35am Dec 12, 2025 5:35am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_20251212_183311_619.jpg Size: 83 KB

️

Gold has delivered a 3,500-point rally, hitting its target — congratulations to all who rode the move! The Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirms continued bullish momentum, while the Order Block (OB) overhead suggests potential expansion toward historical highs.

Buy setup: Enter ONLY if XAUUSD breaks above 4335
Target: 4380

Momentum remains strong, but watch for clean breakout confirmation before stepping in.
  • #95,113
  • Dec 12, 2025 6:01am Dec 12, 2025 6:01am
Following a Fed interest rate cut, the market appears likely to continue its strong upward trend, similar to the rate cut at the end of October. The price could surpass the previous all-time high (ATH) tonight or next week. Wishing everyone safe trading!
  • #95,114
  • Dec 12, 2025 7:01am Dec 12, 2025 7:01am
The big fish went to 4375-4380, it's a long way there!
  • #95,115
  • Dec 12, 2025 7:36am Dec 12, 2025 7:36am
Quoting solomonc
I think gold is heading to 4350 the santa rally.
At this point happy weekend
  • #95,116
  • Dec 12, 2025 9:24am Dec 12, 2025 9:24am
who else likes that red candle? yeah
tinyurl.com/ABKForexWhatsApp
  • #95,117
  • Dec 14, 2025 6:06am Dec 14, 2025 6:06am
As we approach a new year, few considerations:

- Still way overvalued at 30T valuation.
- Not an risk off asset any longer. Its just mimics the stock market for quite a few time now.
- Political pressure for CB start consider selling their reserves to diminish country debts will increase. Remember here, it takes only one to start the movement.
- Supply still increases, as the discover of new gold mines hasn't stooped.

GL ALL
  • #95,118
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:30pm Dec 14, 2025 4:30pm
Quoting ChiForex
For Gold, I'm entering again selling around 4310 and increasing my TP level from 4225 to 4240s, as this range in btw both levels is a crucial support for bears to base below on daily, so not playing that game today but maybe next week depending on this week candle close... I'm out if price bases on daily above 4310.
As price went way above 4310 on Friday but I stick to my main plan of daily candle close, then the fall back to 4257 was enough for me to get out of my both sell orders 4275 and 4310 at 4275 to have a fresh start in 30 mins time from now on a new daily/weekly candle.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,119
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:43pm Dec 14, 2025 4:43pm
As the FX market is already open, here are the opportunities on weekly.

GU has supports at 1.3310s and 1.3260s while resistance 1.3405-10, a base above is bulls main goal towards 1.3470s

Nearly perfect entry to sell at 1.3405-10 targeting the lower supports...

EU looks content by support 1.1680, and 1.1660 should hold if reached while resistance starts at 1.1755-60 main turning point, then maybe targetting 1.1780s, 1.1800 and 1.1820s

So as 1.3405-10 is crucial for GU, 1.1755-60 is for EU for basing above for bulls and defense for bears to target the said supports...

The best positioning is there because IMO both resistances/supports(if one or more) can be hit this week.

The Golden question: What direction will market price go first.
As a bear, would like for price to go higher firstly, to sell there and then the fall happens and turn my TP of the lower supports to trailing stop...and so on...
Mainly, Monday has been an ass in starting hours for $ then retrace comes.. So let's see...


*** Remember my said price levels since last week for EU 1.1730 and GU 1.3360
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #95,120
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:50pm Dec 14, 2025 4:50pm
Quoting ChiForex
As the FX market is already open, here are the opportunities on weekly. GU has supports at 1.3310s and 1.3260s while resistance 1.3405-10, a base above is bulls main goal towards 1.3470s Nearly perfect entry to sell at 1.3405-10 targeting the lower supports... EU looks content by support 1.1680, and 1.1660 should hold if reached while resistance starts at 1.1755-60 main turning point, then maybe targetting 1.1780s, 1.1800 and 1.1820s So as 1.3405-10 is crucial for GU, 1.1755-60 is for EU for basing above for bulls and defense for bears to target...
Some may ask why not simply sell now if anyways the supports will be hit and it's like 50+ pips from here... Well that's a good point too but holding on drawdowns that can start from current price with 20 pips for EU and 40 pips for GU with possibility of much higher if market decides to target all resistances at first days before the retrace..that's not my game.
Playing around 1.1755-60 and 1.3405-10 is my preferred option, and from there I can judge better, maybe exit if price shows building up to target the higher resistances, so I sell higher...etc

Have a great FX trading day.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
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