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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #19,601
  • Dec 9, 2025 7:49pm Dec 9, 2025 7:49pm
Quoting AshleyFX
{quote} glad I chose to stay out cuz what was that spike
all natural... well within the range
  • #19,602
  • Dec 9, 2025 7:53pm Dec 9, 2025 7:53pm
If this 30m close inside my green range 4212.770 not confident, the test natural, not reject not so much...
The problem with spikes is their mitigation...
  • #19,603
  • Dec 9, 2025 8:26pm Dec 9, 2025 8:26pm
silver is up 4 dollars this week and gold is flat for the past 2 weeks. so it is just doing catch up. as soon as silver loses steam expect gold to drop 100 dollars
  • #19,604
  • Dec 9, 2025 9:37pm Dec 9, 2025 9:37pm
Quoting giveachance
silver is up 4 dollars this week and gold is flat for the past 2 weeks. so it is just doing catch up. as soon as silver loses steam expect gold to drop 100 dollars
Could be with high probab
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Real interest rate start eating liquidity from market
White line - 1y Yield
Blue line- 1y inflation swaps

SPX breadth start reversing
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SPX
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Forward curve spread priced in less cut in 2027
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If it continues to goes up, everything will be dragged down.

Headwinds waiting for us ahead.
But mot yet materialized.
Watched ZT and ZF contract
No more engagement as from today.
  • #19,605
  • Dec 9, 2025 9:39pm Dec 9, 2025 9:39pm
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Could be with high probab {image} Real interest rate start eating liquidity from market White line - 1y Yield Blue line- 1y inflation swaps SPX breadth start reversing {image} SPX {image} Forward curve spread priced in less cut in 2027 {image} If it continues to goes up, everything will be dragged down.
long term yields rising are a big negative for gold and if fed cuts aggressively they may spike.
  • #19,606
  • Dec 9, 2025 10:18pm Dec 9, 2025 10:18pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} long term yields rising are a big negative for gold and if fed cuts aggressively they may spike.
terminal rate is at 2027 reverse up and ready to hike again
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The SR3H2027 is basically that contract.
A Hawkish FED will drag GOLD to downside.

However, Real rate have been postitive for quite a time, but GOLD & SILVER hold their upward price structure while Silver are literally producing Short squeeze.
This shows the geopolitical risks are more important than what the FED want to do.

Gold H4
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We are compressing into that range.
I still see that last upward to 4320 before we start moving down.

As we move into Holiday season, Liquidity will be thin. Volatility will rose. And majority will positioned for 2026.

Expecting FED to talk about enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio (eSLR) tonight, acts as QE or "not QE," hence GOLD & Silver will be Liquidity release Valve
No more engagement as from today.
  • #19,607
  • Dec 9, 2025 11:36pm Dec 9, 2025 11:36pm
Volume is so low.... no direction for me right now
bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered
  • #19,608
  • Dec 9, 2025 11:40pm Dec 9, 2025 11:40pm
Inserted Video
No more engagement as from today.
  • #19,609
  • Dec 9, 2025 11:53pm Dec 9, 2025 11:53pm
It is difficult to trust either bulls or bears in current market condition ...so I just hit and run while grabbing some pips
  • #19,610
  • Dec 10, 2025 12:16am Dec 10, 2025 12:16am
Quoting przfx
It is difficult to trust either bulls or bears in current market condition ...so I just hit and run while grabbing some pips
True gold is indecisive but we have more room to the down side than the upper side , strongly believe that we need to see 4100 before the buy rally starts
  • #19,611
  • Dec 10, 2025 12:46am Dec 10, 2025 12:46am
gold strong resistance+fvg had trouble in h1 timeframe .. might be today gold get move down due to news ...
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  • #19,612
  • Dec 10, 2025 12:52am Dec 10, 2025 12:52am
Quoting epzero
{quote} True gold is indecisive but we have more room to the down side than the upper side , strongly believe that we need to see 4100 before the buy rally starts
The visit of 4100, do you expect that to happen before FOMC?
  • #19,613
  • Dec 10, 2025 12:57am Dec 10, 2025 12:57am
I still see 4179, i had a stupid loss early, not much but still a loss, 4h closing above 4213.050 should seek 4203 as it did, how the hell i take 4221 to to that?
Now i am mad. Because that rejection at 4203 resets the Tuesday fractal range and from now on i am without fractal range.
It can reach 4179, but honestly for me will be random, no way of track price now, unless i play Asia correlated with daily aiming 4194 and 4181 extended but again in divergence with yesterday Ny not to talk that at the same time Asia can rotate her window, not validated but is what is basically printing..
No trades for today unless it give me a new fractal range, sorry but market is not playing smooth, swing trade will be less stress this week.
About bias, already said, NO BIAS.
Safe trades.
  • #19,614
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:00am Dec 10, 2025 1:00am
we need to see first 4100 or maybe 4150 than the buy rally should start .. but let go the today fomc news .
in h4 Tf the [ trend line] and also the [ major support] on 4100 and 4150
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  • #19,615
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:05am Dec 10, 2025 1:05am
Quoting thebigshot
https://youtu.be/WDyNulr7dw8?si=JfsMIqDPhFbaK-DC
The black swan that I know
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  • #19,616
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:18am Dec 10, 2025 1:18am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Day #istopcounting this continue to work #theholygrail. Folks said the costs of a terminal is too expensive. But that the cost of doing business, dear. Otherwise you will never scale up. "Agreed on liquidity but disagree on value" May be @Azhantahir might explain to newbie what is meant by this terminology. Position trading beat Day trading, scalping. Nobody can change my mind, because that how we can achieve efficient portfolio return; maximizing return with consistent risk per trade.
Agreed. As a trader, we have our own method, our own strategy, or our own terminology. It is more likely as a discipline to make sure we respect what we have already chosen (whether we are scalpers, intraday, or swinger). We have been standardization ourselves for consistency. Yup.. trading is about business. That's why we need to learn about terminology. For price, they also have their own terminology. What we have already learn to become a trader is about price terminology. Just accept it. Respect what prices are doing. We just follow the price terminology based on the terminology we already chose as guidelines. IMHO
Look right, we'll see the signs
  • #19,617
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:21am Dec 10, 2025 1:21am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Day #istopcounting this continue to work #theholygrail. Folks said the costs of a terminal is too expensive. But that the cost of doing business, dear. Otherwise you will never scale up. "Agreed on liquidity but disagree on value" May be @Azhantahir might explain to newbie what is meant by this terminology. Position trading beat Day trading, scalping. Nobody can change my mind, because that how we can achieve efficient portfolio return; maximizing return with consistent risk per trade.
Agreed. As a trader, we have our own method, our own strategy, or our own terminology. It is more likely as a discipline to make sure we respect what we have already chosen (whether we are scalpers, intraday, or swinger). We have been standardization ourselves for consistency. Yup.. trading is about business. That's why we need to learn about terminology. For price, they also have their own terminology. What we have already learn to become a trader is about price terminology. Just accept it. Respect what prices are doing. We just follow the price terminology based on the terminology we already chose as guidelines. IMHO
Look right, we'll see the signs
  • #19,618
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:26am Dec 10, 2025 1:26am
Quoting przfx
{quote} The black swan that I know {image}
Ooh lala
No more engagement as from today.
  • #19,619
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:41am Dec 10, 2025 1:41am
Rate cut tonight of 25pts. Gold higher tonight. Target 4277
  • #19,620
  • Dec 10, 2025 1:48am Dec 10, 2025 1:48am
Quoting przfx
{quote} The visit of 4100, do you expect that to happen before FOMC?
Not at all the market will probably range pending when the FOMC news is released
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