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Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

  • #1,701
  • Nov 20, 2025 12:52am Nov 20, 2025 12:52am
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} Next target 88-89k.
2 good bounces already...
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #1,702
  • Nov 20, 2025 1:04pm Nov 20, 2025 1:04pm
I can see this dropping to atleast $67000 before any serious intervention back up, maybe even as low as $36000, guess we'll wait and see.
  • #1,703
  • Nov 21, 2025 5:33am Nov 21, 2025 5:33am
It's not a correction, it's a reversal bearish on BTC for a long time, expecting ample time and opportunity at best levels for long-term views
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Precise Execution!
  • #1,704
  • Nov 21, 2025 6:07pm Nov 21, 2025 6:07pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
Just going to park this here. Those of you that know me know I love playing with these number with many pairs. {image}
Another Daily Close. Coming in nicely to this level now Time to add a couple of trend lines and highlight a few past trigger points to watch out for. Patients people, steady as she goes
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,705
  • Edited 11:28pm Nov 21, 2025 10:55pm | Edited 11:28pm
Tempted to think that if we can break below 80k, BTCUSD will want to at least touch the 50k level. And if it goes below like 49k we would not only be down on the year but down on the past 2 years... not a good look
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And not saying BTC cares about annual performance like its the S&P or something like that, I just think it'll wanna at least approach the sort of 55-65k range if it fails to hold the 80k level
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  • #1,706
  • Nov 22, 2025 2:28am Nov 22, 2025 2:28am
Entered short, let's see.
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I trade what I see when I see it.
  • #1,707
  • Nov 22, 2025 2:47am Nov 22, 2025 2:47am
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Another Daily Close. Coming in nicely to this level now Time to add a couple of trend lines and highlight a few past trigger points to watch out for. Patients people, steady as she goes {image} {image}
Hi Kon, I believe we'll see a retest of snr at 77, I know that gap got closed but I think that area is a magnet with BTC in freefall. 77 then 50KAs you say Patience.
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  • #1,708
  • Nov 22, 2025 3:10am Nov 22, 2025 3:10am
Quoting mallee
{quote} Hi Kon, I believe we'll see a retest of snr at 77, I know that gap got closed but I think that area is a magnet with BTC in freefall. 77 then 50KAs you say Patience.{image}
Hey Mallee, glad you're still around! Yes, that's right. If 80k fails I would only look at 50k next, nothing else. I would just extend the trend line and wait for the blast though. Even if price went sideways now, it would still take about 20 days to hit my trend line So yeah, patience is key... Watch each daily close... wait to see big volume/buyers... easy peazy
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,709
  • Nov 22, 2025 4:48am Nov 22, 2025 4:48am
I strongly believe this bearish correction on BTC is not over and we are likely heading towards 70k next. The breaks of structure is clear on the weekly chart especially the break below the weekly 50 MA.
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  • #1,710
  • Nov 22, 2025 2:06pm Nov 22, 2025 2:06pm
Sometimes I think like, u look at BTC (not a fan btw) and go like OH SHIT ITS FALLEN BELOW 100K SHIT and its like well on a log scale the pullback makes total sense and is healthy, on a linear scale its like oh f*ck we've broken below 100k and it wants to test that 65-55k, the problem being that most retail traders only pay attention to the retail scale. And I wonder if that's sort of what we're seeing with SPX or any instrument whose numerical value is high; like these 1, 2, 300 dollar pullbacks dont mean as much as the price of the thing pushes higher
  • #1,711
  • Nov 22, 2025 9:50pm Nov 22, 2025 9:50pm
BTCUSD M30 Trade Idea

Our SMC engine is signaling a potential high-quality short opportunity on Bitcoin.

While the overall structure remains bearish (BOS) with a protected high at 93078.63, we're seeing a bullish reversal in order flow. This suggests price may pull back to our entry point before continuing the downward move. Our primary EM0 setup has a strong quality score of 7/10.

Entry (EP): 89274.60
Stop Loss (SL): 90690.40 (1416 points)
Take Profit (TP): 80538.63 (8736 points)

This setup offers a potential 6.2R trade. As always, manage your risk accordingly.

Disclaimer: This is an educational post, do your own analysis before taking any risk.
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  • #1,712
  • Edited 11:19pm Nov 22, 2025 10:54pm | Edited 11:19pm
BTC=US stocks= NVIDIA.

Normally two bottomed pin bars(81600, 80600) will pull up 10000-12000 pips. let's see around 90-92k.
  • #1,713
  • Nov 22, 2025 11:20pm Nov 22, 2025 11:20pm
Quoting arifchw
BTCUSD M30 Trade Idea Our SMC engine is signaling a potential high-quality short opportunity on Bitcoin. While the overall structure remains bearish (BOS) with a protected high at 93078.63, we're seeing a bullish reversal in order flow. This suggests price may pull back to our entry point before continuing the downward move. Our primary EM0 setup has a strong quality score of 7/10. Entry (EP): 89274.60 Stop Loss (SL): 90690.40 (1416 points) Take Profit (TP): 80538.63 (8736 points) This setup offers...
I like your system!
  • #1,714
  • Nov 23, 2025 4:29am Nov 23, 2025 4:29am
It would be great to see double low retesting 74.000 . Then pullback higher , retest of 89.000 . Two same lows tend to attract price so subsequent break below 74.000 could be expected .

On Monthly it looks like it might close below short term ema ( 13 in this case ) for the first time since August 2023 .
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  • #1,715
  • Nov 23, 2025 4:44am Nov 23, 2025 4:44am
Also , not sure if you have noticed :

Bitcoin price long term tends to make 80 - 85 % retracement . It already happened in 2014 ( 85 % ), 2019 ( 85 % ) and 2023 ( 80 % ) . See the charts below .

What is also interested , a long term investment buy could be executed after Monthly Inside bar formed around 80 - 85 % area .

If history repeats itself , we could see a move to 37.000 to 32.000 area .
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  • #1,716
  • Edited 6:40pm Nov 23, 2025 4:16pm | Edited 6:40pm
Quoting 9inety9ine
Also , not sure if you have noticed : Bitcoin price long term tends to make 80 - 85 % retracement . It already happened in 2014 ( 85 % ), 2019 ( 85 % ) and 2023 ( 80 % ) . See the charts below . What is also interested , a long term investment buy could be executed after Monthly Inside bar formed around 80 - 85 % area . If history repeats itself , we could see a move to 37.000 to 32.000 area . {image} {image} {image}
Correct regarding the past 80% drops (you will see my old ongoing posts here following and trading the drops). But each 80% drop was then followed by a 1500-2000% rally. If this is to be compared now, the next 80% drop cannot begin until we have gone from the last low at 16k back at the beginning of 2023 to at least 240k, the next 1500% rally.

But this time we have ETFs, Treasury Companies and political involvement, so I feel that the days of this fantastic copy paste trade maybe over. Having said all that, I still believe in the bitcoin project... we just need all these Wall Street Guys to fk off, haha!
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,717
  • Nov 24, 2025 4:27pm Nov 24, 2025 4:27pm
Bears will try to keep the daily candles below 90k to continue the downward pressure next month, while weekly bulls will try to push it toward resistance zone 95-100k before monthly candle close and December candle open.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #1,718
  • Nov 28, 2025 7:37pm Nov 28, 2025 7:37pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Another Daily Close. Coming in nicely to this level now Time to add a couple of trend lines and highlight a few past trigger points to watch out for. Patients people, steady as she goes {image} {image}
Another week... still chillin, cruisin,
Still under the downtrend line and not quite a touch on the 80k level yet. Steady steady.
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,719
  • Dec 1, 2025 4:14pm Dec 1, 2025 4:14pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Another week... still chillin, cruisin, Still under the downtrend line and not quite a touch on the 80k level yet. Steady steady. {image}
OK coming along nicely. Attempting a first buy here after a nice bounce of off 85K last night. Against the plan a little so not holding my breath, but the TA cant be ignored. Very tight stop.
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,720
  • Dec 2, 2025 4:09pm Dec 2, 2025 4:09pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} OK coming along nicely. Attempting a first buy here after a nice bounce of off 85K last night. Against the plan a little so not holding my breath, but the TA cant be ignored. Very tight stop. {image} {image}
Trade now nicely in profit. Stop loss to Breakeven. Will trail and check in from time to time on price action
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
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