Williams: Fed can still cut rates in the near term given current policy is modestly restrictive | Crypto Craft
Added at 6:34am

  • Williams: Navigating Unpredictable Terrain

    From newyorkfed.org

    Good morning. It’s a pleasure be here to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the Central Bank of Chile. The topic of my remarks today is inflation targeting, which is both an important part of Chile’s central banking history and a core foundation of successful monetary policy. Most central banks around the world have adopted inflation targeting regimes over the past 35 years, and Chile was among those leading the way. Although specifics vary across jurisdictions, these strategies share three principles: independence and accountability, transparency and the clear communication of an inflation target, and ... (full story)

Added at 6:36am
Comment Options
ffghost
Nov 21, 2025 8:29am
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Quoting Trader#E8D0
These damn fed presidents need to shut their friggin pie holes jerking the market around with their speculation! How is this legal? One day they tank stocks the next they’re just like “welp guess it’s the exact opposite” friggin this is market manipulation! Should be illegal. Keep ur mouths shut you don’t have a crystal ball let the damn vote happen and stop toying with people’s retirement savings jerks!!!
To be fair, it is the market that rebalances based on the commentary. That commentary is SUPPOSED to change based on economic changes. If it happened in a vacuum, trust me, you would dislike it more. Can you imagine a world in which the FED comes out and cuts by 50 bps...or raises rates by 50 bps when the market is on the complete other side of the expected event? The amount of volatility that would pump into the markets would see limit down instantly. By having all these officials voice their opinions throughout the course of the intra-meeting periods, markets can decipher this dialog how markets want to based on current conditions and the comments stated (and/or changed from previous expectations).

Remember, this is a board, not an individual. Voting members all have a say. You just saw this morning that Williams's comments are negated by Logans....but Logan isn't a voting member, so her comments ('shouldn't have cut in October, wouldn't cut in December') carry less weight.


The 2025 voting members are: Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael S. Barr, Michelle W. Bowman, Susan M. Collins, Lisa D. Cook, Austan D. Goolsbee, Philip N. Jefferson, Stephen I. Miran, Alberto G. Musalem, Jeffrey R. Schmid, and Christopher J. Waller.
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RBlackburn
Nov 21, 2025 7:07am
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You guys that lost are gonna be really really pissed when it reverses in an hr
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ffghost
Nov 21, 2025 7:06am
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Quoting Trader#52FA
This kind of news is here to artificially pump the price and we will get fucked by a bear at 14:30 CET
Think it will actually take that long??

Unless we hear similar out of additional voting members throughout the morning, I am worried about the long side (even after yesterday's ridiculously over aggressive reversal)
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ffghost
Nov 21, 2025 6:37am
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One single line good for 200 pts in the /nq in 10 seconds? "Therefore, I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral, thereby maintaining the balance between the achievement of our two goals." Amazing.
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ffghost
Nov 21, 2025 7:29am
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Quoting Trader#2078
{quote} Since they won’t allow SPX to trade 6500, 7k literally has to happen, just a matter of what day if the Fed is going to just keep lowering.
Your bullishness is legendary. Let's hope it is also contagious!!!!
Reply
ffghost
Nov 21, 2025 8:04am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#7A73
{quote} Look at your weekly SPX chart. This is the third pullback since April. What happened after the last two? Personally I wanted the market to actually fall, you know the healthy corrections the markets used to have in the old days? Then we could find a long term sustainable base. But with constant intervention risk and reward can never be fixed by free markets. So if the market can’t correct it by definition must go higher. We don’t just go sideways. If 6500 fails, and we see the first fear in a long time, that’s a good thing long term. But...
As my man Marvin Lee Aday once sang: "two out of three ain't bad".

I, like you, am not opposed to pullbacks. They, like forest forest, help future growth. HOWEVER, the whipsaw effects of this move downward remind me of Feb>April and my PTSD from that event is just too fresh (yesterday was a BRUTAL reminder that nothing is sacred in markets at the moment).

Since I live/die by 5 min charts (that's just my scalping strategy of 2025), and have been trying since April to get back into a longer (weeks/months) swing trade position size, seeing 1200+ pts evaporate in hours two times in two months is wildly painful.....moreso because of the excessive leverage this time and the "comfortable" situation after the market bought up NVDA earnings and the /nq popped up through resistance levels for the first time in weeks.

But, I digress. Let's hope today sees sustained optimism. I will be exiting risk (at a loss) on a bounce and will no doubt keep too much on into the weekend, but if there is another whipsaw reversal from these levels and the /nq starts falling toward 23000, it is going to be a bloodbath on the way there. With /vx still above 22 even after that FED rate cut change, however, one has to wonder about the staying power of the move
6600 on the /es was defended.

If anyone else was awake and noticed, crypto had a interesting "washout" event early this morning (1:30AM CST USA on the 5 minute candle). This was very similar in feel to the 10/10 washout post-cash market close. It was immediately bought up this morning (well, nearly all within an hour) and then continued slowly downward. The 6:30AM Williams speech release has bolstered confidence, apparently, and BTC and ETH (while still solidly negative on the day) are 2% off lows.

I am really grasping at straws here trying to make comparisons in a VERY different environment (i.e. we are well below the 50MA now whereas 10/10 saw the /nq bounce off the 50), but am slow smoking some hopium that what could have been a 2 day post NVDA earnings washout just took place in one session and can now release some pressure to at least regain SOLE of that ground drying today's, session.

Bears: the weather is nice outside.....please feel free to click "cancel all" algo shorting trades, unplug the systems, and go for a walk....for a couple of months....come back at ATHs and I will happily step aside for ya!
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Trader#7A73
Nov 21, 2025 7:45am
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Quoting Trader#C92B
You can go fuck yourself. I lost everything thanks to you and your shitty twitter posts. Fuck you.
If this is a real post, then you are lucky to learn to quit gambling now before it destroys your life. Only a crazy gambler could blow an account with the tiny moves thus far today. Gambling is a terrible addiction, quit forever and be happier.
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Trader#E14A
Nov 21, 2025 8:51am
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Quoting Trader#52FA
This kind of news is here to artificially pump the price and we will get fucked by a bear at 14:30 CET
Yes its weird that FF placed it in red folder vs all of the other commentary they try to sneak away
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limondj90
Nov 21, 2025 11:56am
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Don’t believe it—no cut happened on Dec 10. They just want us to pump the market so they can dump. Be safe
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Js3mwtRc
Nov 21, 2025 6:42am
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At least I managed to take profits before he speaks!
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BTCmailman
Nov 21, 2025 6:36am
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GOLD TO THE MOON!
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objective
Nov 21, 2025 3:22pm
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How is this market moving news?
Last ditch attempts to pump the markets at all costs.
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Momofrmnyc
Nov 21, 2025 6:43am
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Cool lol. Just 1 vote out of 12 just like Miran and the rest of the FED. Seems it'll be more of a debate this time around especially with that gov't blackout period.
Momofrmnyc
Nov 21, 2025 7:13am
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Quoting RBlackburn
You guys that lost are gonna be really really pissed when it reverses in an hr
Yeah something tells me USD might get bullish shortly..... Let's see what happens.
BaliBoyz80
Nov 21, 2025 6:52am
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yesterday no cuts, today cuts. What happen with The Fed crediblity ? u guys Central Bank people, carefull with ur words.
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paulmingio
Nov 21, 2025 6:32am
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Wtf
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jutrader37
Nov 21, 2025 6:41am
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Yeah, and in the end there won't be a cut. He's just opening his mouth for nothing.
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Trader#52FA
Nov 21, 2025 6:54am
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This kind of news is here to artificially pump the price and we will get fucked by a bear at 14:30 CET
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Holdisgold67
Nov 21, 2025 6:47am
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Just buy if you want, why make excuses
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Trader#1321
Nov 21, 2025 6:33am
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Fuck you
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Trader#8760
Nov 21, 2025 6:33am
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fucking hell
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Trader#3484
Nov 21, 2025 6:38am
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Quoting ffghost
One single line good for 200 pts in the /nq in 10 seconds? "Therefore, I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral, thereby maintaining the balance between the achievement of our two goals." Amazing.
It's all orchestrated. They're talking it back up.
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Trader#2A0C
Nov 21, 2025 6:41am
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this fat fuck fully reversed my GER40 sell (which was in a good profit) with one useless line. fuck you!
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alimuhdor
Nov 21, 2025 6:43am
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I lost my deposit
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irfan101
Nov 21, 2025 6:43am
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fuck you, fuck your **
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Pippredator0
Nov 21, 2025 6:44am
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Why does BC release such news without any schedule?
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moiezsyed
Nov 21, 2025 6:46am
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why markets pumping ?
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HossamTamim
Nov 21, 2025 6:52am
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Shit
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lgikaljunkyy
Nov 21, 2025 6:59am
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Why the eff is this only a Yellow Folder event?!!!!!
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Leonard15
Nov 21, 2025 6:59am
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Why can I not trade with $20 with xauusd
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Adrian100k
Nov 21, 2025 7:01am
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well, we should be selling off after this artificial pump. Guys we all know this is market manipulation at its finest.
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Susievenci
Nov 21, 2025 7:01am
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Love you Wills
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dttw06
Nov 21, 2025 7:02am
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Was this scheduled?
Reply
Trader#2078
Nov 21, 2025 7:12am
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So he, and other Fed members along with Trump's incoming members, will guarantee low rates so the AI bubble will grow to epic proportions. Then when inflation comes back strong and the bubble bursts someday the Fed will say they did everything right and nothing is their fault. Exactly the same thing they did with the great recession and Covid inflation. Why do people support the Fed’s existence today?
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Trader#2078
Nov 21, 2025 7:18am
Permalink
Quoting ffghost
{quote} Think it will actually take that long?? Unless we hear similar out of additional voting members throughout the morning, I am worried about the long side (even after yesterday's ridiculously over aggressive reversal)
Since they won’t allow SPX to trade 6500, 7k literally has to happen, just a matter of what day if the Fed is going to just keep lowering.
Reply
Trader#7A73
Nov 21, 2025 7:42am
Permalink
Quoting ffghost
{quote} Your bullishness is legendary. Let's hope it is also contagious!!!!
Look at your weekly SPX chart. This is the third pullback since April. What happened after the last two?

Personally I wanted the market to actually fall, you know the healthy corrections the markets used to have in the old days? Then we could find a long term sustainable base. But with constant intervention risk and reward can never be fixed by free markets. So if the market can’t correct it by definition must go higher. We don’t just go sideways.

If 6500 fails, and we see the first fear in a long time, that’s a good thing long term. But if it doesn’t then the ai bubble grows for an extended period then we eventually crash, big recession, terrible things. It’s a binary choice.
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Getme123
Nov 21, 2025 7:58am
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Bullish btc
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Trader#E8D0
Nov 21, 2025 8:05am
Permalink
These damn fed presidents need to shut their friggin pie holes jerking the market around with their speculation! How is this legal? One day they tank stocks the next they’re just like “welp guess it’s the exact opposite” friggin this is market manipulation! Should be illegal. Keep ur mouths shut you don’t have a crystal ball let the damn vote happen and stop toying with people’s retirement savings jerks!!!
Reply
Trader#4FAA
Nov 21, 2025 8:43am
Permalink
Quoting ffghost
{quote} As my man Marvin Lee Aday once sang: "two out of three ain't bad". I, like you, am not opposed to pullbacks. They, like forest forest, help future growth. HOWEVER, the whipsaw effects of this move downward remind me of Feb>April and my PTSD from that event is just too fresh (yesterday was a BRUTAL reminder that nothing is sacred in markets at the moment). Since I live/die by 5 min charts (that's just my scalping strategy of 2025), and have been trying since April to get back into a longer (weeks/months) swing trade position...
Bitcoin up almost 6% off the lows which were basically a matter of minutes ago lol. I’m glad I just watch it, I’m too chicken to actually trade it.
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PonTEN
Nov 21, 2025 11:21am
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fucking piece of shit
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Trader#C63D
Nov 21, 2025 6:34am
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That’s really amazing.
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Trader#8E39
Nov 21, 2025 6:37am
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JOIN US
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Trader#08C0
Nov 21, 2025 6:38am
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What about euro
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Trader#B0A2
Nov 21, 2025 6:38am
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Nailed gold
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Trader#6EDA
Nov 21, 2025 6:38am
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AC turned into profit
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Trader#0AD9
Nov 21, 2025 6:38am
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That crazy move
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Trader#0A0F
Nov 21, 2025 6:45am
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SPX 7k by Christmas?
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Trader#1CC9
Nov 21, 2025 6:45am
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Dick head
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Trader#2032
Nov 21, 2025 6:45am
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Thanks for speak... Gold fly
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Trader#E14A
Nov 21, 2025 6:46am
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you can always count on william to be a dove
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Trader#0E32
Nov 21, 2025 6:47am
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I don't know
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truong19951
Nov 21, 2025 6:48am
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Thank you, love you Williams
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Trader#9965
Nov 21, 2025 6:49am
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yesterday no rate cuts, today rate cuts, what happen with The Fed credibilty ? so easy speak cut and no cuts.
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Trader#B3CE
Nov 21, 2025 6:51am
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Dude I was up 63% the hell
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Trader#5393
Nov 21, 2025 6:53am
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This whipped out my entire account
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Trader#D68A
Nov 21, 2025 6:56am
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fed william speach reason
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Trader#52FA
Nov 21, 2025 6:57am
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They post this kind of info for fomo. Then, in thirty minutes we will get a bearish candle… fml
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Trader#4E14
Nov 21, 2025 7:02am
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breath and we will go down again, correction before further growth. Traders take profits
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Trader#C92B
Nov 21, 2025 7:33am
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You can go fuck yourself. I lost everything thanks to you and your shitty twitter posts. Fuck you.
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Trader#EAB2
Nov 21, 2025 8:01am
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buy or sell gold
Reply
Trader#417F
Nov 21, 2025 11:15am
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Fuck you
Reply

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