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  • #88,021
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:27am Aug 12, 2025 6:27am
This is how Gold looks to me,
if hourly candel close below 3340 i think it can reach 3300
if closes above 3360 i think can hit 3380 or 3390
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  • #88,022
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:27am Aug 12, 2025 6:27am
Quoting Affx
{quote} It broke, now here comes to manipulation watch
liquidity sweep, clear the stops
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #88,023
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:29am Aug 12, 2025 6:29am
Quoting przfx
{quote} What is your trading plan for CPI news today?
Here's my gameplan:

1. First of all let's look at the market positioning. The markets priced in 3 rate cuts from the FED which dovish and USD bearish.

2. So if the CPI misses slightly = USD further down. (3 rate cuts confirmed)

3. If the CPI misses by a mile = USD crashes (4 rate cuts will be priced in)

4. If the CPI beats the forecasts slightly: This one is tricky, I wouldn't buy USD in this case. I would just wait for S&P500 to pullback and i would go long the US stock market.

SInce the markets already priced in 3 rate cuts and Labour data was off, i don't think a slight beat on CPI is enough to convince the markets.

5. If the CPI comes out very hot = at least 1 rate cut expectation will be taken down. USD will soar big time. Gold down, S&P down, literally any other instrument against USD down.

A hot inflation report would obviously change the market positioning big time.

6. If the cpi comes out in line with the expectations = buy S&P bc USD will keep losing it's ground.

Remember, don't predict. Always react
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #88,024
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:36am Aug 12, 2025 6:36am
Quoting axecap
{quote} liquidity sweep, clear the stops
yup that’s what I was thinking
Insane in the Brain..
  • #88,025
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:41am Aug 12, 2025 6:41am
no need to be scared of trading news time as long as we do our homework, whipsaws are expected and accounted for, we should only be scared if we have overleveraged... price moving back to a key level before continuing on the news move is a part of the bigger picture, not 'opposite' direction
  • #88,026
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:42am Aug 12, 2025 6:42am
Hi everyone

I enjoy your articles, but I have a question.
You say that we should wait for news before investing. What news are you waiting for ? How do you stay informed ? (newspapers, websites’ other sources). What kind of news are you expecting?

Thank you for your response.

Have a nice day
  • #88,027
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:42am Aug 12, 2025 6:42am
Entering shorts
BUY HIGH SELL LOW
  • #88,028
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:43am Aug 12, 2025 6:43am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} Here's my gameplan: 1. First of all let's look at the market positioning. The markets priced in 3 rate cuts from the FED which dovish and USD bearish. 2. So if the CPI misses slightly = USD further down. (3 rate cuts confirmed) 3. If the CPI misses by a mile = USD crashes (4 rate cuts will be priced in) 4. If the CPI beats the forecasts slightly: This one is tricky, I wouldn't buy USD in this case. I would just wait for S&P500 to pullback and i would go long the US stock market. SInce the markets already priced in 3 rate cuts and Labour...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2025-08-12 at 09-59-48 COT Report GOLD with COT Chart (COT Legacy Report Futures Only) - Size: 18 KB
  • #88,029
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:43am Aug 12, 2025 6:43am
Quoting Affx
{quote} It broke, now here comes to manipulation watch
I was a bit sure of it thats why I posted but yet it was a liquidity swap
Behold
  • #88,030
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:45am Aug 12, 2025 6:45am
Since it is a liquidity swap. What are we looking at now
  • #88,031
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:47am Aug 12, 2025 6:47am
Quoting dartboardio
{quote} this is just what i do and works for me, there is no rulebook i personally get ready for the news and open X, type in CPI and keep refreshing it each second until it comes out at the countdown, then i generally execute my trades on the spot because i know what i have been waiting for. If its mixed, i stay away. i personally dont wait for technical confirmation in news time, and yes we often do see a strong move into drawdown first to catch some retail traders, but personally this doesnt bother me, and when people tell me ' be careful entering...
Ok perfect, gotcha! thank you for that, appreciate it a lot!
Good luck with your trades today, hope you make some good profits!
Stay blessed
He who say he can, and he who says he can't, are both usually right
  • #88,032
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:49am Aug 12, 2025 6:49am
Quoting Affx
{quote} What you just said means you FOMO into positions during news. I would highly recommend you don't do that - You will lose 80% of the time and then you start chasing loses when it goes the wrong way. Plan you news trades a day or two before. NFP - CPI usually have the day before to manipulate the market for more profit. Use Price Action to give you your signal to get into the Market. Once you ace that you'll make a fortune. Best of waiting for News to settle and then using price action take your trade. You'll be surpised how good it...
Arghh! I know lol Fomo a b**ch! Still working on the discipline side of things, been struggling!
Alright perfect got you! will try that out and see how it works.
Appreciate that thank you!
Good luck with your trades today, hope you secure some good profits!
stay blessed!
He who say he can, and he who says he can't, are both usually right
  • #88,033
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:51am Aug 12, 2025 6:51am
My view, CPI will only just be the catalyst.

Watch out for panic positions

40 mins to go. Let's go boyssss!
  • #88,034
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:52am Aug 12, 2025 6:52am
@
https://assets.faireconomy.media/nfs...ar987427_5.gif Raventine - sir how can i see that point and figure chart ??? can you please guide me...
  • #88,035
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:52am Aug 12, 2025 6:52am
Quoting alinone07
Entering shorts
Ive got a feeling this is going to WHIP before moving. Be careful!
Easy Does it.
  • #88,036
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:53am Aug 12, 2025 6:53am
i feel like if this cpi comes in even 0.2% instead of 0.3% gold will really rally up bc most of the relief on DXY the past few days has been from Trumps buzzwords 'in talks with .... ' 'no gold tariffs...' ' in talks for china deal' ....

when will global markets stop taking his word as gospel...

CPI will be a big teller...hehe
  • #88,037
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:54am Aug 12, 2025 6:54am
if drop then 3313
break 3360 then 3390
  • #88,038
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:57am Aug 12, 2025 6:57am
Quoting hustler
if drop then 3313 break 3360 then 3390
This is my only worry. need to sit on my hands for like 30 seconds lol
Easy Does it.
  • #88,039
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:59am Aug 12, 2025 6:59am
Quoting stealyerface
{quote} This is my only worry. need to sit on my hands for like 30 seconds lol
this is what m looking lol
lets see how it react to 3350
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  • #88,040
  • Aug 12, 2025 6:59am Aug 12, 2025 6:59am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} Here's my gameplan: 1. First of all let's look at the market positioning. The markets priced in 3 rate cuts from the FED which dovish and USD bearish. 2. So if the CPI misses slightly = USD further down. (3 rate cuts confirmed) 3. If the CPI misses by a mile = USD crashes (4 rate cuts will be priced in) 4. If the CPI beats the forecasts slightly: This one is tricky, I wouldn't buy USD in this case. I would just wait for S&P500 to pullback and i would go long the US stock market. SInce the markets already priced in 3 rate cuts and Labour...
Thanks Nordling for sharing your game plan! Really appreciate it

Could you please give your threshold for "slightly" and "mile" (for example what number counts as slightly miss and as a mile miss)?
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