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  • #87,941
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:41am Aug 12, 2025 1:41am
Quoting itz.shaidsk
{quote} Yeah, makes sense. 3340 is a solid intraday support before the news. If it breaks early, we could see momentum push it lower. For me, there’s no clear zone formed here in my strategy, so I’ll just wait for news reaction before deciding.
I think 3340 will collapse before news bears are continously testing it !! won't hold for long !! 3320 gonna be real battle field between bulls & bears !
  • #87,942
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:42am Aug 12, 2025 1:42am
Quoting goldhunter25
{quote} I think 3340 will collapse before news bears are continously testing it !! won't hold for long !! 3320 gonna be real battle field between bulls & bears !
Lets see
BUY HIGH SELL LOW
  • #87,943
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:46am Aug 12, 2025 1:46am
I was long from 3344 from midnight. Hadnt closed it, and now back at the midnight time
  • #87,944
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:52am Aug 12, 2025 1:52am
if 3342 breaks, bears' next potential target is 3332
  • #87,945
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:54am Aug 12, 2025 1:54am
Commercial content alert:

I am looking for people who are interested in turning $100 into $5000.

This is NOT a pyramid, trading or crypto/nft scheme.

We will be selling Crack
No more engagement as from today.
  • #87,946
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:54am Aug 12, 2025 1:54am
For Buy side with SL 3339

If Sustain below 3339 hen will see 3300. for sell side.
  • #87,947
  • Aug 12, 2025 1:57am Aug 12, 2025 1:57am
I hope bears can break 3342
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  • #87,948
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:05am Aug 12, 2025 2:05am
Quoting przfx
I hope bears can break 3342 {image}
Good chance for 65 to be revisted beofre a dump on CPI??

Every news outlet talking about higher than expected CPI. That when you know we have a high chance of buy the rumor sell the fact trade setup

or Repricing trade.

1y Inflations swaps on bloomberg = 3.04%
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  • #87,949
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:05am Aug 12, 2025 2:05am
wating for it to goo upp soo that we can sell thi
  • #87,950
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:06am Aug 12, 2025 2:06am
Quoting notabdullah1
wating for it to goo upp soo that we can sell thi
Sell the high, then it keep going up
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  • #87,951
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:10am Aug 12, 2025 2:10am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Sell the high, then it keep going up
and buy high sell low too man ......
  • #87,952
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:13am Aug 12, 2025 2:13am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Good chance for 65 to be revisted beofre a dump on CPI?? Every news outlet talking about higher than expected CPI. That when you know we have a high chance of buy the rumor sell the fact trade setup or Repricing trade. 1y Inflations swaps on bloomberg = 3.04%
The probability is there ...so I am managing my positions now
  • #87,953
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:15am Aug 12, 2025 2:15am
Quoting notabdullah1
wating for it to goo upp soo that we can sell thi
Chances of price going up is slowly fading as these orders from last week 3340-45s range are getting filled.

Unless we see some spoofing going on.
  • #87,954
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:19am Aug 12, 2025 2:19am
My last day's Bias is changed from long to short.
Now I'm looking for a nice zone to sell.
Maybe we see 75-80 zone again
or maybe we directly break 3340 zone with a solid candle and go down.
All we need is patience to see a valid confirmation.
  • #87,955
  • Edited 2:40am Aug 12, 2025 2:21am | Edited 2:40am
The WHAT
US dollar Index (not DXY)
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+
The WHY
Quoting thebigshot
Gold UP??? The questions remain to be asked: IS GDP -ve? NO Is NFP came out -ve? NO Is private hiring -ve? NO Is Inf going UP? YES Is FED likely to reverse course of holding to Hiking? May BE May BE??? BAsed on What?? Next couple eco data before Sept Until then, if CPI come out higher, with rising growth, the bullish sentiment for risk assets holds. WHY? With real rate falling, rate trade becomes less attractive. Which shows liquidity in risks assets will rise, as funds seek better returns. With gold no yield, funds flow to risk assets. However? If FED cut in rising inf rate and expansion, 10Y and 30Y yield, will explode to the upside? Yes Is it bullish for GOLD? Nope,dollar will bounce up, as risk of recession is not present YET
=WHERE


Edit:
P/S: With setup like this, do we need to Day Trade??
And is the risk;Reward marely 1:3??
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  • #87,956
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:36am Aug 12, 2025 2:36am
Quoting alinone07
Trading the range. Lets see. Price shouldn't break below 3340 before news in my opinion. Overall bias is short. {image}
First trade of the day went accordingly. Good start to the challenge. Already up 40%.
BUY HIGH SELL LOW
  • #87,957
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:36am Aug 12, 2025 2:36am
Based on the 'WHY"

The 2 risks present are:

1. That "very good" GDP reading is one-off, as major support come from import swings.
Largest component Consumer spending showed signs of slowing!
So 2nd relase came out around half of that ~1.4% then final reading around 0.5%.
Theoretically we escaped recession, as we need 2 consecutives -ve Quarterly GDP to be is a "contracting phase"


2. Fed cut too soon. Long end yield, 10Y+ yeild exploded to the upside, leading to FED yield control to hold the housing market.
Which leads to dollar sell off continuation.
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  • #87,958
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:39am Aug 12, 2025 2:39am
I would not trade the range to the downside now as I expect it to go a bit higher maybe till 3365-3370 to liquidate some people and execute those sell orders. Will be selling again at that zone or buying again around 40. If no such scenario occurs I will just wait for the news to come.
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BUY HIGH SELL LOW
  • #87,959
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:41am Aug 12, 2025 2:41am
Quoting alinone07
I would not trade the range to the downside now as I expect it to go a bit higher maybe till 3365-3370 to liquidate some people and execute those sell orders. Will be selling again at that zone or buying again around 40. If no such scenario occurs I will just wait for the news to come. {image}
295 zone might the next buying zone after 365 liquidity sweep
No more engagement as from today.
  • #87,960
  • Aug 12, 2025 2:50am Aug 12, 2025 2:50am
testing 3456 resistance !
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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