Market Insights by Hasti

Gold – Expanding Triangle Flag Pattern

Strong buying entered the gold market on Friday . While the price had dropped to $3268 earlier in the week, it rebounded by the end of the week, breaking through the $3345 resistance level.
If gold holds above Friday’s high, it may re-enter the expanding triangle flag pattern, with moving averages turning into support . The recent higher low at $3268 keeps the bullish structure intact, suggesting the previous flag pattern has simply expanded.
Key levels in this pattern:
Resistance: $3438
Support: $3268

The weekly candle closed as a bullish hammer, signaling that buyers may be gaining the upper hand .

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

WTI pressured by weak jobs data; price below 6X remains vulnerable
Weak U.S. employment data has dragged WTI prices down . After a bearish move, the current volume structure shows a double peak, indicating selling pressure. On Monday, crude opened with a downside gap and remains suppressed by lower volume resistance . If this pressure isn’t broken, the weakness is expected to continue.

Bull/Bear Line (Key Level): $67.8
Resistance Levels: 67.8 – 68.2 – 69.2
Support Levels: 66.3 – 65.3 – 64.7

(This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice)

Daily Gold Spot Analysis

Gold broke above 3363, forming a new short-term bullish continuation . Momentum remains positive, but a confirmed trend requires a breakout above 3433–3450 .
Main Targets:
First 3395 (previous futures high), then 3433–3450.
If you’re in from near current levels, consider reducing at 3395. Lower entry positions can aim higher .

Short-term consolidation formed between 3371–338.
Chasing above 3385 is risky;
Aggressive entry: near 3377 (15-min mid-band).
Conservative entry: only if 3371 holds.
If price breaks below 3371, bullish momentum may fade. 3351 is key to holding neutral structure .

Key Levels:

Resistance: 3395 / 3405 / 3417 / 3433–3450
Support: 3371 / 3363 / 3351 / 3339 / 3331

Market Commentary:

① Over the past two months, the wide range between 3245.50 and 3451.31 has continued to dominate gold price movements. The level 3268.18 (July 30 low) has now become a new support, helping gold recover above its 50-day moving average .
As long as price stays above this level, the bias remains bullish.
If gold breaks above 3451.31, a new push toward the historical high at 3500.10 could follow .
② Donald Trump announced he will soon appoint a new head for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and nominate a replacement for the resigned Fed governor Adriana Kugler.
These moves are part of his broader economic strategy.
However, markets are concerned that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may fail to cut rates in time, potentially repeating past policy mistakes .
With key personnel changes ahead, there's growing speculation that economic data could be manipulated to support government narratives.
③ Loss of confidence could lead capital to shift toward safe-haven assets like gold .
If the Fed’s restructuring is followed by loose fiscal policy, a weakening U.S. dollar may open the door for a fresh gold rally toward $4000 .

https://f.bpcdn.co/images/emoji/twit...lloon.png?v=12 Analyst Insights XAGUSD:

① Bruce Powers believes that silver issued a bullish reversal signal on Monday.
Since reaching the recent high of $39.53, this is the first time silver has formed a “higher high” and “higher low” https://f.bpcdn.co/images/emoji/twit...small.png?v=12https://f.bpcdn.co/images/emoji/twit...small.png?v=12 — a classic sign of a potential uptrend.
This move may signal the start of a bullish reversal, with expectations for the price to at least test the 20-day moving average at $37.90 https://f.bpcdn.co/images/emoji/twit...trend.png?v=12.

I hope you took advantage of yesterday’s silver analysis and rode the wave for a solid profit.

Gold Technical Outlook – Price Compression Continues Within Triangle Pattern

The symmetrical triangle on the gold chart continues to tighten, and price action is approaching a decision point for a potential breakout or extended consolidation.
On Tuesday, gold extended its upward movement within a developing consolidation pattern, forming both higher highs and higher lows. The price slightly broke above Monday’s high, reaching a new 8-day peak at $3,390. The daily low at $3,350 successfully retested the confluence area of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, confirming strong support within the $3,344–$3,347 zone.
As long as gold remains within the triangle, further range-bound movement is expected. The narrowing of this range has reduced overall volatility, which often signals that a sharp move could be imminent.
The immediate upside target is the upper boundary of the triangle. A bullish breakout would first be signaled by a move above $3,439. A confirmed breakout requires a clean move through the key resistance at $3,451, which also represents the previous monthly high — thus marking a potential breakout on the monthly timeframe.
If the breakout sustains, the next target zone lies between $3,578 and $3,603. However, this scenario depends on strong momentum following the breakout. Without it, the risk of a pullback remains.

Gold Swing Technical Briefing: Bullish Momentum Remains Dominant – Watch This Key Support
Swing Strategy:

Suggested long entry at 3345.00,
Target: 3550.27,
Stop-loss: Below 3268.18

Market Commentary:
Gold continues to trade within a wide range, with bullish momentum currently in control. After finding support at 3345.13 (August 4 low), price returned to around 3400, though it has yet to test the upper boundary.
Keep a close eye on 3345.13 as a key support level.
If price breaks above 3451.31 (June 16 high) and the all-time high at 3500.10, it could extend gains toward 3550.27 and 3589.57 (Fibonacci extension level).

Resistance levels:
3438.99, 3451.31, 3500.10, 3550.27, 3589.57
Support levels:
3345.13, 3268.18, 3245.50, 3120.98, 3022.73

For informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Outlook for Global Gold Trends: Two Scenarios After the CPI Report
Current Situation:
July's NFP (jobs report) came in weaker than expected
Markets have priced in a 90% chance of a rate cut in September
Some analysts even expect 3 rate cuts in total for this year
Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Also nominated a new member for the Fed Board of Governors
These moves raise concerns about increased political influence on Fed policy

Main Focus:
July CPI report = key data for the Fed’s September policy decision

Scenario 1 – CPI comes in lower than expected:
Lower inflation = higher chance of rate cut
Gold likely to break above $3409.43
Next target: $3451.53
With further positive catalysts → potential test of all-time highs

Scenario 2 – CPI comes in higher than expected:
US bond yields rise
Stronger US dollar
Downward pressure on gold, target: $3310.48
If that breaks → next targets: $3268.12 and $3244.41
For informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice

Gold Faces Breakdown Risk Near Key Support

Stronger USD and Treasury yields weigh on gold. Traders are bracing for Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, expecting resistance to September rate cut hopes. Talks of Trump pushing to end the Ukraine war also dampen safe-haven demand.
Technically, gold is testing $1,310 support. Bearish candles like the Evening Star and Bearish Engulfing confirm downside pressure. A break below opens room to $1,268 and key support at $1,250. Rebound targets lie at $1,344 and $1,376, with wedge breakout potentially pushing toward $1,500.
Momentum has turned bearish — caution warranted.

Gold Technical Outlook (Aug 20, 2025)

Topping Formation in Gold – $3,120 Target in Play
Fibonacci projections suggest a possible drop to $3,298–$3,301.
Wave (c) is underway and has broken the 61.8% level at $3,327. The 100% extension target sits at $3,298.
Retracement from $3,408 to $3,268 shows gold breaking the 61.8% fib at $3,322 — opening path to $3,301.
Resistance: $3,322. If broken, short-term rebound to $3,327–$3,336 is possible.
Daily chart shows price nearing a wedge breakdown. The pattern resembles a top formation.
A small 5-wave cycle from $3,120 may have ended, with wave 5 failing to extend. This supports a potential drop back toward $3,120.
Source: Reuters Commodity Technical Analysis | Not investment advice.

Powell’s speech lifted gold over 1%, nearing $3400. Markets expect rate cuts to weaken the USD, boosting gold’s appeal. Though short-term trend remains neutral, RSI above 50 signals growing bullish momentum, while TRIX stays flat. Key resistance is $3400 — a breakout confirms a long-term uptrend. Support lies at $3300 and stronger at $3200. A break below $3200 may trigger heavier selling and shift the market outlook.

Bitcoin has broken below the 50-day EMA with falling volume, signaling weakening bullish momentum. This key support held in past bull markets but now acts as resistance — buyers lack strength to reclaim it.
Volume drop adds pressure and reflects cautious sentiment. If BTC fails to recover above the 50-day EMA soon, the next key support is near $111,000 (100-day EMA). Breaking that may signal a broader trend reversal.
Key resistance is now at $116,000. Without breaking it, the bull market narrative remains fragile.

Official Gold Market Analysis | A Move Toward $4000?

After five months of consolidation, gold has broken out of a compressed technical pattern and entered a bullish trend.
Independent analyst Jesse Colombo believes the end of summer and the return of trading volume have triggered this upward momentum.
Softer-than-expected PCE inflation data has boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut in September — a bullish driver for gold.
A firm close above $3500 could pave the way for a move toward $4000 in the coming months.
Western investors are now joining the rally, following earlier demand from Asian investors and central banks.
If gold holds current levels, a mid-term bull market looks increasingly likely.
(Source: Jesse Colombo)

Spot gold price has entered a bullish trend after breaking the $3450 resistance and is likely to test $3498 next. If broken, targets are $3576 and $3701.
A bullish wedge pattern is confirmed with low chances of deep correction. Support lies at $3450 and if price falls, it may reach the $3372-$3411 range.
(Source: Reuters Commodities and Energy Technical Analysts)

Silver: Strong Resistance Around $41
On Monday, during shortened U.S. trading hours, silver hit a new high at $40.76, breaking above last week's $39.97 peak. It even moved beyond the upper edge of a long-term ascending channel, confirming continued bullish momentum.
But the $40.86–41.09 zone holds key resistances:
200% extension of a recent pullback
127.2% Fibonacci extension of 2021 drop
161.8% target of a short-term ABCD pattern
This zone may act as a pause or consolidation area. Still, the broader uptrend remains intact. August's monthly close above July's peak confirms strength in the larger time frame.

Gold: Rally Continues, But Eyes on U.S. Jobs
Gold broke above $3450 last week, briefly touching $3500. Weak USD, Fed concerns, and geopolitical risks drive demand — but all eyes are now on U.S. jobs data.
Key Levels & Technicals
Next resistances: $3550, $3600, $3657.
Below $3400, a pullback is likely. RSI is near 70 but the trend remains strong.
U.S. Jobs: Key to Fed Policy and Gold’s Path
Friday’s NFP is critical. July revisions matter more than August’s new data. Forecast: only +68K jobs.
Weak results may trigger a Fed rate cut cycle (up to 100bps) — bullish for gold. Strong data may slow the rally.

Gold broke above the key $3500 resistance and set a new record high. With strengthening technical indicators and 88% market bullish sentiment, the uptrend appears sustainable. Next targets are $3550–$3579, with potential extension toward $3657.
In case of a pullback, key support lies at $3404. A break below may open the path to $3351. However, current corrections are shallow, indicating strong upward momentum.
On the macro side, economic growth is slowing, the labor market is weakening, and stagflation risks are rising. Gold continues to benefit as both an inflation hedge and a crisis hedge.
Resistance levels: 3550, 3579, 3657, 3673, 3705
Support levels: 3437, 3404, 3351, 3311, 3268

Barclays has reiterated its "hold" rating for Meta (NASDAQ: META) shares, citing the potential revenue growth from the WhatsApp and Threads platforms as the main reason. The investment firm forecasts that by 2026 and 2027, WhatsApp and Threads could generate an additional $6 billion and $19 billion in advertising revenue, respectively. These projections are based on Meta’s impressive current financial performance, with revenue of $178.8 billion, reflecting a 19.37% year-over-year growth.
Advertising in WhatsApp Status, which has over 1.5 billion daily active users, generates a large volume of ad inventory with lower user acquisition costs, while Threads, although smaller, has higher revenue potential due to its user base in higher-income regions, and the analyst recommends buying META shares around the $727 price level.

Trading Product: Google NASDAQ: GOOG
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