US Producer Price Index - June 2025 | Crypto Craft

  • US Producer Price Index - June 2025

    From bls.gov

    The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices increased 0.3 percent in May and declined 0.3 percent in April. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 2.3 percent for the 12 months ended in June. In June, a 0.3-percent advance in prices for final demand goods offset a 0.1-percent decrease in the index for final demand services. Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services were unchanged in June after inching up 0.1 percent in May. For the 12 months ended in ... (full story)

Added at 7:37am

  • Wholesale inflation measure was unchanged in June

    From cnbc.com

    A measure of wholesale prices showed no change in June, providing a conflicting sign over whether tariffs threaten to boost inflation in the coming months. The producer price index was flat, according to seasonally adjusted numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 0.2%. The same was true for core PPI, which also was expected to show a 0.2% increase. Combined with Tuesday’s consumer price index release, the data suggests that President Donald Trump’s tariffs are indicating only a marginal bite on the U.S. economy and the ... (full story)

Comment Options
fx6996
Jul 16, 2025 8:41am
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Quoting GreyPool
{quote} Doesn't look like they're passing the cost to consumers yet, the PPI number was unchanged from last month.
Companies have a choice: 1. Pass the costs along, raise prices/lose market share or
2. Eat the costs, keep prices stable, grow market share from those who pass on costs
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 7:51am — Edited
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So, we know that the April Liberation Day provoked an enormous of front-loading of inventory before TACO rescinded, reduced or delayed some threats of tariffs.
Added to which the consumer may have thought twice about making those planned purchases, meaning that importers are not ordering more inventory yet, leading to the manufacturers having to reduce prices temporarily to help induce logistical flow and reduce the back up inventory.
But, at some point, the lock-gates will get opened and some form of new normality will begin to appear as the flow resumes.
That's when we get to see meaningful data points that demonstrate economic activity rates and prices.
With all of these on/off/on again tariffs being thrown about to suit the TV Show, it's difficult to envisage when a 'normal flow' will resume. It could well take until September to appear.
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 8:04am
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} If that was the case , are you saying that businesses are absorbing the whole 10% tariff ( that’s the base line level) ? What would that do corporate profits ? I wonder
Don't forget that for a datapoint to occur there has first actually to be a proven sale. If no one's buying or selling then inflation will be zero.
Reply
OnlineAddict
Jul 16, 2025 7:31am
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Trump whining incoming in 3...2...1...
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Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 7:31am
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Trump is smiling once more
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glenngie
Jul 16, 2025 7:35am
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Economists ALL wrong yet again!
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Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 7:55am
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Quoting Momofrmnyc
{quote} To be honest it's so hard to look at any of the data with the tariff being the revolving door. I think once we can the majority of dealings out the way we can start seeing the effects of how business will operate with their inventory/pricing towards consumers. All to say it's just looking like more clouds in the outlook at the moment. No clear signals either way.
I’d go with that summary Momo . I said yesterday about the run off requirement for inventories to show a clearer picture .

The flip side is -who’s absorbing the whole 9 yards ( of tariffs) , let’s make that 10 yards .
Reply
Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 8:06am
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Quoting DaJoWaBa
{quote} Don't forget that for a datapoint to occur there has first actually to be a proven sale. If no one's buying or selling then inflation will be zero.
Maybe it’s a black market operation
Reply
Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 8:15am
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Quoting DaJoWaBa
{quote} , says the voice of experience.
You casting aspersions Dajo ?

I’ll have you know that shipment of bananas was perfectly legal ( sniff ) . I’ll consult my Columbian lawyer and have a slander suit issued promptly .
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 7:39am
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Quoting Trader#12EE
hmmm...does that mean due to corporate greed corporations are front loading their profits first by passing the cost to consumers in advance when there's actually no tariffs inflation kicking in yet?
Definitely a strong possibility. CEO's bonuses are always a motivator.
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 8:21am
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} You casting aspersions Dajo ? I’ll have you know that shipment of bananas was perfectly legal ( sniff ) . I’ll consult my Columbian lawyer and have a slander suit issued promptly .
. Never would I cast aspersions! Ahem.

Sorry, maybe I should have said: "Did I say that? I don't remember saying that. Who said I said that? Well, we're doing just great."
Reply
Schultz
Jul 16, 2025 9:11am
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Quoting fx6996
{quote} Companies have a choice: 1. Pass the costs along, raise prices/lose market share or 2. Eat the costs, keep prices stable, grow market share from those who pass on costs
Is that what they teach at business school?

In the second choice, what will be foregone, profits or labour costs? If profits, what is the point of maintaining market share? Either your shareholders will flee or the bank will be calling in its debts.
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 8:09am
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} Maybe it’s a black market operation
, says the voice of experience.
Reply
glenngie
Jul 16, 2025 7:41am
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Quoting TheDazman
You know the rate cut crew are going to get their hopes up again - I can hear July rate cut on the wind already.
True....of course we all know what the Fed is going to say "We need more data"
Reply
Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 7:52am
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Quoting chemosi
The data is an inflation denier...
If that was the case , are you saying that businesses are absorbing the whole 10% tariff ( that’s the base line level) ?

What would that do corporate profits ?

I wonder
Reply
Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 8:03am
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Quoting Trader#E14A
{quote} From experience I can tell you that i ordered a shipment from China, got a bill from UPS to pay it, i refused, they kicked it back to the shipper and they automatically deducted it from the shipper's account. The shipper and seller had to figure out who was going to cover and their internal reimbursement process, not I. Very unlikely this will hit consumers directly 100% it'll be muted.
Savvy move.

How many consumers are as smart as yourself ? It was probably also just a one off , neither can absorb these costs without some repercussions .

It’ll hit both imo , consumer and business alike.

There’s zero chance these can be absorbed without the ripple effect.
Reply
Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 8:05am
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Quoting chemosi
{quote} Its not that simple i think... fiscal re-balancing and jerk reactions from global Treasuries appeasing Trump or their own interests will bring about distorted data...
A masterclass in diplomacy there chemosi
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 7:42am
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Quoting glenngie
Economists ALL wrong yet again!
Explain how so. I'm intrigued if you think that any said that this particular datapoint at this particular time would be a specific number.
Reply
DaJoWaBa
Jul 16, 2025 7:52am
Permalink
Quoting Momofrmnyc
{quote} To be honest it's so hard to look at any of the data with the tariff being the revolving door. I think once we can the majority of dealings out the way we can start seeing the effects of how business will operate with their inventory/pricing towards consumers. All to say it's just looking like more clouds in the outlook at the moment. No clear signals either way.
Yes, quite so.
Reply
chemosi
Jul 16, 2025 8:01am
Permalink
Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} If that was the case , are you saying that businesses are absorbing the whole 10% tariff ( that’s the base line level) ? What would that do corporate profits ? I wonder
Its not that simple i think...
fiscal re-balancing and jerk reactions from global Treasuries appeasing Trump or their own
interests will bring about distorted data...
Reply
GreyPool
Jul 16, 2025 7:35am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#12EE
hmmm...does that mean due to corporate greed corporations are front loading their profits first by passing the cost to consumers in advance when there's actually no tariffs inflation kicking in yet?
Doesn't look like they're passing the cost to consumers yet, the PPI number was unchanged from last month.
Reply
Momofrmnyc
Jul 16, 2025 7:47am
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Quoting Vancarbon
Yet CPI yesterday contradicted today’s ppi . Go fig ! Where is the magical money being absorbed ? lol
To be honest it's so hard to look at any of the data with the tariff being the revolving door. I think once we can the majority of dealings out the way we can start seeing the effects of how business will operate with their inventory/pricing towards consumers.

All to say it's just looking like more clouds in the outlook at the moment. No clear signals either way.
Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 7:36am
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Gold wil run
Reply
Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 7:41am
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Look at your daily chart for gold
Reply
Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 7:53am
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Lower interest rates will swing gold higher.
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Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 7:55am
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Gold found support at 3330.98 on daily.
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Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 8:04am
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Market is waiting for industrial production
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Bakker
Jul 16, 2025 8:19am
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Quoting Bakker
Market is waiting for industrial production
Gold got wings
Reply
AonRaza
Jul 16, 2025 7:34am
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But Gold will still behave like SHITTT. Looks like it would keep going down.
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Vancarbon
Jul 16, 2025 7:43am
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Yet CPI yesterday contradicted today’s ppi . Go fig !

Where is the magical money being absorbed ? lol
Reply
Luxyus
Jul 16, 2025 7:50am
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Quoting Vancarbon
Yet CPI yesterday contradicted today’s ppi . Go fig ! Where is the magical money being absorbed ? lol
discrepancies are just due producers speculations
Luxyus
Jul 16, 2025 8:13am
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It is the result of a marketing strategy aimed at increasing profits by producers under the guise of tariffs, nothing else.
k.k
Jul 16, 2025 7:33am
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well done Trump.
Reply
CycleGF
Jul 16, 2025 7:42am
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Gold is Suffocating, churning up and down like a wild horse
Reply
CycleGF
Jul 16, 2025 7:52am
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0% PPI means same as last month ...with higher CPI, it's still inflationary
Reply
chemosi
Jul 16, 2025 7:49am
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The data is an inflation denier...
Reply
Manudatinh
Jul 16, 2025 7:54am
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Quoting Ojiego
Dark Cloud Covering the US Economy ..... we are watching.
BS!
Reply
Ojiego
Jul 16, 2025 7:32am
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Dark Cloud Covering the US Economy ..... we are watching.
Reply
glenngie
Jul 16, 2025 7:38am
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Quoting OnlineAddict
Trump whining incoming in 3...2...1...
100%
Reply
BaliBoyz80
Jul 16, 2025 7:33am
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wait till Mr President blame again and again his buddy, Mr powell
Reply
ridrid
Jul 16, 2025 8:16am
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where is trump tweet
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Trader#12EE
Jul 16, 2025 7:33am
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hmmm...does that mean due to corporate greed corporations are front loading their profits first by passing the cost to consumers in advance when there's actually no tariffs inflation kicking in yet?
Reply
Helixhype
Jul 16, 2025 7:42am
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bullish for trump
Reply
tech12psk
Jul 16, 2025 7:37am
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BTC/USD will fly high
Reply
saina2016
Jul 16, 2025 7:31am
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ok
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Ibrahimndi
Jul 16, 2025 7:31am
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Bitcoin
Reply
Mohitkhand
Jul 16, 2025 7:33am
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Gold up or down
Reply
yousseffff
Jul 16, 2025 7:33am
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low impact !!
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Abmbwu
Jul 16, 2025 7:35am
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Gold down
Sell mode
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TheDazman
Jul 16, 2025 7:40am
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You know the rate cut crew are going to get their hopes up again - I can hear July rate cut on the wind already.
Reply
bal3396
Jul 16, 2025 7:48am
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gold what happen
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abbukaar
Jul 16, 2025 7:52am
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i dont really understand. Doess mean that USD/JPY will go down? meanig selling it in FX
Reply
Mohitkhand
Jul 16, 2025 7:53am
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Gold buy or sell
Reply
Hashir2003
Jul 16, 2025 7:56am
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Anyone here
Reply
Trader#E14A
Jul 16, 2025 7:56am
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} If that was the case , are you saying that businesses are absorbing the whole 10% tariff ( that’s the base line level) ? What would that do corporate profits ? I wonder
From experience I can tell you that i ordered a shipment from China, got a bill from UPS to pay it, i refused, they kicked it back to the shipper and they automatically deducted it from the shipper's account. The shipper and seller had to figure out who was going to cover and their internal reimbursement process, not I. Very unlikely this will hit consumers directly 100% it'll be muted.
Reply
Structure123
Jul 16, 2025 7:58am
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Neutral
Reply
Meoldy129
Jul 16, 2025 7:58am
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Sell Golddddd
Reply
Ftmofx
Jul 16, 2025 7:59am
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CPI and PPI are well. Tariff is picking up inflation. Rate cut will be delay or later this year. USD bullish. It will maintain the uptrend.
tailanhqua
Jul 16, 2025 8:39am
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This news does not seem to be strong enough to cause USD to fluctuate strongly.
Reply
Schweet
Jul 16, 2025 9:16am
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Inserted Video
Reply
EminexFx
Jul 19, 2025 10:54am
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Crypto to the Moon
If you can't hold you are Wrong
Reply
Trader#BE72
Jul 16, 2025 7:31am
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Wow
Reply
Trader#30C4
Jul 16, 2025 7:32am
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Thanks!!!
Reply
Trader#C768
Jul 16, 2025 7:32am
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OKK
Reply
Trader#CDDE
Jul 16, 2025 7:32am
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sell gold
Reply
Trader#351F
Jul 16, 2025 7:32am
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Just buy gold
Reply
Trader#E459
Jul 16, 2025 7:34am
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What's happening
Reply
Trader#DC6D
Jul 16, 2025 7:35am
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What is the news about red hours?
Reply
Trader#C0B0
Jul 16, 2025 7:36am
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Xauusd flying
Reply
Trader#CAF8
Jul 16, 2025 7:37am
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See theres no inflation, we have the best no inflation, its winning hugely
Reply
Trader#A63E
Jul 16, 2025 7:37am
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BTC
Reply
Trader#08EC
Jul 16, 2025 7:37am
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Looking really bullish for AUD/USD now, especially if employment data is strong, which I'm guessing it will be (Due to mass immigration).
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Trader#DF64
Jul 16, 2025 7:37am
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"money just hit the bank"
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Trader#2460
Jul 16, 2025 7:38am
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It's been a magical week, please don't play tricks on me.
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Trader#86D7
Jul 16, 2025 7:38am
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Gold will continue to go down, it looks like it.
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Trader#D2A6
Jul 16, 2025 7:39am
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sell eurusd
Reply
Trader#A91A
Jul 16, 2025 7:40am
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Good
Reply
Trader#E573
Jul 16, 2025 7:40am
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Gold buy
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Trader#3EE2
Jul 16, 2025 7:41am
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Fuck news
Reply
Trader#4BC8
Jul 16, 2025 7:46am
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Are they manipulating the inflation data to please their MASTER???
Reply
Trader#CDCC
Jul 16, 2025 7:46am
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Interesting revision of previous month
Reply
Trader#B0A1
Jul 16, 2025 7:49am
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Euru/usd What do you think of the movement?
Reply
Trader#1A73
Jul 16, 2025 7:49am
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Crypto down
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Trader#D2CA
Jul 16, 2025 7:57am
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gold
Reply
Trader#B8D5
Jul 16, 2025 7:59am
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Gold is waiting for fuel to take off
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Trader#CB17
Jul 16, 2025 7:59am
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USD/jpy is flying already
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Trader#CB17
Jul 16, 2025 8:00am
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USD)jpy is flying up already
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Trader#FAF6
Jul 16, 2025 8:03am
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LOL.. Gold is still moving withing range. can it retest yesterday high or can break today's low. Lets see
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Trader#1378
Jul 16, 2025 8:18am
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Buy usd
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Trader#2931
Jul 16, 2025 9:41am
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B-BU-BUT tariffs were supposed to make everything unaffordable - FOOL
Reply
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