Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

Epic

I wouldn't be surpriced if markets tank again (5500 & 19K) if Trumps plans are even more insane then everybody expects .

ES Long 1 lot
Closed +5.5p at +0.25%

Still 2 MES running 5634/SL BE
Target Y close 5658 zone
T2 +6.5p 1 lot/SL BE
1 left. Still inside ETH OR
Last closed BE

MNQ Long 19.357 last lot.
T1 +18/20p 2 lot.
1 Left SL BE
Last closed BE

NQ above 400 likely more buy MM/Shorts below 19.300
SnP above 5650 likely more buy MM/Shorts below 5625/5620 DPP

MNQ Long 19.425.75
T1 +24/25p 2 lot
T2 +49/50p 4 lot.
1 left
Last MNQ lot closed +25p

ES Mini Long 1 lot
Closed +4.5p ($225)

MNQ Long 19.420 last lot Target 500
Last lot closed +58/59p

500 RS zone

ES Mini Long 1 lot 5641.75
Closed +5.75p

Targets 5650 reached>>5655 Y close reached>>5670 +0.25%

2 MES running 5640
T1 +12p 1 lot
1 left
Last closed +15.5p at Y close

MNQ L again 2 lot 19.474
T1 +10p
1 left
Target 500/+0.25%/SL BE

500 reached

SnP tries to reach 5670/+0.25% (10p to go)
If it manages the NQ could pop to 19.550/+0.5% (likely)

Closed +27p last lot.

DOW & SnP are back at +/-50% recocery point of latest drop.

NQ needs to close its last week TPO GAP to get there as well. 19.800 zone

MNQ Long 19.652.25 last lot/SL BE

1st Trgt 19.700/+0.5%
Next 19.800 WPP/+1.0% zone (GAP closed)

Still bearish but in a poss. transition to bullish.
Needs to get above 20K MPP zone<>20.100 M VWAP zone again for more buy MM.

What a bunch of morons!

And the chief clown hires an other clown.

And Zelensky disrespect the Oval Office not wearing a suit....??

https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post15199914

In the last 2 years BRICS nations bought 600 tons of gold. to support their own payment system, without being dependant on the US, as a shield of a post US$ world.

The top four central banks by gold reserves (U.S. 8,133 tonnes, Germany 3,352 tonnes, Italy 2,452 tonnes, and France 2,437 tonnes)

There has been a lot of movement below the top four, especially with Russia and China, which are now the #5 and #6 largest holders, The increases in China and Russia alone represent nearly 60% of the total increase since 2006.

Russia: 2,333 tonnes, little changed since Q2 2022. But between 2005 and 2022, Russia, one of the largest gold producers, had added nearly 2,000 tonnes. China: 2,280 tonnes. In 2024, it added 44 tonnes. It started piling on gold in 2009 and by 2015 had tripled its holdings.

Combined, Russia and China have added 3,626 tonnes to their holdings since 2005, while smaller holders like Poland, India, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan added large amounts of gold last year.

1. White House trade adviser Peter Navarro estimated the U.S. would raise about $600 billion to $700 billion a year from tariffs.
2. Economists say the true number will probably be less than half of that sum. Much depends on the actual policies, though.

Economists expect the Trump administration’s tariff policy would generate a much lower amount of revenue than Navarro claims. Some project the total revenue would be less than half.
Roughly $600 billion to $700 billion a year “is not even in the realm of possibility,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s. “If you get to $100 billion to $200 billion, you’ll be pretty lucky.”

The U.S. imported about $3.3 trillion of goods in 2024. Applying a 20% tariff rate to all these imports would yield about $660 billion of annual revenue.
“That is almost certainly the mental math Peter Navarro is doing — and that mental math skips some crucial steps,”

It doesn’t account for lower U.S. economic growth due to retaliation or the negative growth effects from the tariffs themselves.

Tariffs generally raise prices for consumers. A 20% broad tariff would cost the average consumer $3,400 to $4,200 a year.
Consumers would naturally buy fewer imported goods if they cost more. Lower demand means fewer imports and less tariff revenue from those imports.

U.S. companies that don’t pass tariff costs on to consumers via higher prices would likely see profits suffer (and their income taxes fall). Consumers might pull back on spending, further denting company profits and tax revenues. Companies that take a financial hit might lay off workers as well.

Foreign nations are also expected to retaliate with their own tariffs on U.S. products, which would hurt companies that export products abroad. Other nations may experience an economic downturn, further reducing demand for U.S. products.

The Trump administration might also funnel some tariff revenue to paying certain parties aggrieved by a trade war, economists said.
President Trump did that in his first term: The government sent $61 billion in “relief” payments to American farmers who faced retaliatory tariffs, which was nearly all (92%) of the tariff revenue on Chinese goods from 2018 to 2020.

“There’s zero probability these tariffs will last for 10 years,”

The Trump administration has signaled that tariffs “will be one of the top-tier ways they’ll try to offset the cost” of passing a package of tax cuts, Tedeschi said.
Extending a 2017 tax cut law signed by President Trump would cost $4.5 trillion over a decade, according to the Tax Foundation. Trump has also called for other tax breaks like no taxes on tips, overtime pay or Social Security benefits, and a tax deduction for auto loan interest for American made cars.
If tariffs don’t cover the full cost of such a package, then Republican lawmakers would have to find cuts elsewhere or increase the nation’s debt.


Liberation day. Does this mean he’s resigning?

A 7%/8% down swing in expected US GDP growth within 8 weeks. Sounds as bankrupting a casino.

Trump wants to refurnish the kitchen, but blows up the house with dynamite first.

MNQ short
T1 +20/21p 4 lot.
1 left
Target DPP 500 zone

Last closed +17/18p

YM Long
T1 +21p 1 lot. 1 left for 950+
Last closed +39p