Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

Bitcoin falls as much as 6.5% as volatility continues after Trump’s bitcoin reserve plan.

Dow futures drop 300 points as selling continues on Wall Street

US equities are back for sale this morning.

The same concerns as before are weighing on sentiment, specifically that Trump and White House officials remain defiantly supportive of an economic/tariff agenda that (at best) will create significant near-term headwinds (and at worst will trigger an extended growth slump lasting for multiple months and quarters)

The political turbulence could continue this week, with a heavy dose of economic data adding to the list of potential market-moving events.

The New York Fed survey of consumer expectations is due out on Monday.

On the inflation front, the February consumer price index release is slated for Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday.

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading on Friday.

Putin wants to mediate between Trump and Zelensky

Putin has promised to end the quarrel between Trump and Zelensky within 24 hours.

EU Satire

MNQ Short 19.953 last 5 lot

T2 +22<>24p 4 lot at -1.5% level
1 left
Last closed BE

If SnP drops below DS1 the NQ will likely follow down to DS1 19.900 >>-2.0% 19.850<>19.825 zone

Short 19.944 again last lot
T1 +10p 3 lot
1 left SL BE zone
Closed +42p at DS1

DS1/900 reached. +45p so far

I think 19.820 -2.0% is to deep but defo not impossible later

ES & MES short at 5703.50/5705

ES closed +7.25p 1 lot

MES still running
T1 +7p 3 lot
2 left/SL BE zone
T2 +9.8p 1 lot
1 left
Target 5672 MS2 zone/low of Friday. Double bottom???

At 5700 zone
Target 5690/-1.5%

Instead of a double bottom we could see a higher low. Lets see........

MNQ Long 19.914 4 lot
T1 +10/11p
2 left SL BE zone
Closed -4/5p last 2 lot

FDXM Long 22.705 1 lot from DS2/-1.5%
Closed +34/35p

FDXS Long 22.708 2 lot
T1 +30p 1 lot
1 left SL BE
Last closed +18/19p

NQ & SnP sliding deeper
NQ likely to -2.0% zone 825
850 needs to be broken first

SnP at -1.5% 5688 zone. Reverse from here? Or down to Fridays low/MS1 5680 zone ?

ES Long 5693 1 lot from -1.5% zone
Closed +3.75p 1 lot

Tricky COUNTER long 19.872 from DS1 zone
T1 +30/31p 2 lot
1 Left SL BE and trailing up
MNQ closed +37p last lot

Target -1.5% 925 zone first

Step by step

YM Mini long 1 lot 42.363 to 400 or BE
Closed +32/33p just below 400 -1.0%

Trump says US economy in 'transition' as trade war escalates

Donald Trump has refused to say whether the US economy is facing a recession or price rises in the wake of his administration's flip-flopping on tariff threats against some of its closest trading partners. Asked if he was expecting a recession this year, Trump said there was a "period of transition" taking place.

Transition is the new synonym of Recession.

ES & MES Long 5660

ES closed +6.5p

MES closed BE last 2 lot

MNQ down -3.0% today At WS1/DS2 600 zone

MNQ Long 19.577
T1 +14/15p 2 lot
T2 +20/22p 3 lot
1 left
Last closed +32p at WS1 (RS zone now)

Long again 19.638 last 2 lot
T1 +14/15p 2 lot
T2 +33p 1 lot
1 left
Target 750 zone (700 RS level)

Closed +55p last lot just below the 700

Nvidia fell another 4.9% Monday to bring its loss for the year so far to 20.2%. It’s a steep drop-off from its nearly 820% surge over 2023 and 2024.
They have nothing to worry.

Elon Musk’s Tesla fell 8.7% to deepen its loss for 2025 to more than 40%
He should worry.

NQ +/- 3000p down from ATH/15% down

SnP +/- 500p down/9% down

MNQ Long 19.592 last 2 lot (from DS2/550 zone)
Last 2 closed +31/33p at RTH POC/WS1

NQ reached the MS2 19.400 zone
Next stop could be 19.000 (Sept 2024 low) if MS2 doesn't hold. -6.0% this week. (about 15% from ATH)

SnP reached the 5600 zone
Next stop could be 5500 -5.0% this week (about 10% from ATH)
5550 is the low of Nov 2024

Here it becomes interesting.

Expect The Unexpected