Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

MNQ Short 685 2 lot for 650>>600
T1 +39/40p 1 lot
1 left
Closed +74/75p last lot (to early/hindsight)

Slipped even to 500 DS3 zone (on the tick)
Long 21.558 last 2 lot
Closed +17/18p

Stuck at -2.0%

Ugly surprice at the end of the Year.

Both NQ & SnP at DS3 zone. Dropped very deep

MNQ new Long try from 21.537 DS3 zone 5 lot

First busstop 600
Next 675 WPP/-1.5% zone

T1 +45<>48p 4 lot
1 left
Closed +57/58p last lot just below 600

ES Mini Long 6006 1 lot
Closed +9.5p

MES Micro long 6004
Last 2 lot

T2 +14.5p 1 lot
1 left/+10p locked in
Closed +14p last lot

Trgt 6025 zone (maybe)

MNQ counter (poss) Swing long from 21.561
Last 2 lot

T2 +48/49p 1 lot
1 left
Closed +32p

600 still RS zone
Above 600 maybe/likely Long again (or little deeper from a higher low/-2.0% 550 zone)

MNQ counter Long 21.556 last 2 lots
T1 +10/11p 2 lot
T2 +15/16p 1 lot
1 left (SL -5p)
Closed -5/6p last lot

SnP stuck at 6000 -1.5% zone.

Needs to form a bottom first before recovery.

CNBC:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 430 points, falling for the first time in six sessions.

The S&P 500 fell 1.3%.

The Nasdaq Composite slid 2% as Tesla dropped 5%, and Nvidia declined more than 3%. Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet each fell at least 2%.

Although trading has been muted this week, investors hope stocks will surge into the new year, spurred by the so-called “Santa Claus rally.” This refers to the market’s tendency to rise in the final five trading days of the year and the first two in January. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has returned 1.3% on average during this period, outpacing the market’s average seven-day return of 0.3%, according to LPL Financial

MNQ L last 2 lot 21.573

ES Mini Long 1 lot 6007.25
+5p locked in

Closed +14p at target

Trgt 6017<>6020 zone

T2 +55p 1 lot
1 left
Closed +75/76p at 650 zone

Filling TPO GAP

MES 4 lot long 6012
T1 +10p 2 lot
2 left SL BE
1 lot closed +8p
1 left SL BE
Closed +3p last

Also filling a TPO GAP

Half volume of an average Day so far
Mostly retailers.

I suspect market makers ditched some of their inventory to let the markets plunge in order to buy it back with a discount.
Just my 2 cents idea.

We wil see if that is a correct assumption (or not) how it plays out the coming few weeks.

Anyway a smashing end of the week

My week is done cause its almost Midnight.

CNBC:

Investors follow the direction of earnings growth
The S&P 500 is expected to see an overall earnings increase of roughly 10% this year, marking a fourth year of earnings growth. Next year is also expected to see earnings growth.
S&P 500 Earnings Growth:

1. 2021: up 52%
2. 2022: up 4.8%
3. 2023: up 4.1%
4. 2024: up 10.2% (est.)
5. 2025: up 14.3% (est.)

S&P 500 Technology Earnings Growth:

1. 2021: up 37.3%
2. 2022: flat
3. 2023: up 9.1%
4. 2024: up 20.1% (est.)
5. 2025: up 21.1% (est.)

Mag 7 earnings vs. rest of market (2024)

1. Magnificent Seven: up 33%
2. Rest of S&P (493 stocks): up 4%

Earnings gains for Mag 7 slowing

1. Q4 2024: up 24%
2. Q4 2025 est.: up 18%

S&P 500: bottom 493 estimates

1. Q4 2024: up 4%
2. Q4 2025 est.: up 14%

Megacap tech earnings growth: 2024 vs. 2025 (calendar year)
2024 2025

1. Nvidia 127.6% 50.0% (fiscal year ended Jan.)
2. Amazon 77.1% 20.5%
3. Meta Platforms 51.9% 12.1%
4. Alphabet 38.0% 11.9%
5. Broadcom 22.6% 25.3%
6. Microsoft 11.5% 10.9%
7. Apple 7.9% 10.8%

2025: Lots of wild cards
The new year is a bit more unsettled than a lot of people want to believe. True, the incoming Trump administration is very business friendly and it is getting a very strong handoff: a robust economy and still-rising corporate profits.
But we really don’t know what the Federal Reserve is going to end up doing. Markets are pricing in a slower easing by the Fed because inflation is still persistent.

Trump administration could enact tariffs that are damaging to the economy. Second, the Fed could become too focused on again fighting inflation and allow the labor market to weaken.
Bottom line: There are still a lot of potential landmines out there.

1 Trillion seconds is about 31.710 Years (acc to AI)

As of now, the U.S. national debt is approximately $36.1 trillion
https://www.pgpf.org/national-debt-clock/.

To put it in perspective, if you had a billion seconds, it would be about 32 years, while a trillion seconds would be about 32,000 years

This amount translates to about $105,866 per person in the United States


Just interesting/good to know/The US is big in every way.

ES MINI Short 2 lot 6016
T1 +3 1 lot
1 left
Closed +3p last lot

MNQ Short Micro 4 lot
T1 +16<>18p 3 lot
1 left. SL BE
Closed +10p last lot at -0.25%

ES Mini Short again 6012
Closed +4p

MES Short 6013
4 lot
T1 +4.5p 3 lot
1 left/SL BE zone

6K will likely be a SP zone