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  • #55,581
  • Dec 11, 2024 6:53am Dec 11, 2024 6:53am
anybody see this bearish gartley
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  • #55,582
  • Dec 11, 2024 6:56am Dec 11, 2024 6:56am
2686.59 breakout for sell and 2699.77 to buy in 1h TF, wait for close, not wick...
Still eyes on buy, but price didn't break my box yet.
  • #55,583
  • Dec 11, 2024 6:57am Dec 11, 2024 6:57am
Quoting Durin
Jumped in with a sell 2695; it's a gamble based on the CPI news but the technical is favouring a downwards move from what I can tell. Considered waiting, but today I felt like a bit of sport
Today's race: the car is USD, and the NOS is CPI! So fasten your seatbelt and enjoy the ride!
| Trading Edge | RR | Psychology | Persistence | Fortune | Prosperity |
  • #55,584
  • Dec 11, 2024 6:59am Dec 11, 2024 6:59am
Quoting Deal
2686.59 breakout for sell and 2699.77 to buy in 1h TF, wait for close, not wick... Still eyes on buy, but price didn't break my box yet.
For years, I have conveniently avoided GOLD due to high volume. However, considering how VOLUME was low on currencies this year, I have decided to add GOLD to my list. Kicking off with a sell. Waiting for BO on M5. Target would be around 200+ pips around 2667.

Cheers
  • #55,585
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:01am Dec 11, 2024 7:01am
Quoting Crazyfly
anybody see this bearish gartley {image}
Someone experienced has crafted this—no idea about this beauty! Truly mesmerizing.
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| Trading Edge | RR | Psychology | Persistence | Fortune | Prosperity |
  • #55,586
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:04am Dec 11, 2024 7:04am
waiting to fish cpi
LUCKY golden trades, LUCKY gold investor trading style
  • #55,587
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:08am Dec 11, 2024 7:08am
Quoting jiddifx
{quote} Someone experienced has crafted this—no idea about this beauty! Truly mesmerizing. {image}
Indeed, experienced. 3k is a magnetic level for GOLD. I called this last year. I just did not have the zeal to trade gold.
  • #55,588
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:10am Dec 11, 2024 7:10am
Quoting jiddifx
{quote} Someone experienced has crafted this—no idea about this beauty! Truly mesmerizing. {image}
from your chart 17-18 december gold can raise to 2950 , very little possiblity for me . israil start to invade syria , if europen or nato soldiers join War , it can be
  • #55,589
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:12am Dec 11, 2024 7:12am
Quoting JayBag
{quote} Indeed, experienced. 3k is a magnetic level for GOLD. I called this last year. I just did not have the zeal to trade gold.
3k for GOLD? A true prophet without a position! Next time, don’t just call it—marry it
| Trading Edge | RR | Psychology | Persistence | Fortune | Prosperity |
  • #55,590
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:12am Dec 11, 2024 7:12am
Still got my position open with SL at BE. Fully expecting to be taken out though.
  • #55,591
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:14am Dec 11, 2024 7:14am
Quoting Crazyfly
{quote} from your chart 17-18 december gold can raise to 2950 , very little possiblity for me . israil start to invade syria , if europen or nato soldiers join War , it can be
Geopolitics can indeed shake the market unpredictably. Let’s keep an eye on the developments
| Trading Edge | RR | Psychology | Persistence | Fortune | Prosperity |
  • #55,592
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:18am Dec 11, 2024 7:18am
Quoting jiddifx
{quote} 3k for GOLD? A true prophet without a position! Next time, don’t just call it—marry it
Bro, I should have got a golden ring for it. truth is, I was scared of the way gold behaves on a daily basis. Anyway, looking at your chart, looks like I may get a LOW to join for 3K.

What's the lowest you think we can get though?
  • #55,593
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:19am Dec 11, 2024 7:19am
Hello Guys,
Dear GOLD traders,
just a thought...
if i were you i will not buy GOLD just because China bought GOLD its just one country,
DEC rate cut and trump in line is not likely and soon the Dear FED speakers will start saying that,
news is always manipulates its rigged game to be honest,
because the GOVT saying Inflation is down from 9% since dived till now around 2% and in the real world the Americans know it much much inflation is costing them and effecting their lives,

if i were you i will wait for the High to sell for 2650 this week.
Good luck Guys.

i have seen and talked to thousands of traders over the years what i see is Instant Gratification,
that is like a Drug High, it never lasts long and traders start looking for their next high in new pair or what ever point is
this is bloody addiction,
millions lost and people come back in hopes that this time they will make it again,
" most traders problem is they think, this time will be different "
Trading in any market investing business is a GAME OF MINDSET.
that is all,

hopefully our video's will explain everything soon enough.
because about writing is its limited but video explaining how this market works,
and specially the ADDICTION of Trading,
will help traders stop loosing money,
in order to make money one must stop loosing it.
Good luck
Don't compare your Trades with Others
  • #55,594
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:22am Dec 11, 2024 7:22am
Riding the sell at 2696 with small size lets see how it goes.
  • #55,595
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:27am Dec 11, 2024 7:27am
Quoting JayBag
{quote} For years, I have conveniently avoided GOLD due to high volume. However, considering how VOLUME was low on currencies this year, I have decided to add GOLD to my list. Kicking off with a sell. Waiting for BO on M5. Target would be around 200+ pips around 2667. Cheers
SOLD some GOLD...Now I await MM to take me out. Either for lunch or to sleep. Either way, I am going OUT.
  • #55,596
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:27am Dec 11, 2024 7:27am
That's not why I'm buying. Bullion Bank short Open Interest is now in oversold territory.
  • #55,597
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:31am Dec 11, 2024 7:31am
So far pretty anti-climactic

Exactly as forecast on all 3. Either the Fed forecasters have gotten good at their jobs, or they're lying. I know where my money is.
  • #55,598
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:34am Dec 11, 2024 7:34am
Quoting MrFanciful
So far pretty anti-climactic Exactly as forecast on all 3. Either the Fed forecasters have gotten good at their jobs, or they're lying. I know where my money is.
Yep, think it will move eventually, probably when Asia wakes up. Have you got a link to the bullion bank short, please?. (I like reading about stuff like that)
  • #55,599
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:35am Dec 11, 2024 7:35am
Sell limit 2710
SL: 2713
TP1: 2707
TP2: 2704
TP3: 2701
TP4: 2698
TP5: 2695
TP6: 2692
Success is not final, failure is not fatal... - Winston Churchill
  • #55,600
  • Dec 11, 2024 7:37am Dec 11, 2024 7:37am
Quoting MrFanciful
What I found interesting is if you look at the resulting chart, it looks exactly like a price chart.
Yeah. If you generate synthetic OHLC data, based on an estimated distribution from a real data, is:
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Small sample of fake hourly data:
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I've back-tested how good some pattern performs on real and fake data:
It checks, whether the pattern generates profit over defined period of time - in 98% it does.
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1. Data similarity is very good
2. In absence of real market data, one can just generate random and test all kinds of things on it


Quote
To use ICT language, it even fills FVGs and retraces to order blocks and there are stop hunts
Using either real or synthetic data, you can define patterns in terms of first-order logic and programmatically test whether these concepts (or classic candlestick patterns) offer an advantage over random entries, e.g. - go long after bullish candle -> hold for some time, and so on.

ML, Markov's chains are quite complicated. Wish you success. If you discover advantage over occasional entries or some well-know pattern, please update on results
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