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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #15,261
  • Aug 28, 2024 8:28am Aug 28, 2024 8:28am
MNQ counter long 19.365
Target 19.450

T1 +14/15p 3 lot
1 left
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  • #15,262
  • Edited 8:29pm Aug 28, 2024 9:53am | Edited 8:29pm
MNQ Long re entry 19.386
Last lot
Closed at 450 Daily POC zone
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  • #15,263
  • Edited 6:26pm Aug 29, 2024 3:50am | Edited 6:26pm
NQ made 3 down legs and 3 pull backs so far. (Eliot Waves)

Nice Head & Shoulder pattern.

Closed my last Swing long from 19.310 (WS2 SP zone) just below the 19.500 (very) BRN
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  • #15,264
  • Aug 29, 2024 3:53am Aug 29, 2024 3:53am
SnP plunged to the MPP and reversed to WPP/Weekly VWAP
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  • #15,265
  • Aug 29, 2024 6:36pm Aug 29, 2024 6:36pm
Markets look to turn a little bearish (ahead of Monday Holiday)
Last trading day of the week/month.

Direction is rather hard to say with these past wild swings/moves.

Prices are below the Ichi Cloud/Below the Wk POC/below the MA lines/below the Wk VWAP, but still above the (last day) Monthly VWAP.

No bearish confirmation on the Daily charts (yet) as well.

So scalping is the word.
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  • #15,266
  • Aug 29, 2024 6:48pm Aug 29, 2024 6:48pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Markets look to turn a little bearish (ahead of Monday Holiday) Last trading day of the week/month. Direction is rather hard to say with these past wild swings/moves. Prices are below the Ichi Cloud/Below the Wk POC/below the MA lines/below the Wk VWAP, but still above the (last day) Monthly VWAP. No bearish confirmation on the Daily charts (yet) as well. So scalping is the word. {image}
To turn Bullish again the NQ needs to jump above the 19.800 zone again.

Looks weak and little Bearish.
Down target close of the M VWAP at 19K zone
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  • #15,267
  • Edited 7:40pm Aug 29, 2024 6:54pm | Edited 7:40pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Markets look to turn a little bearish (ahead of Monday Holiday) Last trading day of the week/month. Direction is rather hard to say with these past wild swings/moves. Prices are below the Ichi Cloud/Below the Wk POC/below the MA lines/below the Wk VWAP, but still above the (last day) Monthly VWAP. No bearish confirmation on the Daily charts (yet) as well. So scalping is the word. {image}
SnP is in a sideways congested zone 5660<>5600 zone. 2 Weekly POCs at the same level.

Above 5660 possible swing to Bullish/ATH at 5725 zone

Below 5600 possible swing to Bearish.
Below 5600 possible targets:
5520<>5490 TPO GAP to close
5465 zone August M VWAP close
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  • #15,268
  • Aug 29, 2024 9:54pm Aug 29, 2024 9:54pm
2 NQ Daily (Swing) charts.

One chart more simple with a few MA lines only
One chart with more indicators/info.

Both show the same strategy entries.

(Swing) trade entries from a heavy SP/RS level such as a Monthly PP and/or a BRN.
August 5 there was a real SL shake out down to MS2. Excelent point for a reverse/counter trade.

(Swing) trade entries after a BO of the Ichi cloud and/or the MA lines channel.

Momentem (MM) is generally happening outside the 2 (lilac) MA lines. That is the place where the action is. Trend/Rally/Momentum
Inside the the 2 MA lines/MA lines Channel it's most of the times low risk scalping time and I scale back to a 90 & 240 Min chart or a Renko chart for Fast & Furious scalps.

Current the NQ price is between 2 VWAP lines (Wk & Mnt VWAPs)/between 2 MA lines or MA channel/inside the ICHI cloud.
Needs to BO this shit zone and find a new direction aga. Nort or South.

So this zone is by defenition a waitng or scalp zone. Many traders have no patience to wait for a BO of that area and burn their happy trigger fingers and lose much money here.
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  • #15,269
  • Aug 29, 2024 10:02pm Aug 29, 2024 10:02pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
2 NQ Daily (Swing) charts. One chart more simple with a few MA lines only One chart with more indicators/info. Both show the same strategy entries. (Swing) trade entries from a heavy SP/RS level such as a Monthly PP and/or a BRN. August 5 there was a real SL shake out down to MS2. Excelent point for a reverse/counter trade. (Swing) trade entries after a BO of the Ichi cloud and/or the MA lines channel. Momentem (MM) is generally happening outside the 2 (lilac) MA lines. That is the place where the action is. Trend/Rally/Momentum Inside the the 2...
As mentioned above the NQ price is between the 2 MA lines.
I also call it a Whales mouth (with some imagination).

Waiting for a BO of that Whales mouth.
Its an ever repeating pattern on Swing charts
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  • #15,270
  • Edited Aug 30, 2024 4:13am Aug 29, 2024 10:08pm | Edited Aug 30, 2024 4:13am
On the Scalp Renko chart it looks like a Bear Flag pattern. Possible down move.

On the Swing chart it looks like a normal pull back after a buy (recovery) rally. Possible up move.

So time to lean back and wait what markets are up to do later today/next week.

Monday half a Day trading only (US Holiday/Labor Day) with very light volume.

When banks are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. Sometime this could lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility;
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  • #15,271
  • Edited 5:33am Aug 30, 2024 5:10am | Edited 5:33am
MNQ Scalp Long 19.495 (+0.5%).
T1 +15p 3 lot
1 left for +1.0%/Wk POC at 19.590/600
+50p locked in last lot

Closed +50p last lot

(5)50 is a hesitation point in the PA
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  • #15,272
  • Aug 30, 2024 5:20am Aug 30, 2024 5:20am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
MNQ Micro Scalp Long 19.495 (+0.5%). T1 +15p 3 lot 1 left for +1.0%/Wk POC at 19.590/600 SL BE (5)50 is a hesitation point in the PA
NQ MINI Long 1 lot 19.552.25
Target 580<>590<>600
Closed +9.5p /$190

With the NQ Mini I don't play games.
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  • #15,273
  • Aug 30, 2024 6:32am Aug 30, 2024 6:32am
NQ & SnP locked between and blocked by Wk VWAP/Wk POC
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  • #15,274
  • Aug 30, 2024 6:42am Aug 30, 2024 6:42am
SnP ES Mini Long scalp 1 lot 5638.50

Closed +3p 1 lot

Still in a shitty zone

No MM. Only noise so far

NQ stuck at +1.0%/Wk VWAP/Wk POC zone
SnP stuck ar +0.5%/Wk POC/Wk VWAP zone

Little chance we gone see the +1.5% NQ and +1.0% SnP (ahead of the US Holiday on Monday)
But Expect The Unexpected
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  • #15,275
  • Aug 30, 2024 6:54am Aug 30, 2024 6:54am
Lets see if the 600 can be broken (I doubt it)

Last lot long from 19.580

Closed last lot at BE
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  • #15,276
  • Edited 7:53am Aug 30, 2024 7:01am | Edited 7:53am
MNQ Long again last lot/SL BE
T1 +13<>16p 3 lot
1 left
Closed +9/10p last lot

No honor in trading anymore today.
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  • #15,277
  • Edited 8:15am Aug 30, 2024 7:58am | Edited 8:15am
MNQ Short

T1 +47/48p 8 lot.
2 left
T2 +69/70p 1 lot
1 left
Closed +38/39p last lot

Hit the 450/+0.25% and reversed

50 numbers (and 00 numbers) are a hesitation/possible reverse point in the PA in general .

They defending the 19.500 (+0.5%) and try to stay there.
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Still in a bearish mode/mood. PA between the 2 MA lines/below the Ichi cloud. So no surpice to see this PA.

Weekly still -1.5% under water
SnP -0.5% negative
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  • #15,278
  • Aug 30, 2024 8:18am Aug 30, 2024 8:18am
MNQ Short again last lot
T1 +10/11p 2 lot.
1 left

Target Yest close 400 DPP zone
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  • #15,279
  • Edited 8:31am Aug 30, 2024 8:21am | Edited 8:31am
SnP Short 5621 to DPP/Y close
T1 +4p
1 left

Holiday sales off?

No serious selling so far.

At DPP now. Near Y close 5610
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  • #15,280
  • Aug 30, 2024 8:32am Aug 30, 2024 8:32am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
MNQ Short again last lot T1 +10/11p 2 lot. 1 left Target Yest close 400 DPP zone {image}
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SnP closed +15p last lot
MNQ closed +66/67p at DPP zone (target)
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