Special Thread: COT Data Analysis & Trading Signals

Pair: CADCHF
TF: m15
Live Singal: SELL @cmp
Add SL and TP see image

Symbol: XAUUSD | Gold
Symbol: XAGUSD | Silver

Live Trading signal: BUY at cmp

Image 1: Silver M5


Image 2: Gold | M5


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Pair: EURAUD | TF - M15
Live Signal: BUY @cmp

Pair: NZDUSD - TF M15
Live Trade signal: SELL @cmp

Unfortunately, I can't work with decompiled indicators. Do you have the original source code?

Japanese Yen - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (Code-097741)

Commitments of Traders - Futures Only (March 12, 2024)

1. Non-Commercial Long: 54,923 contracts
2. Non-Commercial Short: 157,245 contracts
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 15,688 contracts

Changes in Commitments from March 5, 2024

1. Non-Commercial Long: 252 contracts (0.46%)
2. Non-Commercial Short: -16,269 contracts (-9.38%)
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 3,282 contracts (26.43%)

Open Interest Distribution

1. Non-Commercial Long: 16.9%
2. Non-Commercial Short: 48.3%
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 4.8%

Trader Breakdown

1. Non-Commercial Long Positions: 30 traders
2. Non-Commercial Short Positions: 53 traders
3. Non-Commercial Spreading Positions: 15 traders

The data shows a significant decrease in non-commercial short positions, which suggests that these traders are less bearish on the Japanese Yen. Conversely, there’s a slight increase in non-commercial long positions, indicating a more bullish sentiment. The substantial increase in non-commercial spreading positions could suggest that traders are hedging their bets due to market uncertainty. These shifts could potentially impact the market dynamics for the Japanese Yen futures.

Euro FX - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (Code-099741)

Commitments of Traders - Futures Only (March 12, 2024)

1. Non-Commercial Long: 193,998 contracts
2. Non-Commercial Short: 119,591 contracts
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 37,335 contracts

Changes in Commitments from March 5, 2024

1. Non-Commercial Long: -6,027 contracts (-3.01%)
2. Non-Commercial Short: -14,123 contracts (-10.56%)
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 16,555 contracts (79.57%)

Open Interest Distribution

1. Non-Commercial Long: 27.0%
2. Non-Commercial Short: 16.7%
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 5.2%

Trader Breakdown

1. Non-Commercial Long Positions: 80 traders
2. Non-Commercial Short Positions: 54 traders
3. Non-Commercial Spreading Positions: 39 traders

Insights The data shows a significant decrease in non-commercial short positions, which suggests that these traders are less bearish on the Euro FX. Conversely, there’s a decrease in non-commercial long positions, indicating a less bullish sentiment. The substantial increase in non-commercial spreading positions could suggest that traders are hedging their bets due to market uncertainty. These shifts could potentially impact the market dynamics for the Euro FX futures.

USD INDEX - ICE FUTURES U.S. (Code-098662)

Commitments of Traders - Futures Only (March 12, 2024)

1. Non-Commercial Long: 17,547 contracts
2. Non-Commercial Short: 11,361 contracts
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 2,838 contracts

Changes in Commitments from March 5, 2024

1. Non-Commercial Long: -219 contracts (-1.25%)
2. Non-Commercial Short: -3,306 contracts (-29.10%)
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 1,123 contracts (39.57%)

Open Interest Distribution

1. Non-Commercial Long: 66.6%
2. Non-Commercial Short: 43.1%
3. Non-Commercial Spreading: 10.8%

Trader Breakdown

1. Non-Commercial Long Positions: 42 traders
2. Non-Commercial Short Positions: 39 traders
3. Non-Commercial Spreading Positions: 11 traders

Insights The COT report for the USD Index futures on ICE Futures U.S. shows a significant decrease in non-commercial short positions (-29.10%) and an increase in non-commercial spreading positions (39.57%) compared to the previous report on March 5, 2024. The change in non-commercial long positions is relatively small (-1.25%).

The open interest distribution reveals that non-commercial traders hold a majority of the long positions (66.6%) and a significant portion of the short positions (43.1%). The increase in spreading positions suggests that non-commercial traders are balancing their exposure to the USD Index by holding equal long and short positions in different contract months.
The trader breakdown indicates a relatively balanced number of non-commercial traders holding long (42) and short (39) positions, with fewer traders (11) engaged in spreading.
Overall, the data suggests a shift in sentiment among non-commercial traders, with a notable reduction in short positions and an increase in spreading activity. This could indicate a more neutral outlook on the USD Index, as traders adjust their positions to manage risk and capitalize on potential market movements.

#Summary
"Non-Commercial Net Positions and Trends"

Based on the Non-Commercial COT data as of March 12, 2024, here are the three lists of currency pairs categorized by their net bias:

Pairs with Bullish Net Bias:
1. GBPAUD
2. GBPCAD
3. GBPCHF
4. GBPJPY
5. GBPNZD
6. GBPUSD
7. EURAUD
8. EURCAD
9. EURCHF
10. EURGBP
11. EURJPY
12. EURNZD
13. EURUSD
14. NZDJPY
15. NZDUSD
16. XAUUSD
17. XAGUSD

Pairs with Bearish Net Bias:
1. AUDCAD
2. AUDCHF
3. AUDJPY
4. AUDNZD
5. AUDUSD
6. CADCHF
7. CADJPY
8. CHFJPY
9. USDCAD
10. USDCHF
11. USDJPY

Pairs with Neutral or Mixed Bias:
1. NZDCAD
2. NZDCHF

Please note that these categorizations are based on the Non-Commercial COT data alone and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as technical and fundamental analysis, to make informed trading decisions. The sentiment derived from COT data can change quickly, so it's essential to monitor the data regularly and adapt your trading strategies accordingly.

Based on the Non-Commercial COT data as of March 12, 2024, We can further categorize the currency pairs into two lists: one with the strongest net bullish bias and another with the strongest net bearish bias.

Pairs with the Strongest Net Bullish Bias:
1. GBPUSD
2. EURUSD
3. XAUUSD
4. GBPJPY
5. EURJPY

These pairs exhibit the most pronounced bullish sentiment among non-commercial traders, suggesting a strong potential for upward price movement.

Pairs with the Strongest Net Bearish Bias:
1. USDJPY
2. AUDJPY
3. AUDUSD
4. USDCAD
5. USDCHF

These pairs display the most significant bearish sentiment among non-commercial traders, indicating a strong potential for downward price movement.
Please keep in mind that while these pairs have been identified as having the strongest bullish or bearish bias based on the current COT data, market conditions can change rapidly.

It is crucial to use this information in conjunction with other forms of analysis and to monitor the market closely for any shifts in sentiment or underlying fundamentals. Always practice proper risk management and adapt your trading strategies as necessary.

Quite some huge task. How long will this last? Lets see.

Very enthusiastic about COT reports and combining it with market sentiment analysis. Im in.

Guess same as what you have. You summarized it here.

Can you throw more lights on the commercial and non-reportable?
Also Why the Yen have negative net positions but positive change % (non-commercial) but comm. & non-rep are all negative %?

Non-Commercial COT Data | as of (March 12, 2024)
Weekly Net Positions and Changes with Open Interest Trends for Currencies, Commodities, and Indices AS

Attached Image (click to enlarge)