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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #13,461
  • Sep 29, 2023 2:37pm Sep 29, 2023 2:37pm
Dutchy look why i m so much interested in price boundaries channel
lower boundary is ominously hinting at new low next week
check this indi it ll be nice to have it on ninja and if needed contact me via pm
regards
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  • #13,462
  • Edited Sep 30, 2023 12:26am Sep 29, 2023 9:15pm | Edited Sep 30, 2023 12:26am
Quoting Pocae
Dutchy look why i m so much interested in price boundaries channel lower boundary is ominously hinting at new low next week check this indi it ll be nice to have it on ninja and if needed contact me via pm regards {image}
The price captured between 2 lines does not tell me how and where to enter a trade. (Maybe I have to learn to see it)
I see it more as showing the direction of a market/price trend, which is always good to know.
With this channel you trade mostly inside that channel.

I trade outside my 2 MA lines channel and that shows me where MM (momentum) is and where not.
I do draw a seperate straight lines channel now and then in case of sideways PA or a Bull/Bear flag situation to wait for a BO. But that is something different.

The MA lines I use for many years already (together with the VWAPs), give me a very good clue where to enter a trade and where not to trade or do some (very) light trading at the best.

The rest what you see on my charts is nothing more then statistical info which are no indicators IMHO. Just data from last trading day/week/month.
Market Profile/%% levels/Pivot Points.

But using this kind of channel as trading tool is fine if it works well for you.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,463
  • Sep 30, 2023 4:39am Sep 30, 2023 4:39am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Hi, No idea where it will go to. Price lift stopped at MS1 on the tick. Most logic is a 15.500<>15K test again/Opening is just above 15K Good weekend too. {image}
this is what Im patiently waiting for to reload
but from your experience do you think BO lower below 15k would be a massive surprise?
  • #13,464
  • Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:16am Oct 1, 2023 7:33pm | Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:16am
MNQ Long 14.955 last 2 lot
2nd Possible BO above the Swing MA line
T1 +22/23p 4 lot
2 left/SL BE zone
T2 +28p 1 lot
1 Left/SL BE
Closed BE last lot

Dropped to Fridays close.

Ready to fill the D GAP/TPO GAP last week.
Still two D GAPs to close at 14.875 Close Sept 28 & 29

Sept M VWAP on the top of the GAPs as target and is +/-50% recovery of last down Swing
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,465
  • Oct 1, 2023 7:37pm Oct 1, 2023 7:37pm
Quoting kilopip
{quote} this is what Im patiently waiting for to reload but from your experience do you think BO lower below 15k would be a massive surprise?
I think the DAX will not drop below the 15K in the short term. (my few cents worth tought)
They will try to hold/stay above the 15.500
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,466
  • Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:02am Oct 1, 2023 9:06pm | Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:02am
MES Micro L 4345 last 2 lot
2nd Possible BO above the Swing MA line
T1 +5p 4 lot
2 Left/SL BE
T2 +7p 1 lot
1 left/ SL BE
Closed BE last lot

Drop to Fridays close
Maybe a next drop to test the 4300 again

ES Mini L 4346 1 lot
Closed +6p
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,467
  • Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:01am Oct 1, 2023 9:11pm | Edited Oct 2, 2023 5:01am
RUSSEL L 1808.8
2nd Possible BO above the Swing MA line
T1 +30p 4 lot
2 left/SL BE

Cosed BE last 2 lot

Drops to 1800 again to test
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,468
  • Oct 2, 2023 9:28am Oct 2, 2023 9:28am
MNQ L 14.954 10 lot (dropped to WPP 850 zone and popped again)
T1 +10/11p 4 lot
T2 +12p 4 lot
2 left

Closed -6/7p last 2 lot
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,469
  • Oct 2, 2023 9:30am Oct 2, 2023 9:30am
No triggers to drive markets up.

Just waiting for Q3 earnings (as usual)

Only NQ +0.3% but stuck just below 15K
The rest is negative
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  • #13,470
  • Oct 2, 2023 9:46am Oct 2, 2023 9:46am
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,471
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:03am Oct 2, 2023 10:03am
MNQ L 14.945 8 lot
T1 +15p
4 left
T2 +26p 2 lot
2 left
1 closed +10/11p
1 left SL BE zone
Closed BE last lot

No 15K BO above

Target 15K>>>>GAP up to 15.250 (coming week(s)?)

NQ 1 lot L 14.950 and closed +12p
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,472
  • Edited 10:23am Oct 2, 2023 10:13am | Edited 10:23am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
MNQ L 14.945 8 lot T1 +15p 4 left T2 +26p 2 lot 2 left 1 closed +10/11p 1 left SL BE zone Closed BE last lot No 15K BO above Target 15K>>>>GAP up to 15.250 (coming week(s)?) NQ 1 lot L 14.950 and closed +12p {image}
MNQ L re entry 14.955
T1 +12p<>14p 4 lot
1 left/+20p locked in
+50p locked in last lot
Hammering +1.0%/DR1 15.010/015

First trgt +1.5%/MPP/WR1 15.100

15.010 +1.0%/DR1 zone
15.100 MPP/WR1/+1.5% zone

NQ L 14.960 1 lot and closed +42p at 15K /DR1/+1.0% zone

The pink region is a Daily GAP
The purple region is a Weekly TPO GAP
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,473
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:25am Oct 2, 2023 10:25am
MES L 4331 4 lot
T1 +4p 3 lot
1 left
Stuck at DPP/+0.25%

ES Mini l 4330 1 lot and closed +4p
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It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,474
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:31am Oct 2, 2023 10:31am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} MNQ L re entry 14.955 T1 +12p<>14p 4 lot 1 left/+20p locked in +50p locked in last lot Hammering +1.0%/DR1 15.010/015 First trgt +1.5%/MPP/WR1 15.100 15.010 +1.0%/DR1 zone 15.100 MPP/WR1/+1.5% zone NQ L 14.960 1 lot and closed +42p at 15K /DR1/+1.0% zone The pink region is a Daily GAP The purple region is a Weekly TPO GAP {image}
It looks the NQ is chasing for the 15.100 first
Closed +69/70p last lot
Stuck at +1.0%/DR1
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  • #13,475
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:37am Oct 2, 2023 10:37am
DOW made a double bottom

RUSSEL made a tripple bottom.
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  • #13,476
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:39am Oct 2, 2023 10:39am
NQ hovering between 14.800<>15.000
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  • #13,477
  • Oct 2, 2023 10:49am Oct 2, 2023 10:49am
Oil at MPP & last Month VWAP close 89.40 zone
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  • #13,478
  • Edited 7:30pm Oct 2, 2023 12:43pm | Edited 7:30pm
CNBC:

The Senate passed a continuing resolution with just hours to spare before a midnight deadline Saturday, which was then signed by President Joe Biden into law. The bill keeps the government open through mid-November, an extended period that lawmakers can use to finalize funding legislation.

The initial reaction to the shutdown deal was positive with equity futures in the green for most of Sunday evening into Monday. But futures fell into the red before markets officially opened as investors turned their focus back to surging interest rates near 15-year highs.

Interest rates are kind of 90% of what’s dominant in trading right now.”

(and waiting for Q3 earnings)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #13,479
  • Edited 9:39pm Oct 2, 2023 7:36pm | Edited 9:39pm
Markets still in a Bearish mode.

NQ tries to bounce up/rebound. Still locked between 14.850<>15.050 zone
Need a BO beow or above this zone

Above a D GAP and little Wk TPO GAP waiting to be filled at 15.060<>15.250
Below a TPO GAP waiting at 14.600<>14.425

Current just below 15K/Yest close

MNQ L 14.945 (opened Yest)
T1 +25p 2 lot
T2 +42p 1 lot
1 Left/Closed +40p last lot

On a BO above 15K I will (try to) jump in again.
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  • #13,480
  • Edited 7:53pm Oct 2, 2023 7:42pm | Edited 7:53pm
DAX
once below 15.300 down target 15.150>>15.050

up targets: 15.450>>500 WPP and BRN>>600 +1.5%>>650 MPP zone
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