fundamentals XAUUSD (unfortunately fundamentals doesn't get enough attention here in this thread, so it's only very brief)
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...1#post14575231 Pre-EU and USMarket
- Figures on economic strength and inflation yesterday and today: rising moderately, inflation primarily driven by oil (here CL.F =WTIFuture), otherwise no big delta.
Weighting Oil is just noted at the moment, with no current concern
Figures did not give any fundamental advice on future interest rate developments.
- Stock indices and Oil rose significantly throughout the day. Bond yields run long and short as well, which pushes for resolution. --> one underlying high, the other low.
This shows that the market assessment of interest rate developments is still undecided, especially for 2024 (dot plots),
see the FED meeting next Wednesday.
- Gold moved slightly between EURUSD (falling sharply - no more high interest rate expectations in the EU) and USDX (rising moderately).
I only expect a major change (1800/2000) here when there are clearer indications about interest rate developments. (when and how long)
Also note: national debts, climate change, wage demands, bank runs, real estate crisis, international competition distortions, and wars.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...1#post14575231 Pre-EU and USMarket
- Figures on economic strength and inflation yesterday and today: rising moderately, inflation primarily driven by oil (here CL.F =WTIFuture), otherwise no big delta.
Weighting Oil is just noted at the moment, with no current concern
Figures did not give any fundamental advice on future interest rate developments.
- Stock indices and Oil rose significantly throughout the day. Bond yields run long and short as well, which pushes for resolution. --> one underlying high, the other low.
This shows that the market assessment of interest rate developments is still undecided, especially for 2024 (dot plots),
see the FED meeting next Wednesday.
- Gold moved slightly between EURUSD (falling sharply - no more high interest rate expectations in the EU) and USDX (rising moderately).
I only expect a major change (1800/2000) here when there are clearer indications about interest rate developments. (when and how long)
Also note: national debts, climate change, wage demands, bank runs, real estate crisis, international competition distortions, and wars.
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