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Flying Dutchman

  • #421
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:12pm Aug 10, 2021 9:12pm
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} EU has moved a small 60pips range since nfp. Could we see a green week candle?
Would only be looking for Long entry’s now, not confirmed but not far off.
  • #422
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:15pm Aug 10, 2021 9:15pm
Quoting TimeTells
{quote} Hi BW, Very interesting comments, always. I have no clear understanding yet of intent sadly. But I always take note of happenings as it is my current mission lol. I’ve had a few months during the lockdowns (and my self imposed self-isolations lol) so I took up what you suggested BW, to myself, and others. And that was to look to see if there was a (mathematical) relationship in the conduct of price. Stuff like that sticks in the back of my head and comes back up to the front occasionally lol. I trade now what I have assessed & I trade what...
On the intent part, so far my observation is that Intention is stop hunts. Expect reversal after that and since market is fractal it is happening on all the time frames, only difference is the price range the higher the TF the more the move.
"Exchange of hands"
  • #423
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:18pm Aug 10, 2021 9:18pm
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} EU has moved a small 60pips range since nfp. Could we see a green week candle? In correlation sense, the other yen cross may fly as you suggested provided usdx weakens dramatically and uj remain muted at the top. GJ has a strong cap at 153.40.
Gold / dollar have to take a call i dont think so though and i cn be wrong by miles
"Exchange of hands"
  • #424
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:28pm Aug 10, 2021 9:28pm
Quoting bilal1947
{quote} Gold / dollar have to take a call i dont think so though and i cn be wrong by miles
After that dramatic plunge gold has been selling lightly the rallies. Today is the key day testing yesterday's high with a "thou shall not pass" 1739.80. Should see a strong reaction from the "high".
Know what you trade
  • #425
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:39pm Aug 10, 2021 9:39pm
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} After that dramatic plunge gold has been selling lightly the rallies. Today is the key day testing yesterday's high with a "thou shall not pass" 1739.80. Should see a strong reaction from the "high".
Quoting bilal1947
{quote} Hi RickM, i want Gold to dip to 1700,. Thank you Cheer
By end of June i was thinking Gold to drop to 1700 it has not raided the weekly lows yet and still has potential to make a low towards 1645.
"Exchange of hands"
  • #426
  • Aug 10, 2021 9:50pm Aug 10, 2021 9:50pm
Quoting bilal1947
{quote} {quote} By end of June i was thinking Gold to drop to 1700 it has not raided the weekly lows yet and still has potential to make a low towards 1645.
For the rest of the year, I don't see gold trade above this month's high.
Know what you trade
  • #427
  • Aug 10, 2021 10:24pm Aug 10, 2021 10:24pm
GU targets
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #428
  • Aug 10, 2021 11:30pm Aug 10, 2021 11:30pm
I'm flat on the EA and GA, having a good day with both, and will leave the EJ scout to fend for itself tonight. Back in 6 hours or so to do it again.
  • #429
  • Aug 10, 2021 11:31pm Aug 10, 2021 11:31pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XC25qLo.png Size: 58 KB

morning session ended. different strategy. the concept of scout is taken from FTI's thread. Depending on how far the scout moves away from, maybe, an MA. Asian till LO voodoo FIBO Expansion (initially based on George's FIBO expansion method) is always anchored on the 1st 4 hours as the day progress.
  • #430
  • Edited Aug 11, 2021 12:41am Aug 10, 2021 11:45pm | Edited Aug 11, 2021 12:41am
Quoting mixedbags
{image} morning session ended. different strategy. the concept of scout is taken from FTI's thread. Depending on how far the scout moves away from, maybe, an MA. Asian till LO voodoo FIBO Expansion (initially based on George's FIBO expansion method) is always anchored on the 1st 4 hours as the day progress.
FTI's scout is similar to poker's bet made before the flop. The "scout" bet is for the purpose to draw other players in to build a sizable pot when there's a chance to win. In poker, bets before the flop can also be a bluff. Scout bets can be large size as well.

BUT in forex trading context scout are not bluffs. They are not pawns to be sacrificed to check out the terrain. "Scout" bets are smaller sized bets when the probability is not as firm as would like it to be. The bet exposure is correspondingly increased when the probability firms up as the market unveils itself.

Rescuing a "scout" bet is similar to negative progression bet sizing.
Know what you trade
  • #431
  • Aug 11, 2021 1:41am Aug 11, 2021 1:41am
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} FTI's scout is similar to poker's bet made before the flop. The "scout" bet is for the purpose to draw other players in to build a sizable pot when there's a chance to win. In poker, bets before the flop can also be a bluff. Scout bets can be large size as well. BUT in forex trading context scout are not bluffs. They are not pawns to be sacrificed to check out the terrain. "Scout" bets are smaller sized bets when the probability is not as firm as would like it to be. The bet exposure is correspondingly increased when the probability firms...
tell something about poker ... Sir
  • #432
  • Aug 11, 2021 2:46am Aug 11, 2021 2:46am
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} FTI's scout is similar to poker's bet made before the flop. The "scout" bet is for the purpose to draw other players in to build a sizable pot when there's a chance to win. In poker, bets before the flop can also be a bluff. Scout bets can be large size as well. BUT in forex trading context scout are not bluffs. They are not pawns to be sacrificed to check out the terrain. "Scout" bets are smaller sized bets when the probability is not as firm as would like it to be. The bet exposure is correspondingly increased when the probability firms...
I killed the scouts, never rescued them. Because I'm not Sun Tzu.
  • #433
  • Aug 11, 2021 2:49am Aug 11, 2021 2:49am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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deconstructing Market Profile with George's puzzle and etc., with rectangles, lines, triangles and voodoo FIBO both retrace and expansion. It reduces to simple math.
  • #434
  • Aug 11, 2021 3:31am Aug 11, 2021 3:31am
Quoting bilal1947
~~ To ask what EJ will do, better to see EU and UJ since EU is moving down and UJ is up EJ is ranging to me specifically in accumulation phase on daily once it is permitted by dollar it will fly sooner along with all jpy family aj, gj etc.. {image}
Have you read FTI's post on the romance of the three kingdoms? When they are in sync get in, when they are tearing stay out.
Good Trading
  • #435
  • Aug 11, 2021 3:33am Aug 11, 2021 3:33am
Quoting aud
{quote} Have you read FTI's post on the romance of the three kingdoms? When they are in sync get in, when they are tearing stay out.
the truth is that the moment you get in most of the time they went out of sync
  • #436
  • Aug 11, 2021 3:46am Aug 11, 2021 3:46am
Quoting aud
{quote} Have you read FTI's post on the romance of the three kingdoms? When they are in sync get in, when they are tearing stay out.
Thanks for highlighting, i will definitely dont want to miss.

Mostly i look gbpusd, eurusd and gold.

yesterday when i saw USDCAD falling while USD rising, i found out that i need to add Oil too in my watch list, i dont trade any multiplier/divisional payers like ej, gn, eg... i only look for main usd cross pairs.

i still have to find why aud, nzd not fall yesterday. when gbp and eur fall while usd rose.
"Exchange of hands"
  • #437
  • Aug 11, 2021 5:43am Aug 11, 2021 5:43am
Quoting moodybot
Some great posts on here over the last few days, whichever side one is on. Algo or conventional market. Just remember that we take everyone one else’s opinion with respect, we listen and debate rigorously, weigh up the options, bounce ideas, post up charts and we work as a team… and do everything that I say!
Hi Andy, few months ago I wrote to tell you I can mark the algo target of interest of any pair. Earlier today I made a few quick calls from my phone in Asia market, first time I have done this on FF. Here's the update before NY open.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: ga1.PNG Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gold1.PNG Size: 30 KB
Know what you trade
  • #438
  • Aug 11, 2021 5:57am Aug 11, 2021 5:57am
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} Hi Andy, few months ago I wrote to tell you I can mark the algo target of interest of any pair. Earlier today I made a few quick calls from my phone in Asia market, first time I have done this on FF. Here's the update before NY open. {image} {image} {image} {image}
Thanks J will check them out in the morning.
My GU short is still running, looking good for target plus a few others. As mentioned I’m using math to show with reasonable certainty the top/bottom of major swing points. Targets though are still located by the ever faithful Mk1 eyeball using my version of intent to locate them. It takes gonads to put up a chart live and to then take some flack when it doesn’t go go to plan. Lots of gurus on FF, most avoid placing live calls.
  • #439
  • Aug 11, 2021 6:01am Aug 11, 2021 6:01am
My EJ scout is still alive. Time to get to work. Hope you guys had a good night.
  • #440
  • Edited 7:02am Aug 11, 2021 6:38am | Edited 7:02am
Quoting BWilliam
{quote} Hi Andy, few months ago I wrote to tell you I can mark the algo target of interest of any pair. Earlier today I made a few quick calls from my phone in Asia market, first time I have done this on FF. Here's the update before NY open. {image} {image} {image} {image}
Will you mark algo level on EJ 1H TF? Want to see if it coincides? I'm specialized in GBPUSD. Tracking all pairs is very time consuming.
I'm also testing some other ideas.
Maybe also GA and GN on 1H TF...
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