Justin's Playground

Quoting heispark

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Financial Energy Spread vs. Financial Energy Swap https://www.e-education.psu.edu/ebf301/node/549 https://www.e-education.psu.edu/ebf301/node/548 Specifically, I am interested in /NG-/HH spread (or swap). For details: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threa...rading.353257/

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} {image}I find serious professionals more from Elitetrader than Forexfactory...... Perhaps, 90% of members in FF are 'green line crossing red line' jokers. I am spending more time at Elitetrader now.

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} Closed this widow spread with $540 loss including commission due to unexpected warmer than normal U.S. winter. For me, this is the first loss trading calendar spread. Better not to touch shoulder months spread. Anyway, it was small leverage due to high volatility and I am glad I am out safely. {image}{image}

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Quoting heispark

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This is again from Chris. Although seasonality is a big part of Nat Gas trading, this is not the only one. When you see forward curve of /NG, professionals expect generally supportive price to Nat Gas in this whole year. {image}{image}

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Quoting heispark

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This is U-V-X(Sep-Oct-Nov) butterfly spread. I think I can make easy money. What do you think? Margin is only $300. 20 years of history charts are attached below. {image}{image}{image}

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} {image} There is no room for the word "certainly" in this business. Anything can happen. Ask Amaranth Advisors who lost $6B when it bet the Nat Gas widow maker spread in 2006 (before Shale Revolution). Anyway, Chris won't care as obviously he doesn't trade Nat Gas.

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} {quote} MotiveWave has changed the name of DOM History to 'Big Trades' in recent update. Especially, I like 'Auto Circle' option which displays relative volume size visually. However, it needs to be improved. When time passes, the circles becomes too small to identify. I reported this to MotiveWave support team for future improvement. Actually, I have made some decent contribution to their product improvement. I use it as a breakout confirmation. {image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image} {image}

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} {quote} /NG-/HH spread trading https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threa....353257/page-8 {image} Regardless of his advice, I'd like to try this arbitrage spread trading. (Actually, it seems he doesn't know much about /HH product.) {image} My strategy is sell at 0.01000 and close it at 0.00500. SL is over 0.03000. I expect its spread goes below 0.00500 when we come closer to the expiration..... This spread is actually Nat Gas physical delivery (pipeline) premium to financial swap. Even though the...

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} This is the reason why I partly disagree Chris' strong bearish view...... Regional, US forward gas curves stay elevated on storage decline, production risk https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/m...slowly-restart

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} {image} https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...-builds-702058

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Quoting Hutch

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{quote} It's hard to judge the energy market in the US. Yesterday WTI went up by $3.16 to a 12-month high while Natural Gas went down by 6¢. So far today Natural Gas went further down by 2¢.

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} Almost there, push it harder !!! One day before expiration. {image}

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