EURCAD short ?
COT: The precious data ignored
COT: The precious data ignored
- #302
- Apr 27, 2020 4:30am Apr 27, 2020 4:30am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
EURNZD shor the rallies?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #303
- Apr 27, 2020 11:32am Apr 27, 2020 11:32am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
CADCHF long ?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #304
- Apr 28, 2020 7:20am Apr 28, 2020 7:20am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
EURJPY holding short?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #305
- Apr 28, 2020 1:54pm Apr 28, 2020 1:54pm
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
NZDCHF long?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #306
- May 2, 2020 6:37am May 2, 2020 6:37am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
S&P, getting out
lets have a look at the S&P and Vix COT report
Looking at the Vix short side of the assets managers compared to S&P. Still very low, no Vix selling, which is better for a rise in stocks.
Vix dealers are net longs, which could bring pressure on the stock markets
Vix assets managers are very long, in the middle of the move, you can't do nothing here
Vix Money managers are usually in sync with the assets managers's view. Here? they are not, they are very short
All of this indicate contrarian view among the market participants. When they are lost, its better to get out and wait for clear view.
lets have a look at the S&P and Vix COT report
Looking at the Vix short side of the assets managers compared to S&P. Still very low, no Vix selling, which is better for a rise in stocks.
Vix dealers are net longs, which could bring pressure on the stock markets
Vix assets managers are very long, in the middle of the move, you can't do nothing here
Vix Money managers are usually in sync with the assets managers's view. Here? they are not, they are very short
All of this indicate contrarian view among the market participants. When they are lost, its better to get out and wait for clear view.
COT: The precious data ignored
- #307
- May 2, 2020 6:48am May 2, 2020 6:48am
- Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Full Time Trader | 10,867 Posts
- #308
- May 2, 2020 7:05am May 2, 2020 7:05am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
Bitcoin rise done ?
Both charts speak for themselves.
Short assets managers are gone....and they are wrong at turning points
Small traders seem to be right. The short side is getting stronger and stronger
Short in the process ?
Both charts speak for themselves.
Short assets managers are gone....and they are wrong at turning points
Small traders seem to be right. The short side is getting stronger and stronger
Short in the process ?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #309
- May 2, 2020 9:39am May 2, 2020 9:39am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
COT: The precious data ignored
- #310
- May 2, 2020 11:00am May 2, 2020 11:00am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
JPY longs overdone
Dealers are going more short, they are selling JPY more and more every weeks
Assets managers are going long all in, at this point, impossible to buy. You want to hold their bag ? I won't
Dealers are going more short, they are selling JPY more and more every weeks
Assets managers are going long all in, at this point, impossible to buy. You want to hold their bag ? I won't
COT: The precious data ignored
- #311
- May 2, 2020 12:14pm May 2, 2020 12:14pm
- Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Full Time Trader | 10,867 Posts
- #312
- May 3, 2020 7:23am May 3, 2020 7:23am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
Big Oil rally coming ?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #313
- May 3, 2020 12:31pm May 3, 2020 12:31pm
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
Long coffee ?
System is showing extreme selling, but COT (which i didn't post) is still saying big short
System is showing extreme selling, but COT (which i didn't post) is still saying big short
COT: The precious data ignored
- #314
- May 5, 2020 6:47am May 5, 2020 6:47am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
Keep selling EUR and buying GBP ?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #315
- May 9, 2020 3:25am May 9, 2020 3:25am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
S&P : Keep rising
Money managers have been bullish 3 times for the past 4 years, it all brought steep rallies.
But they quickly turn bearish, they are increasing their bearish bets so far. Price is not extreme, not the positionning, hence i won't do anything
Dealers are going net long stronger, but going more long approaching the top ? Time will tell if they are right
Here is a chart of the vix dealers (short side) with the s&p chart. Vix are still very short, meaning s&p can keep rising so far.
Vix short assets managers are not even short at all. Usually they nail the top. They are still sleeping
Money managers have been bullish 3 times for the past 4 years, it all brought steep rallies.
But they quickly turn bearish, they are increasing their bearish bets so far. Price is not extreme, not the positionning, hence i won't do anything
Dealers are going net long stronger, but going more long approaching the top ? Time will tell if they are right
Here is a chart of the vix dealers (short side) with the s&p chart. Vix are still very short, meaning s&p can keep rising so far.
Vix short assets managers are not even short at all. Usually they nail the top. They are still sleeping
COT: The precious data ignored
- #316
- May 9, 2020 3:29am May 9, 2020 3:29am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
Bitcoin rise overdone ?
Short side from the assets managers are at 0%, they are NOT short at all. It usually sign the top of a move.
Next thing to do ? Your technical and your money management
Small traders are above 30% short. Over the past 3 years it signed some deep pullback. History will repeat itself?
Short side from the assets managers are at 0%, they are NOT short at all. It usually sign the top of a move.
Next thing to do ? Your technical and your money management
Small traders are above 30% short. Over the past 3 years it signed some deep pullback. History will repeat itself?
COT: The precious data ignored
- #317
- May 9, 2020 3:36am May 9, 2020 3:36am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
JPY may fall deep
Dealers increasing their bearish bet so far. Nothing more to see
Assets managers are going longs all in. It surely sign a potential top once technical agrees. If there is a moment NOT to go long, its now. Better take profits on the way up then adding longs
Short side of the dealers are nearing 50%. Its a lot, dealers are very shorts (aka dumb traders long)
Dealers increasing their bearish bet so far. Nothing more to see
Assets managers are going longs all in. It surely sign a potential top once technical agrees. If there is a moment NOT to go long, its now. Better take profits on the way up then adding longs
Short side of the dealers are nearing 50%. Its a lot, dealers are very shorts (aka dumb traders long)
COT: The precious data ignored
- #318
- May 9, 2020 3:57am May 9, 2020 3:57am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
CAD to keep buying dips
3 simple charts, i'll spare deep explanations
Dealers are still net longs, they are buying while dumb money selling
Money managers are trend followers, they are still net shorts and selling on bottom
Overall the net short situation from all big market participants. They are very shorts. Its never a good situation for shorts
3 simple charts, i'll spare deep explanations
Dealers are still net longs, they are buying while dumb money selling
Money managers are trend followers, they are still net shorts and selling on bottom
Overall the net short situation from all big market participants. They are very shorts. Its never a good situation for shorts
COT: The precious data ignored
- #319
- May 9, 2020 4:06am May 9, 2020 4:06am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
GBP positionning
2 charts i have made. One for the long side, the other for the short side
GBP traders are cooling off their longs. Ideally price would need to go lower, for the longs to cool off more, to get a fast and furious rally for the long run
Short side is increasing, topping 60%. The key IMO would be on the long side, i'll be more confident going long term long if they are not there anymore
2 charts i have made. One for the long side, the other for the short side
GBP traders are cooling off their longs. Ideally price would need to go lower, for the longs to cool off more, to get a fast and furious rally for the long run
Short side is increasing, topping 60%. The key IMO would be on the long side, i'll be more confident going long term long if they are not there anymore
COT: The precious data ignored
- #320
- May 9, 2020 5:56am May 9, 2020 5:56am
- Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Trader | 17,796 Posts
COT: The precious data ignored