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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #2,421
  • Edited 1:21pm Jul 11, 2019 11:57am | Edited 1:21pm
Powel will cut intrest rates, but still guessing how much and how many times.
Markets are only focussed on rate cuts now and nothing else. That can change very quickly when the FED doesn't deliver what the markets expect.

Q2 earning coming soon now and we have to see if the markets still that positive then.
Many companies suffer already under the trade war. (both sides)

Trump is in war/in dispute with half the world.
Now its France where Trump is looking at. France want to raise taxes on digital earnings made by the big US tech boys.
More EU countries have that plan.

Germany is still under fire because of the gas pipeline from Russia to EU (Nordstream)
EU cars can still be hit by US tariffs.
(Thats probebly why Angela is shaking all the time)

Turkey will be excluded from US weapons because the Turks made a deal with Russia for buying air defence systems. (stupid move of the Turks)

China demands the US not to deliver weapons to Hong Kong.

Problems with Iran are getting bigger instead of less.

Problems with India.


Overall: it could be a hot summer . Watch it and be prepared.





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  • #2,422
  • Edited Jul 12, 2019 1:40am Jul 11, 2019 11:36pm | Edited Jul 12, 2019 1:40am
Opened a Long DOW @ 005 yesterday before the close
SL @ 150 now/+0.25% level
FLAT +45p last lot overnight trade

Bulls keep running.
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  • #2,423
  • Edited Jul 12, 2019 1:53am Jul 11, 2019 11:42pm | Edited Jul 12, 2019 1:53am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX Update coming Days. Now in support zone W POC of 2 weeks back. 250<>300 DAX is bearish Serious short below 250 Long above this Week POC @ 375 and even better above this Week VWAP @ 420 Between likely rubbish trades/scalping Looks like the DAX is waiting till the US is gone pull back from (new) rec highs. {image}
No Bulls left in the DAX. All on the BBQ.

DAX is not invited to the US Bulls party
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  • #2,424
  • Jul 11, 2019 11:55pm Jul 11, 2019 11:55pm
RUSSEL remains calm

No move in the NQ. I expected it should be @ 8K by now. Sideways now.
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  • #2,425
  • Jul 12, 2019 12:14am Jul 12, 2019 12:14am
CNBC:

The thinking is that there is a “Fed put” on the stock market, meaning with the Fed ready to cut interest rates, how much downside could there be for the market? But that question gets trickier with the stock market carving out new highs, and an upcoming earnings season that is forecast to see profits decline.

Economists widely expect the Fed to cut interest rates at its July meeting by at least 25 basis points, or a quarter point. The fed funds target rate range is currently 2.25% to 2.50%.

Investors in the fed fund futures market are pricing in a little more than a full quarter-point cut for July, but nearly three cuts of that amount by the end of the year.

“My thought is if rates don’t fall, stock prices will,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. If the Fed does not take action to cut interest rates at at its next meeting, on July 31, Stovall said the market could head for a correction pretty quickly.

Net benefits to stocks from lower interest rates could be a weaker dollar, which would filter through as a positive to the earnings of S&P 500 companies with overseas sales. Highly indebted companies, including many smaller firms, would also see a lift from lower interest rates.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/11/the-...-to-28000.html
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  • #2,426
  • Edited 3:07am Jul 12, 2019 2:56am | Edited 3:07am
Not trading the DAX now. To Bearish compared with US markets. Maybe a little scalp now & then.

Next down target DAX 12.260/250 zone. -0.50% and Close June 27th and 2 Weeks back N POC & VWAP level. Support zone as posted Yesterday already

Price now on the edge of the Weekly Value Area Low.
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  • #2,427
  • Edited 3:32am Jul 12, 2019 3:17am | Edited 3:32am
NQ Long @ 7938
T1 +2.5p 2 lot
2 running/SL BE zone
T2 +5p 1 lot
1 lot running/SL BE now

SL few points below my entry only. Will be a BE trade if stopped out.

Trgts
7947.50 Y ETH POC
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  • #2,428
  • Jul 12, 2019 3:23am Jul 12, 2019 3:23am
Hi DD - thanks for some interesting posts

PS - so far Dax is holding at its BRN with some nice intra day bounces - guess we wait for the US to open to see IF it can move up from there....
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,429
  • Jul 12, 2019 3:35am Jul 12, 2019 3:35am
Quoting Islander
Hi DD - thanks for some interesting posts PS - so far Dax is holding at its BRN with some nice intra day bounces - guess we wait for the US to open to see IF it can move up from there....
DAX is not so eager to go up. I don't count on serious up moves in the DAX before the weekend.
As long as the DAX is below the this Week POC and VWAP and below my Swing MA lines its bearish (for me).

But who knows......
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #2,430
  • Jul 12, 2019 3:53am Jul 12, 2019 3:53am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} DAX is not so eager to go up. I don't count on serious up moves in the DAX before the weekend. As long as the DAX is below the this Week POC and VWAP and below my Swing MA lines its bearish (for me). But who knows......

I agree Dax has been in a down trend to yesterday's low at its 12,300 level which is where I've been buying this morning.

However, with three failures at ~ the 50% retrace of its fall from overnight levels I've closed my last long for another 20 points and am now flat drinking coffee
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,431
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:01am Jul 12, 2019 10:01am
Not much to do so far, except some (little) scalps

DAX still ticking down and tries to find support 300>250. (I did no DAX trades Today)

NQ still sideways all Day

SnP & DOW above BRN and it looks they will remain there into the weekend
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  • #2,432
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:03am Jul 12, 2019 10:03am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
RUSSEL remains calm.
No move in the NQ. I expected it should be @ 8K by now. Sideways now. {image}
Just closed my RUSSEL last lot @ +0.50% zone.
+10.2p (102 ticks) last lot
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  • #2,433
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:18am Jul 12, 2019 10:18am
Some activity in the NQ.

Long @ 7938.50 @ +0.25%

Trgt +0.50% @ 9760 (maybe)

T1 +4p 2 lot
1 running
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  • #2,434
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:26am Jul 12, 2019 10:26am
Often during US lunch time they blow the markets to an other level.

(DAX during EU lunch time)


Next Week Q2 (bank) earnings start
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  • #2,435
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:30am Jul 12, 2019 10:30am
I closed my RUSSEL to early. Looks they gone move it to +1.0% 1576 (missed 30 ticks by now)
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  • #2,436
  • Edited 10:51am Jul 12, 2019 10:33am | Edited 10:51am
DOW is waking up

Long @ 27.221
2 lot flat -6p. Didn't broke out the VAH
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  • #2,437
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:52am Jul 12, 2019 10:52am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Some activity in the NQ. Long @ 7938.50 @ +0.25% Trgt +0.50% @ 9760 (maybe) T1 +4p 2 lot 1 running {image}
NQ tries to get to +0.50%/7960 but @ 50 level now
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  • #2,438
  • Jul 12, 2019 11:03am Jul 12, 2019 11:03am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DOW is waking up Long @ 27.221 2 lot flat -6p. Didn't broke out the VAH
DOW Long again @ 220
T1 +9p 2 lot
T2 +8p 1 lot
1 running/SL BE. Last trade Today

FLAT BE last lot
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  • #2,439
  • Jul 12, 2019 11:07am Jul 12, 2019 11:07am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} NQ tries to get to +0.50%/7960 but @ 50 level now
NQ crossed the 50 and close to +0.50% now

Closed last lot +12.5p
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  • #2,440
  • Edited Jul 13, 2019 4:08am Jul 12, 2019 2:56pm | Edited Jul 13, 2019 4:08am
DOW makes a new spike. Heading for +1.0%
40p locked in with OCO order. Trgt 350

1 lot left for the weekend.

I re entered with a long trade because:
the price crossed the 50 price level
price crossed the +0.50% level
price above Todays RTH & ETH POCs. (purple ETH TPOs on the left & pink RTH POCs on the right side margin)
price above my Swing line(s)/Ichi cloud and Kijune Base line.
what did I forget?
O yes. Markets behave like idiots and so do I for one time
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