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(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

  • #5,361
  • Aug 1, 2018 6:28am Aug 1, 2018 6:28am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} May the greed be with you
...
  • #5,362
  • Aug 1, 2018 6:33am Aug 1, 2018 6:33am
EURO alert set, but without a momentum HH bake its a pass for sure.
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  • #5,363
  • Aug 1, 2018 6:40am Aug 1, 2018 6:40am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} M1 rotated above supply, probably not gonna work out. {image}
up/down/up/down :-)
are we down now?
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  • #5,364
  • Aug 1, 2018 6:55am Aug 1, 2018 6:55am
Quoting janpec1000
AAPL surprise positive earnings today, liking the way the structure is currently developing, will have order ready above pre market highs if it wants to show some further strenght. {image}
Looks like it aint gona wait for me. Already running.
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  • #5,365
  • Aug 1, 2018 7:18am Aug 1, 2018 7:18am
Quoting janpec1000
EURO alert set, but without a momentum HH bake its a pass for sure. {image}
EURCHF long covered break even, missed the spike to cover.
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  • #5,366
  • Aug 1, 2018 8:56am Aug 1, 2018 8:56am
Quoting Wachturm
{image}
We come from nothing, we are going back to nothing- In the end what have we lost? Nothing
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  • #5,367
  • Aug 1, 2018 10:29am Aug 1, 2018 10:29am
TCS longed, stop bellow current spike retest X,09.
  • #5,368
  • Aug 1, 2018 10:32am Aug 1, 2018 10:32am
GBPNZD missed trend rotation.
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  • #5,369
  • Aug 1, 2018 12:19pm Aug 1, 2018 12:19pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Turkish lira short term macro target also baked. Explosive move and finally baking what has been said on thread previous week, its just a matter of time when central bank is cornered by new goverment, fails to move, and markets turn the bloodbath on lira. Today was the day. 5.000 being naked and baked as pointed earlier is now on attack. Next few days the USD strategic reserves of central bank will be heavily tested, while the central bank has already lost its credibility. Turkish inflation index baking new all time highs while the interest...
And here we go with Turkish lira stepping back into the headlines and into the direct bearish macro play as of this moment. Sanctions are around the corner and will hit the currency just as much as they did Russian rubble.
5.000 tested right now, with central bank now actively being tested but it doesnt matter anymore, even if TCB burns billions of USD over next days, the 5.000 bake will end with a pop move once the sanctions are released, the fight is pretty much done with result baked. As pointed many times before the pop of 5.000 was only a matter of time not a matter of if.

USDTRY here bakes the bullish macro target which was plotted in early July, however....the macro doesnt end yet there, the target is now simply extended due to events coming into play.
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New updated macro target is now quite higher and most likely we will bake that with a pop.
Updated target sitting at around 5.1XX based on the aproximate strenght of the move that sanctions could deliver.


This play might be played by straight buy orders on USDTRY if one is willing to take an extra risk (if DD happens) but its always best way to use micros for entry with controlable risk.
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  • #5,370
  • Aug 1, 2018 1:26pm Aug 1, 2018 1:26pm
WDC on watch.
  • #5,371
  • Aug 1, 2018 1:57pm Aug 1, 2018 1:57pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} And here we go with Turkish lira stepping back into the headlines and into the direct bearish macro play as of this moment. Sanctions are around the corner and will hit the currency just as much as they did Russian rubble. 5.000 tested right now, with central bank now actively being tested but it doesnt matter anymore, even if TCB burns billions of USD over next days, the 5.000 bake will end with a pop move once the sanctions are released, the fight is pretty much done with result baked. As pointed many times before the pop of 5.000 was...
4.97XX current demand holding, just a matter of time when official release comes and the pop starts, might be tomorrow or Friday, or a bit less likely could be next week.

The reason why this macro play is in high priority is that it is likely to see cascade event to happen from here. Washington announces sanctions, Erdogan will very likely respond , and the markets always take the beating of the weaker player, in this case Turkey, thus lira is likely to take a dip. Nationalistic leaders have one big weakness...they are very predictable.
  • #5,372
  • Aug 1, 2018 2:01pm Aug 1, 2018 2:01pm
Coming for last 30 mins of end of the day play, thats it for today.
  • #5,373
  • Aug 1, 2018 2:23pm Aug 1, 2018 2:23pm
Quoting janpec1000
Coming for last 30 mins of end of the day play, thats it for today.
V and SODA
  • #5,374
  • Aug 1, 2018 2:35pm Aug 1, 2018 2:35pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} V and SODA
V covered for 3 R gain. No DD.
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  • #5,375
  • Aug 1, 2018 2:48pm Aug 1, 2018 2:48pm
AABA last one.
  • #5,376
  • Aug 1, 2018 11:40pm Aug 1, 2018 11:40pm
Hello Jan, I tried to search for the position size indicator that you're using (The first 11 pages and via keyword search function) but I can't find it. I found one indicator which is almost as good as yours. But I like the way how yours works. Can you be kind enough to attach your indicator or to show me where it is?
  • #5,377
  • Aug 2, 2018 3:02am Aug 2, 2018 3:02am
Quoting ken.b
Hello Jan, I tried to search for the position size indicator that you're using (The first 11 pages and via keyword search function) but I can't find it. I found one indicator which is almost as good as yours. But I like the way how yours works. Can you be kind enough to attach your indicator or to show me where it is?
Hey Ken, i sent you PM.
  • #5,378
  • Aug 2, 2018 3:15am Aug 2, 2018 3:15am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} And here we go with Turkish lira stepping back into the headlines and into the direct bearish macro play as of this moment. Sanctions are around the corner and will hit the currency just as much as they did Russian rubble. 5.000 tested right now, with central bank now actively being tested but it doesnt matter anymore, even if TCB burns billions of USD over next days, the 5.000 bake will end with a pop move once the sanctions are released, the fight is pretty much done with result baked. As pointed many times before the pop of 5.000 was...
USDTRY long covered. Turkish lira baking macro target of 5,1X almost within a single day. The rest of target is going to be baked within next hours. Missed initial early London entry of M15 pullback leg, would have been a solid 15 R winner there.
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  • #5,379
  • Aug 2, 2018 5:29am Aug 2, 2018 5:29am
EURCAD
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  • #5,380
  • Aug 2, 2018 5:41am Aug 2, 2018 5:41am
Quoting janpec1000
EURCAD {image}
EURCAD long covered for 1 R gain.
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