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(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

  • #4,441
  • Jun 26, 2018 11:01am Jun 26, 2018 11:01am
LVS wont be taking this one as it doesnt have momentum bake with HH, but it might work, symmetry is decent.
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  • #4,442
  • Jun 26, 2018 11:12am Jun 26, 2018 11:12am
QRTEA supply takeout.
  • #4,443
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:00pm Jun 26, 2018 12:00pm
Quoting janpec1000
LVS wont be taking this one as it doesnt have momentum bake with HH, but it might work, symmetry is decent. {image}
LVS looks like it, rotation baked.
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  • #4,444
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:09pm Jun 26, 2018 12:09pm
BEed, small loss, got bad feeling when seeing slow movement, then bearish spike happened......

in hindsight, seems the momentum was too 'tiny' for the whole structure, probably why this is not a solid setup
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  • #4,445
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:20pm Jun 26, 2018 12:20pm
USDTRY
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  • #4,446
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:38pm Jun 26, 2018 12:38pm
MCD looking for fill on long if it retraces, solid pullback leg play along strong bull momentum.
  • #4,447
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:39pm Jun 26, 2018 12:39pm
Quoting Wachturm
USDTRY {image}
Solid spot there, but mind the spreads are not playable atm, unless you had better feed than myself. By the way what is the indie pointing to on your chart (0.2 per mille?).
  • #4,448
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:44pm Jun 26, 2018 12:44pm
Quoting charvo
BEed, small loss, got bad feeling when seeing slow movement, then bearish spike happened...... in hindsight, seems the momentum was too 'tiny' for the whole structure, probably why this is not a solid setup {image}
Its a decent B quality play, mind that the biggest component missing from this setup was momentum move. The bull leg you were playing had pretty much same volatility scale than bear legs, actually even lower than that. There was however a takeout on bullish pop on last few candles which usually is good attention for targeted attempt, so that would be probably the main reason why the play was ok.
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  • #4,449
  • Jun 26, 2018 12:49pm Jun 26, 2018 12:49pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Solid spot there, but mind the spreads are not playable atm, unless you had better feed than myself. By the way what is the indie pointing to on your chart (0.2 per mille?).
between 0.9 and 2pts at the moment, but missed the entry anyway due to a telephone call

honestly speaking, I dont know what it means. I just pay attention to spread in points/pips.

whats your spread for USDTRY right now?
  • #4,450
  • Jun 26, 2018 1:00pm Jun 26, 2018 1:00pm
Been over a year since Shopify was put on a long term macro watchlist with target 150 USD (70 at the time of the plot). There is no resistance to be plotted or seek on larger time frame basis, since the sky is opened for e commerce. Nor Amazon nor Shopify have even reached to its 10% of potential in my view and the growth charts are so far pointing every year to just more upside. With all the facts on the ground in terms of retail stores its very hard to build any bearish case for those companies.
Truly the only bearish scenario would be a full crossover ban on Chinese imports to US if trade war escalates over next years which is a some probability to happen altough it would be a massively bearish to US equities in general, but never say never, trade wars often do go all the way deep.
Businesses and technologies that are resistant to financial crisises in terms of their growth are usually the ones coming on top with domination not far along in future. Resistance to bearishness is usually indication of strong strenght.
Decentralized distribution and monetary systems are the way of future, e commerce companies on first hand and cryptos on the other.
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  • #4,451
  • Jun 26, 2018 1:02pm Jun 26, 2018 1:02pm
Quoting Wachturm
{quote} between 0.9 and 2pts at the moment, but missed the entry anyway due to a telephone call honestly speaking, I dont know what it means. I just pay attention to spread in points/pips. whats your spread for USDTRY right now?
USDTRY atm 5 points and 5 pippets (55). But spreads in terms of pips is irrelavant, all it matters is spread size compared to the structure one is trading and overall volatility. If spread is 100 pips, but structure depth is 50k pips then that would be valid trade to take, its all relevant to volatility.
  • #4,452
  • Jun 26, 2018 1:09pm Jun 26, 2018 1:09pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} USDTRY atm 5 points and 5 pippets (55). But spreads in terms of pips is irrelavant, all it matters is spread size compared to the structure one is trading and overall volatility. If spread is 100 pips, but structure depth is 50k pips then that would be valid trade to take, its all relevant to volatility.
exactly
  • #4,453
  • Jun 26, 2018 1:12pm Jun 26, 2018 1:12pm
EURCHF
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  • #4,454
  • Jun 26, 2018 2:10pm Jun 26, 2018 2:10pm
TSLA priority A quality play. High probability play. 340,32 if baked with pop is heavy size to go in.
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  • #4,455
  • Jun 26, 2018 2:31pm Jun 26, 2018 2:31pm
Quoting janpec1000
TSLA priority A quality play. High probability play. 340,32 if baked with pop is heavy size to go in. {image}
Well thats really annoying, the only proper play in equity markets in last two days and i didnt get a chance on proper fill. Only filled 20% of size initially, and didnt fill limit order as the spike went too quickly. High probability play...but also a decent chance to miss it if aggressive fills arent taken. Obviously many traders were watching same thing in this case and thats what baked the case for quick move.

In either case this is setup for anyone participating on thread to study, it had it all. Strong momentum, strong symmetry and consistency of H / L prints, clearout with swift reversal, micro shelf and a takeout without any DD. 10 / 10.
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  • #4,456
  • Jun 26, 2018 2:33pm Jun 26, 2018 2:33pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Well thats really annoying, the only proper play in equity markets in last two days and i didnt get a chance on proper fill. Only filled 20% of size initially, and didnt fill limit order as the spike went too quickly. High probability play...but also a decent chance to miss it if aggressive fills arent taken. Obviously many traders were watching same thing in this case and thats what baked the case for quick move. In either case this is setup for anyone participating on thread to study, it had it all. Strong momentum, strong symmetry and...
And it gets even worse as it bakes full flagship move to the upside moments later.
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  • #4,457
  • Jun 27, 2018 3:41am Jun 27, 2018 3:41am
USDCNH still on focus for momentum plays on bull side. Some recent comments from China to start liquidating US T bills are not really helping much as that would simply push yields up and drag further capital from EMs which pretty much is where the core of problem is. RUB and ZAR in soft correlated play in same direction.
  • #4,458
  • Jun 27, 2018 6:38am Jun 27, 2018 6:38am
EURGBP
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  • #4,459
  • Jun 27, 2018 6:49am Jun 27, 2018 6:49am
Quoting janpec1000
EURGBP {image}
EURGBP long sold at break even, forgot to set alert on TP side.
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  • #4,460
  • Jun 27, 2018 6:51am Jun 27, 2018 6:51am
Eyes on US and EU equity indexes as they spike on hot momentum, looking for pullback setups to form for long plays. Delevariging play from China.
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