I wanted to design a method so simple that my tend year old son could trade it and didn't take much time. I have visually backtested it and it seems to work most weeks or else doesn't produce a trade.I'm wondering if it's just too mechanical to work long-term. I would love some feedback and any suggestions for improvement would be greatly appreciated
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1lace><st1laceName>Weekly</st1laceName> <st1laceType>Range</st1laceType></st1lace> Method – Version 1
Tested on GBP/USD.
After the market closes for the week, mark the past 2 weekly ranges(high/low) and the halfway point of the most recent weekly range(which I’ll refer to as the weekly median).
Your directional bias is determined by comparing these weekly ranges
FADE: If the most recent week’s range is greater than the previous week’s range, then look to fade the most recent weekly direction. Trade it in this way:
If last week was bearish, Buy at Friday’s median, place your limit at the weekly median and place your stop at the weekly high.
If last week was bullish, Sell at Friday’s median, place your limit at the weekly median and place your stop at the weekly low
TREND: If the most recent week’s range is smaller than the previous week's range, then look to trade in last week’s direction. Trade it in this way:
If last week was bullish, buy at the weekly median, place your limit at the weekly high and place your stop at the weekly low.
If last week was bearish, sell at the weekly median, place your limit at the weekly low and place your stop at the weekly high. Do not chase the price. If it doesn't pullback to the median, just let it go and don't trade. The idea when trading with the trend is to enter on a pullback and avoid whipsaws.
The whole method in one sentence: if last week was an expansion week, trade in from the outside and if last week was a contraction week, trade out from the inside.
I hope this makes sense. I'll follow with examples if anyone's interested.
Ken
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o> </o>
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1lace><st1laceName>Weekly</st1laceName> <st1laceType>Range</st1laceType></st1lace> Method – Version 1
Tested on GBP/USD.
After the market closes for the week, mark the past 2 weekly ranges(high/low) and the halfway point of the most recent weekly range(which I’ll refer to as the weekly median).
Your directional bias is determined by comparing these weekly ranges
FADE: If the most recent week’s range is greater than the previous week’s range, then look to fade the most recent weekly direction. Trade it in this way:
If last week was bearish, Buy at Friday’s median, place your limit at the weekly median and place your stop at the weekly high.
If last week was bullish, Sell at Friday’s median, place your limit at the weekly median and place your stop at the weekly low
TREND: If the most recent week’s range is smaller than the previous week's range, then look to trade in last week’s direction. Trade it in this way:
If last week was bullish, buy at the weekly median, place your limit at the weekly high and place your stop at the weekly low.
If last week was bearish, sell at the weekly median, place your limit at the weekly low and place your stop at the weekly high. Do not chase the price. If it doesn't pullback to the median, just let it go and don't trade. The idea when trading with the trend is to enter on a pullback and avoid whipsaws.
The whole method in one sentence: if last week was an expansion week, trade in from the outside and if last week was a contraction week, trade out from the inside.
I hope this makes sense. I'll follow with examples if anyone's interested.
Ken
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o> </o>