RE Corn , I hear ya. Price of course could continue lower and take out the lows. My interpretation of a "Low Risk Buy" is when I enter a trade with a tight collar on the Stop. If I am wrong , I know about it pretty quick and will wait for the price ...

COT: The precious data ignored

Now Looking into the Crystal Ball ? Copper I am thinking may consolidate at the top while profits are taken for a while , then I'd like to see some return to the mean threshold. But COT data is stretched at a near extreme. Corn looks like market ...

COT: The precious data ignored

I have some examples of how I use the data to alert me to a potential set up and take profit targets. I have a range of templates set up showing different correlations of COT Data that make sense to me and my system. Based on Historical COT data I ...

COT: The precious data ignored

Hey Biker , The formula of adding Net Producers and Net Swaps on the Disagg to equal Commercial Net on Legacy works for Disaggregated as you say. As for the TIFF report for financials , this same formula does not add up. WHY ? - Short answer , I ...

COT: The precious data ignored

Don't see this everyday ...... Last time Dealers had no Shorts in the market was March 2014 but the Longs were active. This time the Longs are low also.

COT: The precious data ignored

Looks can be deceiving ? See if you can follow where I'm going with this . Lol. The Swap Dealers position as you say " are acting on their own" . It depends on how you look at it. Chart #1 has Net Money Managers ( blue ) , and the Swap Dealers ...

COT: The precious data ignored

Platinum Follow up -: If you wanna know what the Shorts are doing .... you do the math. Price in Consolidation. If its gonna break , which way do you think it's gonna go ?

COT: The precious data ignored

I hope this may help in your understanding. I'd like to use Wheat as an example of how differences between the COT Legacy Report and the COT Disaggregated Report can skew the NET POSITION data that you are looking at. The 2 reports are exactly the ...

COT: The precious data ignored

Net Money Managers and Money managers Shorts. The Shorts are always wrong at Tops and Bottoms. Now trading into Monthly Open. Expect some Downside. Hey Kuroro , am I ok to post on this thread or do you wanna keep it as your own thing ?

COT: The precious data ignored

#1 - My focus this week is Corn based on COT data. This is Commercial Net position (Red) vs Commercial Shorts. #2 - This chart is about Total Open Interest. Larry teachers to focus on Who ? is moving Open Interest. The Top window shows Commercial ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Cocoa Upside ? -: #1. This one looks ready to PoP. When we have a injection of Longs and decrease in Shorts while Comms Net is at a high, we usually see a low in the market. #2. Percentage % Value of Commercial Longs and Shorts of Total Open ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Personally I will take note when Commercials are at 3-5yr extremes anticipating a reversal . I will look to enter after the High/Low is put in , then wait for a low risk Sell/Buy being a lower swing high or higher swing low to form. This would ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Low Risk SELL on Wheat - Anticipating a Lower Swing High has been put in on the Wheat Daily chart. #1 - Managed Money starting to Roll over #2 - Producer / Shorts like to Sell at this price and have been Selling the Rally. I am anticipating them to ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Cotton -: Looking at the 1yr look-back period you would reasonably expect a correction at the Commercial net extreme. It looks like we have had that. But I feel any shorts now are playing with fire. When on the 5yr look-back we see plenty of scope ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Gasoline Commercial Fail -: My take on how the Commercials react when things are going against them. Sept 2019 Commercials were buying the low at an extreme as you would expect. They then start to sell the rally until Jan 2000 when we have a ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Seasonal's in Play , and some interesting Non Spreading Open interest data. Anticipating a correction but not too confident about how far or the H.T.F COT extremes. Looks like there is still room to move to the upside. I have a Short position at the ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Hello my friend. You will not find any candlestick charts plotting the COT. The line chart represents contract total numbers , not Open - High - -Low- Close. You can find some literature on the subject via Larry Williams , Steve Briese , Floyd ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

#1 - Steve Briese makes comment about how Peaks in Non spreading Open Interest can indicate trend reversals, both tops and Bottoms. Out of all the Metals Complex , its Platinum with all the extremes. I think we've seen the top ?

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

#1 - Cocoa - Large Specs Net positions. These guys are the fuel for trending markets. We follow them in Bull markets. When they fail to make higher highs with the trend it is a signal at a top that they have exhausted all their buying. This is a ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Large Specs more selling pressure but not in price. Bulls in control.

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis