If 1.1544 wasn't our peak, then the next likely peak is 1.15777. Then it's back down. Those are the most likely liquidity grabs before coming back down. I'm still leaning bearish for the month.

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I bought 5 lots at 1.16285 I'm thinking they're pricing in the rate drop ahead of tomorrow. I may close at 1.17

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Stop hunt?

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The gov. shutdown here is likely the cause of this volatility. My bias is bearish but without confirmation from crucial US data, the market remains in consolidation. Not wanting to push further down and the random spikes up are reactions to that. ...

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I've got a sell orders at 1.1626 & 1.16380. I'm looking for price to grab liquidity there before moving back down. Targets I have are 1.1585 & 1.1567 based on 1H FVGs there. But we may see price touch down to that 1.1542 bottom ....probably ...

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The market may be expecting dovish remarks from Jerry and has already started pricing it in. Too risky for my blood. I'm going to wait and see what happens when the dust settles.

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TP at 1.1548 was hit from sells around 1.162-1.158. Currently waiting to see where market moves. The recent move up appears to have targeted FVGs at 1.1565 & 1.1578 based on the M15 chart. I'm still bearish overall (H1, H4), but will wait to see if ...

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My apologies, I forgot my "5's" when quoting the FVG (now fixed). Either way, it got hit and followed by a sharp reversal. Let's see what happens next!

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There's a FVG at 1.15786-1.15822 on the M15 chart. Looking for sells there or as mentioned earlier, around 1.1593. 1st TP is still at 1.1548 2nd TP at 1.1515

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I think the next major bearish target is 1.1515-1.1505, but I'll look for a possible retracement to 1.159-1.1593 before entering another sell. I'm still sitting on a sell from 1.1622 Look for that bigger push by tomorrow, before ...

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I'd have to agree. Based on this 1MO chart and the 3MO overview, we should be hitting that 1.3 point (or lower) by years end. image

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We should at least see 1.784 "hopefully" lol.

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Funny how I took a short at 1.1800 with a tight stop-loss at 1.1880... I'll get em next time!

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Looking ahead... Based off of a similar situation last year, the Fed took rates from 5.50 to 4.50 over three months (Sep-Dec). If history repeats itself, and it tends to, I reckon we might be looking at something similar to this 1 month chart. ...

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I woke up too late this morning and forgot to put in my 1.1845 sell order, but I got in around 1.1825. We are approaching that 1.176 test

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Calling it a day...WOW. Opened a buy at 1.185 just before the news. Got out at 1.191. Immediately entered a short at 1.188 in anticipation of the decent back to reality. And now I'm out at 1.181 I do think a further drop to 1.176 is ...

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Finally!

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There's the pushup....now let's see that pushdown!

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1 hour

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