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RoelsMajor replied Jul 14, 2025Try GBP/AUD Long RR1 49 pips 1%
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jul 12, 2025Prop Firm ATFunded Reports 6% of Traders Reached Funded Status in June Trading Data Old Model 13% TP, 10% Static DD. It's very difficult to beat the old static 1-step or 2-step models because their profit targets are just too high. New Model should ...
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jul 12, 2025Good textbook trade yesterday USD/JPY
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 28, 20252 Types Opportunities: Based on this post url Opportunities in forex can be divided into just two types: When price is at the Top or Bottom of any Time Frame you use — this means price is likely to return to the moving average, whether it's called ...
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 28, 2025P-Value (Significance) & Rho (ρ, Pearson Correlation Coefficient) in Statistics 1. P-Value (Significance) Value range: 0 to 1 • Meaning: p = 0 → the result is extremely unlikely to occur by chance (highly "significant"). p = 1 → the result is very ...
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 27, 2025Weekly Retun and Monthly Cumulative CAGR Minggu | Return per week (%) | Cumulative CAGR (%) 1 | 1,71 | 1,71 2 | 1,71 | 3,44 3 | 1,71 | 5,21 4 | 1,71 | 7,00
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 26, 2025Still no sign of a maximum push, I think I’ll just wait at 3343 or switch side to buy. Lol
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 26, 2025Agreed Yeah, true, but this trap hunted my stop loss to the max — normally the retracement doesn’t go nearly 300 pips, Lol



Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 26, 2025Exit 7 minutes before red news. Overall 4 positions, loss total -1.45%
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 26, 2025The Bulls grew stronger after the fractal was broken, moving 280 pips from the first entry. I added one more short final position at the top of the expanding channel and adjust risk a bit, now all entries are limited to a total risk of 2%. I'm no ...
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 26, 2025Lost 1st position -0.98% Add 3rd position Risk 1% All TP 4% All Risk 2% BE+ after some gain
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 25, 2025Yes, drawdown per trade is normal. If the trade size is small, like 1–2%, one trade is no problem. But if the trade size is large, it gets stressful. I scale my risk (SL) to 1% at 187 pips. I’m not comfortable with a stop loss smaller than 100 pips ...
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 25, 2025The fractal that has formed is often a sign that leans more toward a short, though I could be wrong. The EMA (moving average) also appears to have a more concave curvature. There are plenty of trade examples in my previous posts. Example: url url ...
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 25, 2025Add position Short 1% Risk about 2% TP about 4% BE+ after some gain
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 25, 2025Short Initial Risk 1% (187 pips) TP 2% (374 pips) BE+ after 33% TP
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 24, 2025Strong push to the south by The Bears, lost this trade with -1.03%. Today’s ATR (21) has been exceeded — price has moved 654 pips compared to the average of 541 pips. Will look another opportunity after red news.
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 24, 2025Long Initial Risk 1% (180 pips) TP 2% (360 pips) BE + after 33% TP
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 24, 2025Today the range has already reached 538 pips, compared to the average ATR(21) of 541 pips — meaning it has already covered the full range. The range is between 3315 and 3370. I might try a buy around 3317 for a reversal.
Gold
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 24, 2025Last Update 24/06/2025 PVSRA TVT 1/3 aDtr 21 – Daily Ranger Gold Final Rules of 7 1. Pair Selection: Gold/USD. 2. Risk and TP a. Initial Risk per trade (SL) 1/3 aDtr (21) in pips convert to 1 unit 1.0 %, maximum open position is only 1 unit. b. TP ...
Meditations on Extremistan - Nassim Taleb
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RoelsMajor replied Jun 24, 2025The latest idea is here: url , but I think it needs some revision—especially regarding trade timing. It shouldn't be limited to after the London Open, but open to the full daily range (which I divide into 3 ranges), and this applies to Gold only, ...
Gold