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- mediaboy replied Apr 5, 2017
Very wishful thinking. We saw oil slide in the face of actual war in Ukraine and similar Middle-East conflicts (when is there no middle Middle-East conflict???). Bottom line, market is well supplied and more supply is coming.
- mediaboy replied Mar 13, 2017
May CL (WTI) implied volatility is around 32% which puts $45 in play. As i stated in earlier post , path to $60 is not straight line. If we could only see similar moves in equities life would be good - at least for me. LOL
- mediaboy replied Feb 23, 2017
The path to 60 is not a straight line. There should be tradable shorts along the way. I do agree market is very manipulated in favor of the IPO but supply and demand is still your obstacle. Long till 60 might have some surprising set backs with the ...
- mediaboy replied Oct 7, 2014
you are a bear in something at 2 year lows? not a contrarian are you? lol
- mediaboy replied Oct 6, 2014
My thoughts exactly. If all that crap acutally mater this board will be filled with millionares and billionares Sellling a sell off that already happened .. more like ouch time.
- mediaboy replied Aug 24, 2014
I think it might go up or it might go down.
- mediaboy replied Jul 26, 2014
Its dollar index subtracted from EURO. not euro/usd ... Obviously they trade inversely with almost -1 correlation
- mediaboy replied Jul 26, 2014
Here you go infinitus image I discount anything past 2010... So you can see the spread has been larger but not without a corrective pullback first. I expect to see the spread increase to 80 and change before down move... The extent of down move is ...
- mediaboy replied Jul 26, 2014
The spread between dollar index and euro is at near extreme levels... image This is a sell dollars and buy euro situation. Reversion to mean folks. Sept of last year was last time we saw the spread this high... I won't bother telling you how that ...
- mediaboy replied Jul 26, 2014
test chart image
- mediaboy replied Jul 26, 2014
Euro is supposed to be at parity by now with the dollar or not exist at all according to those clowns a few short years ago. We will always find something that supports our assumptions and cling to that . I just think in terms of odds. Thats it. FF ...
- mediaboy replied Jul 25, 2014
OnlineAddict, another tell is in the options market. FXE (most liquid stock for euro ) has volatility in the bottom of its recent implied volatility range. Its expected to have low volatility as its tracking a currency but its low even by currency ...
- mediaboy replied Jul 25, 2014
I would say serious downside is the .3304 area ( i trade futures we speak in terms of ticks , so adjust a few pips for your spot fx). Can we see it fall another 126 pips ? YES Is that a high probability event ? NO I began the journey years ago.. .I ...
- mediaboy replied Jul 25, 2014
I am with you man on this. I opened long (something rarely do on euro and I rarely trade euro) in the .3430 area I can see the pair falling to .3400 but that's really it. The risk/reward is solid on the long side. I will happily add at .3400 area ...
- mediaboy replied Nov 7, 2013
This board is the ultimate indicator. Fade the prevailing thoughts in here !!!! Nice day indeed.
- mediaboy replied Nov 2, 2013
what board you been reading? This thread is entertainment at its finest. Tv industry has found its solution to crap programing right here at ff
- mediaboy replied May 8, 2013
Why bother putting the trade on if your only willing to risk 2 pips? If you have so little conviction stay out.
- mediaboy replied May 7, 2013
Gator, Did you ever explain what these mofu levels are that you talk about daily? I tried going through some of your posts but its allot. I am not heavy into techs or anything like that , I am interested in the lens through which others see the ...
- mediaboy replied May 7, 2013
This article very succinctly sums up the situation - especially for eu bears. With equities on rocket ship why you expect this to crash? Upside not looking so hot but we have plenty shorts to provide fuel.