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- dennis_ger replied Jun 28, 2017
Me neither, but I am tempted to short. Reasoning: I think that yesterday's move was exaggerated as the ECB tightening someday is not really braking news. Additionally I think that this moment (tightening) is in a more distant future than the market ...
- dennis_ger replied May 23, 2017
Looking at last NFP figures I think in order to retain credibility the FOMC will be pretty much in line with "ready to hike" - unchanged. Given that probability for a hike is priced in at slightly above 70% there should be some room below the actual ...
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
Still keeping the short. Set [email protected] (not based on any kind of analysis but on how much I want to risk).
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
I am patient. Still have one short open from 1.29.
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
I shorted it with a small position.
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
Do you mean "I print 60bln per month"-Mario?
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
I do not understand it, neither. Again: when considering upside revisions for last month's data the actual data is pretty much in line with expectations. Thus, a ~100pip move up is kind of strange.
- dennis_ger replied May 13, 2015
I wouldn't get too excited about the "bad" data. If you consider revisions to the upside for last month the actual data is pretty much in line with expectations. Just saying...
- dennis_ger replied Feb 24, 2015
Yes, I am "live. But no, I do not hold them any longer. Closed them and reentered with higher amount Still holding; all in profit. I am sitting this out. Yes of course - but in order to do so you have to not gamble in the first place. You have to ...
- dennis_ger replied Feb 24, 2015
Excatly. Everybody has to. The result is your own trading style. For example I rarely trade "intraday". My style is more or less based on fundamentals and my personal expectations. Another reason is that I simply do not have the time as I am also ...
- dennis_ger replied Feb 24, 2015
No. Just lessons learned. But the thing about this is: everybody has to learn it himself. That's a fact. Unfortunately. This is why I say: accept the fact that sometimes you will win by gambling. Try not to do it...but when you do try to see it ...
- dennis_ger replied Feb 24, 2015
Then do not go ahead and explain why you were right by commenting on analysis. Accept the fact that sometimes even gambling makes you a winner Another thought on your heart racing: lower either leverage or amount traded. Heart racing will either ...
- dennis_ger replied Feb 13, 2015
I have to admit that I pretty much like your style. Thank you for posting here and keeping this thread interesting and worth reading!
- dennis_ger replied Dec 11, 2014
While I totaly agree I think there is even more about the figure coming short expectations. In my opinion it shows that the ECB is trying but still they are not where they want to be as TLTRO is designed to inflate the balance sheet more than what ...
- dennis_ger replied Jun 15, 2012
I wonder why everybody is so focused on the greek election. Of course will it - immediately - effect the Eurozone. But one should not forget about the rest of the Eurozone. Despite Greece there * are a lot of countries in recession * a few countries ...
- dennis_ger replied Jan 31, 2012
Wrong. They can do what they want. And they will. Their only problem is credibility. Credibility is one of the main assets of each central bank. The easiest way of conducting monetary policy is to bring the market to the point at which it does what ...
- dennis_ger replied Jan 31, 2012
Because of what? Nobody will sue the SNB. That's total - sorry - bullshit.
- dennis_ger replied Jan 27, 2012
By the way: Has anybody a clue why the attempts to go lower always tend to end quite abrupt in the .2050/.2060 area? Ok, today the BIS seems to go in at those level. But what about the other recent days?
- dennis_ger replied Jan 27, 2012
Ah - i see I got you wrong in the first place.
- dennis_ger replied Jan 27, 2012
Why do you close your longs when the KOF comes out worse than expected? The reason for the weaker swiss economy is the strong franc.