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- OZTrader22 replied Oct 25, 2017
Yep, a lot of people are forecasting rate hikes in OZ for 1st Q 2018 and I agree. ANZ/NAB are forecasting 2 hikes next year. I agree the data doesn't really support OZ hikes. But I think central banks followed the fed lower for years and now they ...
- OZTrader22 replied Aug 2, 2017
Over the medium to long term, I have changed to very bearish on the USD although there could be a some volatility near term. I know I know, RSI is stretched, commitment of traders, big move already.... But did some historical research and I think ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 27, 2017
Eur/usd is going over 1.20, maybe 1.22 or 1.23. New multi year highs to convince everyone to jump on the breakout and then it will fake everyone out and turn down
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 23, 2017
I agree, I think eur/usd bursts through 1.18 and clears 2 year high of 1.17 easily. A multi year fake out to 1.20 or 1.22 is on the cards.
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 12, 2017
Hi Fontu, what possibility do you see AUD/USD in a long term channel and bouncing off of 77/78 levels back toward 72?
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
Thanks Fontu
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
EUR/USD on a tear. It's got to hit 1.16 - that medium term level resistance reasonably quickly. Good news=EUR up. Bad news=shallow retracement. Textbook sentiment indicators for a bull market.
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 11, 2017
Looks good. Any views on AUD Fontu?
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 4, 2017
Not that I know of. RBA just held rates an hour ago and was not hawkish and the AUD tanked. Soon after I noticed other USD pairs start to strengthen against NZD and then EUR. Don't know if it's just coincidence or if USD is just gaining against ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
Hey Fontu, so you are thinking it could go any way at this stage. I'm with you. I'm short with a small position but I know it could rebound higher. Although people are against all this parity talk, I believe it will happen I just don't know where ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
I'm long USD, already in profit but after being taken out 3 times over the past month or so I know a rebound could happen. My position is smaller than normal so I can take a loss, but I'M wondering, is this the bottom for the USD...
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 3, 2017
That prediction is from Chigrl (twitter). Pretty respected professional trader. I mean never say never, but it is hard to believe it will go that high. But hey, could happen. Let's see.
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 2, 2017
Hey can someone help? I had a renowned trader on Twitter say she thinks eur/usd is going to 2460/80. Does this mean she thinks it's going to 1.2460/1.2480? That is crazy high if so or am I missing something here?
- OZTrader22 replied Jul 2, 2017
Maybe, it's definitely a resistance area. So many bears have been blown out of the water recently. I still think it's prudent to wait. The world is buying this EU reflation story still and I don't know when it will end. Wouldn't surprise me to see ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jun 29, 2017
US GDP 1.4% v 1.2% expected, ECB coming out saying market misread Draghis speech as too hawkish and yet euro still going higher. So strong, I wouldn't short this thing. Yet...
- OZTrader22 replied Jun 29, 2017
Nice trade. The other recent bull eurusd moves on a daily chart went about 400 pips so maybe it can go over 1.15.
- OZTrader22 replied Jun 29, 2017
I agree that in current circumstances there are no rate hikes coming. My my view is that commodities will continue to weaken on the back of a debt laden China and the usd that has been correcting lower will turn in a week or a month and trend much ...
- OZTrader22 replied Jun 29, 2017
O, I didn't mean literally 3 "green lights". I meant I have to be patient for my complete go signal. Market has to jump over 6-7 hurdles for my signal to be complete.
- OZTrader22 replied Jun 29, 2017
I'm a medium term trader holding positions for 3-12 months and I developed a breakout /trend following system that works. Only problem is it only gives me 1-2 valid signals per year with 3-4 fake outs. Short Eur/usd is my next signal but it's not ...