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    • medici replied May 3, 2019

      Good afternoon Another way of drawing the same conclusion, without oscillators, is to use the SMA13 0.25% envelope. It provided support all the way up to R1, and highlighted an overbought condition, and possible sell setup, there.

      Trade the Dow/Dax
    • medici replied May 2, 2019

      Here's a 4 hour chart of the Dow with a 2% envelope around the SMA50. The edges of the envelope have been visited on a, more or less, weekly basis this year....except for the month of April. Today marks a definite shift in volatility. ...

      Trade the Dow/Dax
    • medici replied May 2, 2019

      Thank you Not the least concerned As you say, this confirms that the bull market is over. Also, a constant lesson - anticipation gets in the way of optimal trading. My range bar chart was speaking loudly and clearly....

      Trade the Dow/Dax
    • medici replied May 2, 2019

      SMA20@1h = SMA240@5m (blue) provided solid reistance. The constellation of SMAs 20 and 40 (red and white) tells me that this is not going anywhere fast. Might just call it a day.

      Trade the Dow/Dax
    • medici replied May 2, 2019

      One argument in favour of the above anticipation is that the S&P 500 has not yet broken its SMA400@1h, which should be good for a bounce unless the mood has completely turned.

      Trade the Dow/Dax
    • medici replied May 2, 2019

      Good afternoon The 26400 area is well defended at the moment (add 20 to the values in the chart). Looks like it's on its way down to today's open, for a push up from there. Or maybe panic will push it lower. Time will tell.

      Trade the Dow/Dax